tamarack Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 April 67 showing up quite a bit in analogs years, Orh was -4.3 with 7.3 of snow Bos -3.2 with 3.3 inches Farmington had 15" that April, including 9" on 4/19, their latest ever daily max 32 or below. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 I think they are terrible, but to each his own. I've seen outputs that make no sense to me. Where it will show very little in a marginal column when clearly there is a signal for heavier snow...and then vice versa. I think the specific 12z GFS solution was a bit light in spots. I definitely prefer non-algorithm based analysis when looking at a model for snowfall. Yeah they aren't great, but the 10:1 ratio ones are much better to me than the ones that try to work ratios into the mix. You know like those text outputs where the NAM tries to bring 18:1 ratios to every storm. I just generally find the 10:1 ratio snow maps to have done pretty well over the past couple months. I used to be a real hater of them too. But maybe that's because the past two months have been easy cold thermal profiles so 10:1 ratio snow is basically a QPF map with the decimal point moved. I agree in marginal situations they are much less useless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 If the GFS-based snowfall maps verified, Katahdin would be over 400" by now, as there's almost always a generous jack pictured for the Baxter Mountains. However, those maps have been quite close for my area since last month's blizz bust - (almost) nothing forecast, (almost) nothing gained. Haha, yes but if the GFS-based QPF maps also verified, Katahdin would likely have over 40" of SWE I've noticed the new GFS with the higher resolution grid definitely gets terrain happy with QPF output in synoptic events. Even if the lift is occurring at 9000ft with weak winds, it'll still jack up the higher terrain a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 silly Yup Almost like a "dammit i don't want another painful non plowable "waste" so let it f'n rain undertone. I'll take the flakes every time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 I'm going to go ahead and call it. No more accumulating snow in SNE. All are done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 I'm going to go ahead and call it. No more accumulating snow in SNE. All are doneif that's the case we went out on a classy note, although I doubt it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 if that's the case we went out on a classy note, although I doubt it. No doubt about it. A great run from Jan 24th - March 30th for all of SNE..Really from Maine south. An epic period and winter comes to an end. Hard to believe how fast it went..it seems like just yesterday we were tracking storm after storm in early-mid Feb and here we are at the end facing an ugly cold wet spring in New England. But it's the price we pay for living here and enjoying such a blockbuster winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 Yup Almost like a "dammit i don't want another painful non plowable "waste" so let it f'n rain undertone. I'll take the flakes every time Calling someone else's opinion silly is grossly ignorant. Like I said, I don't control it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 Calling someone else's opinion silly is grossly ignorant. Like I said, I don't control it.it's silly you would have everyone rain if you can't get accumulating snow is what Pickles said Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 it's silly you would have everyone rain if you can't get accumulating snowNot everyone ...like you always say..."so long as it snows in ski country"....is talking out of both sides of your mouth silly? I'm done with nuisance events at this juncture. Deal with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 Looks like the 18z GFS is coming into line with the GGEM/Euro ideas of placing more emphasis on the lead wave as it spins up into eastern Ontario. This run has backed off on the intensity of late arriving S/W, and thus, less ANA/frontal wave if any for Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 Not everyone ...like you always say..."so long as it snows in ski country"....is talking out of both sides of your mouth silly? I'm done with nuisance events at this juncture. Deal with it.yeah that's fine. South of Pike Spring continues if 18Z GFS is right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 No doubt about it. A great run from Jan 24th - March 30th for all of SNE..Really from Maine south. An epic period and winter comes to an end. Hard to believe how fast it went..it seems like just yesterday we were tracking storm after storm in early-mid Feb and here we are at the end facing an ugly cold wet spring in New England. But it's the price we pay for living here and enjoying such a blockbuster winter.then there's the 18z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 yeah that's fine. South of Pike Spring continues if 18Z GFS is rightWhatever will be, will be. Can't control it. I'm good, but not that good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 Whatever will be will be. Can't control it. I'm goodthat's not what she said Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 Great post...very illuminating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 then there's the 18z GFSRainer after cold Rainer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 Rainer after cold RainerHmmm not what the ginxy parallel says, better look again, check your eyes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 Ahhhh yes. Kevin finally acquiesced. Hopefully another Abercrombie and Fitch opportunity for Will and Meghan to walk around Wachusett while Kevin rains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 Hmmm not what the ginxy parallel says, better look again, check your eyesyou might want to check for yourself for once Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 Rainer after cold Rainernot what it shows Kevin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 Ahhhh yes. Kevin finally acquiesced. Hopefully another Abercrombie and Fitch opportunity for Will and Meghan to walk around Wachusett while Kevin rains.In January always possible. Not April. ORH snows.. I snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 In January always possible. Not April. ORH snows.. I snow Not always. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 Always and forever. It's elevation in April Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 Not always. Tell him to not look at April 1987. Thy had about 6" there and then heavy rain while ORH had 17". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 Tell him to not look at April 1987. Thy had about 6" there and then heavy rain while ORH had 17".He was talking about a MLK type deal like in 2010 where you had a foot and I had rain. That would never happen in Napril Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 Tell him to not look at April 1987. Thy had about 6" there and then heavy rain while ORH had 17". Brutal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 He was talking about a MLK type deal like in 2010 where you had a foot and I had rain. That would never happen in Napril Pretty much what happened in '87. You did get some snow before the flip tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 Pretty much what happened in '87. You did get some snow before the flip tho.Yeah that's what I meant. In April, Impossible to be all rain in elevation anywhere in SNE and get 100% rain while other elevations got snow. It's never happened in Napril. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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