ineedsnow Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 i can see that but read what you wrote Ryan Hanrahan @ryanhanrahan 55m55 minutes ago Could be an interesting temperature drop on Saturday. Euro shows 65-70 around daybreak with 30s by nightfall! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 Nah, I wouldn't worry about moving temp/thickness large values in time for different results at this time of year. There's a lot of chatter in the air re this 18th aniv. of the big one in '97, well... case in point. Two days before that storm it was 63F in waif early heat up at UML... I think the bigger issue is the handling of the placement of that boundary once that 2ndary eject comes out of the southern Rockies and rides up along it. It's probable that the models are okay this point? But not certain ... I also think that the Euro is too liberal with cold heights over SE/E Canada in the latter middle range.. It's typical to over carve heights in that region, by this particular model ... I suspect in future guidance of the next couple of days .. those heights fill a tad, and/or lift out ...lessening confluence and probably attenuating that much polar wedging. That's starting to look seasonally off a tad, for one. But seeing as there is culpable reasons to suspect that set up, I just think that's likely overdone. We'll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 Fri night-Sat track looks to finally be about where the Maine peeps have wanted it for two months, but 35F rain because the move came too late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QcSevereWx Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 The Euro with a major snow storm saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 Fri night-Sat track looks to finally be about where the Maine peeps have wanted it for two months, but 35F rain because the move came too late. lol that would be fitting for NNE...if we miss a 12" paste storm that's just over the border in Quebec. One of those years up here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 Ryan Hanrahan @ryanhanrahan 55m55 minutes ago Could be an interesting temperature drop on Saturday. Euro shows 65-70 around daybreak with 30s by nightfall! Sick drop...Euro has BDL with +11C 850 temp at 12z Sat, and then 6-hrs later at 18z it's -6C.ORH goes from +13C to -6C in those same 6 hours at 850mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 Euro ensembles have NNE colder for Saturday...probably some decent snow for Powderfreak over to SR/SL land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 AVP <.25 Sn+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 120" here I come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 Sick drop...Euro has BDL with +11C 850 temp at 12z Sat, and then 6-hrs later at 18z it's -6C. ORH goes from +13C to -6C in those same 6 hours at 850mb. You would think that boundary would be farther south than the op has it with the cold push..I still think Friday's 60's are in peril Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 What in the world was with that EURO storm Day 7-10? Like 72 hours of precip as snow from like ORH north. It's like 12-18" from the ORH hills and Berkshires north through VT/NH/ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 Euro ensembles have NNE colder for Saturday...probably some decent snow for Powderfreak over to SR/SL land. PF checked out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 What in the world was with that EURO storm Day 7-10? Like 72 hours of precip as snow from like ORH north. It's like 12-18" from the ORH hills and Berkshires north through VT/NH/ME. bowling season coming late but its coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 Euro ensembles have NNE colder for Saturday...probably some decent snow for Powderfreak over to SR/SL land. I was just going to look into that...my fear is today all the global models have shifted north with that low, and I wonder if it'll just take the ensembles another run or two to figure it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 120" here I come. 100" here I come? Not holding my breath although Sun/Mon does look marginally interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 PF checked outHaha I'll tell you again, I've checked out on anything other than a good warning snow. Otherwise not that interested. But the potential is there over the next week.I think most are in the same boat. If it's not significant let's move on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 What in the world was with that EURO storm Day 7-10? Like 72 hours of precip as snow from like ORH north. It's like 12-18" from the ORH hills and Berkshires north through VT/NH/ME. ENS colder and south a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 ENS colder and south a bitWatch that one. I may issue a record watch if that is depicted this wknd ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 Haha I'll tell you again, I've checked out on anything other than a good warning snow. Otherwise not that interested. But the potential is there over the next week. I think most are in the same boat. If it's not significant let's move on. LOl its ovah according to DIT, not even close bro, your week of 60's are a long dream away for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 ENS colder and south a bit Cool, maybe this has legs for the Pike north crowd. That's better for you anyway, can't work on the lawn with anymore pesky snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 Watch that one. I may issue a record watch if that is depicted this wknd ... i friggin hope so, I mean you worked hard for it Garth style. 99 chances for a record and you have 1? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 LOl its ovah according to DIT, not even close bro, your week of 60's are a long dream away for you Haha yes they are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 Cool, maybe this has legs for the Pike north crowd. That's better for you anyway, can't work on the lawn with anymore pesky snow. May turn into a southern slider..we'll see. lot sod cold and strong HP nosing, pushing, oozing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 Haha I'll tell you again, I've checked out on anything other than a good warning snow. Otherwise not that interested. But the potential is there over the next week. I think most are in the same boat. If it's not significant let's move on. Careful ..I said I felt that way yesterday and was lambasted for it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 The records for snow and cold from Jan - March are probably something none of us see again, I mean ORH destroyed their temp and snow records cumulative Jan - March dating back to the 1800's when Jerry was born. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 The records for snow and cold from Jan - March are probably something none of us see again, I mean ORH destroyed their temp and snow records cumulative Jan - March dating back to the 1800's when Jerry was born.I'm amazed at the coverage heading into April. Never before or again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 Careful ..I said I felt that way yesterday and was lambasted for it... he didn't feel that way today from a 3-5 as he made turns bro, no way, he will love every nickle and dime that gives him freshies. He would be fool if he didn't ,nothing better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 I dunno .. one aspect predicted dead on so far by the earlier climate model runs was that the occurrence of anomalies in themselves would increase in frequency as a part of global climate change. Not just "warmer" per se. That part of the argument isn't really detectable in the times scales of the events them selves. Also, with more warmth comes higher ambient water vapor available to precipiation kinematics. Incidences of flooding and/or higher than usual snowfall results around the mean polar boundaries, are both also predicted by said models. It'll be interesting to see how this all works out over the next 10 years... During which time, high latitude blocking is supposed to become more prevalent during colder months. That has a cause that's a whole other verbal journey...it just is. Anyway, point being, I think the occurrence of above normal snowfall might actually be favored for the time being. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 I'm amazed at the coverage heading into April. Never before or again. even down here near GON, its really amazing to see the woods with full cover Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 Euro ensembles took a steaming dump on the idea of spring warmth the first ten days of April...that's pretty nasty cold as depicted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.