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Model Discussion for April


Quincy

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I don't think there is elevation snow in SNE from that exiting fropa/wave late D8.. 

 

Verbatim it develops some lighter snows across the higher terrain with a sharp s/w and an inverted trough look. 

 

Obviously that is out in super clown range. The same airmass with sun is probably 55F. 

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Verbatim it develops some lighter snows across the higher terrain with a sharp s/w and an inverted trough look. 

 

Obviously that is out in super clown range. The same airmass with sun is probably 55F. 

 

Yeah, that's what I was going to add, that even if it snowed "lightly" in dying RH afterthought, that's depiction is full sun by 11 am and blazing sun at that.  

 

If we're looking to punch the mid-levels down during fledgling spring low level warmth, than sure.  But that fledgling warmth (as you intimated) is there because of the sun. As soon as the sun comes back out it's all academic.  It's 55+ in that regime where it counts... 

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You know...it reminds me of the warmest temperature I ever witness sleet fall...  It was an early to mid April, late morning, and a warm front was trying to punch in... Circumstantially, the skies went blue just S of my location (MIddlesex Co circa 1990's), as a band of dark skies with attending light right shower mixed with rather large sleet bombs ping here then there.  Yet, it was 57 F as the band came through, and before the precip stopped .. that sun cut in underneath as the clearing line was moving NE.  Weird...  

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tired of this attitude really, nobody spun sh it

 

I don't care what you're tired of ...

 

This: "you want 65-70 and sun but instead it's snow chances and raw " is spin and or delusion.  Not sure which is motivating that... but that's bullcrap. sorry.

 

Also, the fact that no one, NO ONE is mentioning any warm potential when there bald faced clearly days in there where it certainly could be quite balmy, only seeking to discuss (avoid the fact that winter is over) cold nuggets...that all speak volumes.  

 

Later.

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SWEET! Not sure if this is OK to post, but if anyone is interested, my place at Bretton Woods is available for the next few weekends, and I've dropped the price by about 70%! Lift tickets are $29 starting next week

 

http://www.vrbo.com/633706

 

 

 

 

Man the GGEM looks sweet up this way through Tuesday.

 

attachicon.gifcmc_snow_acc_neng_18.png

 

 

Nice SNE event on Wednesday, too.

 

attachicon.gifcmc_pr6_slp_t850_neng_23.png

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There could be warm days, but having warmer weather progged at day 8 in April is akin to a day 8 snow event in winter. I'm going to have to get that inside day 3-4.  JMHO.

 

Ha, this is actually quite true... 

 

And, I hope folks don't think I'm biased against snow and cold departures. I've giving this period/thing equal footing.. But the present day teleconnectors/mass field indices et al are slanted away from that. Otherwise, I'd put my personal druthers aside and be right there. 

 

I just think the probabilities are such that it gets muted for that next week.  ...for now anyway

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not me just was feeling bad for you as your prior posts seemed to indicate you were on the edge. Epic week for VT ski areas.

Nah I'm good. Always a realist. Arrived in Chicago yesterday to a gorgeous day and evening. It has grown rather blustery late day today but spring is just waking up everywhere.

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Too much so, actually... It clears house

 

One concern is that the "meat" of the precip is more with marginal 850 temps and not deep enough into the colder air. But hey...some models have shown otherwise and the GFS is pretty juicy close to the SN/IP zone.

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Just no warmth or spring Wx in sight for as far out as one can see thru day 10. Nothing but wet, white and chill. You do have to feel a bit for those lost souls who yearn for a warm sun on their face. It will come at some point,, just not soon

If we can't pull a siggy snow, then that is horrific
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