WinterWxLuvr Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 0z surely didn't. I'm not sure though..where do you stand on more snow? LOL.........I can't change it, but if I could, your suggestion of 80 on Friday would be sweet IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 this kind of storm in late march dosent do it for me at all. Superbomb or spring pleaseHave you seen the rgem? It's been good this year and if it's right, you might have a similar result. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Have you seen the rgem? It's been good this year and if it's right, you might have a similar result. How about a model rundown Mitch. Start with the Euro from last night. I'm curious, but don't care enough to look at models myself. Care to do a rundown? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 DCA is white rain/snow at 51 hours....snow at 48, but 35 degrees....still looks like 1-2 for DC proper based on the model. 45 hours is around freezing and perhaps up to an inch has fallen.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 this kind of storm in late march dosent do it for me at all. Superbomb or spring please same here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 18, 2015 Author Share Posted March 18, 2015 Well well... hello there GGEM (can't see hr 51, but I assume it would be good as well) GGEM comes in early enough, looks heavy enough to get stickage before sunrise... ~0.20 QPF by 8am ETA: DC is snowing by 4am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 GGEM @ 12z has -3 850's over DCA, 0c line down by EZF, and .20 on the ground in DC. Surface temps are 31-33 through the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 18, 2015 Author Share Posted March 18, 2015 GGEM @ 12z has -3 850's over DCA, 0c line down by EZF, and .20 on the ground in DC. Surface temps are 31-33 through the region. This GGEM run is prob best case scenario for us tbh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Sucks that the Euro is now an hour later. I hope the March sun doesn't impact what the model shows us in about 90 minutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 This GGEM run is prob best case scenario for us tbh Flip is prob 15z. Somewhere around .30-.40 as frozen for most all of us. Far N-NE zone jackpot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Sucks that the Euro is now an hour later. I hope the March sun doesn't impact what the model shows us in about 90 minutes If they hadn't moved daylight savings time up a few weeks, we'd be in a much better situation. Thanks Obama. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Sucks that the Euro is now an hour later. I hope the March sun doesn't impact what the model shows us in about 90 minutes If they hadn't moved daylight savings time up a few weeks, we'd be in a much better situation. Thanks Obama. This is precisely why we need a "like" button Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Winds are out of the ESE the entire time. Don't like to he setup, but we may still pull off 2-4 before the changeover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Here's how I'd sum up GFS: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 If they hadn't moved daylight savings time up a few weeks, we'd be in a much better situation. Thanks Obama. well as far as cancellations go, the extra hour of darkness is actually helpful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Festus Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 If they hadn't moved daylight savings time up a few weeks, we'd be in a much better situation. Thanks Obama. Sorry but just had to reply. The earlier time was adopted in the US in 2007. Thanks for the laugh though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Winds are out of the ESE the entire time. Don't like to he setup, but we may still pull off 2-4 before the changeover. Models have done well @ short leads with unconventional snow this year. Were even too warm with the ice event. Seems to be some decent consensus with temps right around or slightly above freezing with a column that supports snow and precip in the .2-.4 range. UHI areas will suffer the typical disadvantage but still accumulate and measure unless the wheels fall off. Northern tier will have their typical advantage. My yard will be in between so I think 1" seems likely with 2" in reach. It will probably take .30+ precip to get to 2 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 GGEM goes boom for Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 GGEM is a terrible model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 GGEM is a terrible model. Lol 2+ feet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 GGEM goes boom for Tuesday. It has to be posted. This includes the 3-4 on Fri but still. I'll take the severe under. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 It has to be posted. This includes the 3-4 on Fri but still. I'll take the severe under. lolzilol.JPG Can Cherry blossoms still bloom if they are buried by 8' drifts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 That would be rough to watch from New Orleans lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 It has to be posted. This includes the 3-4 on Fri but still. I'll take the severe under. lolzilol.JPG It will all melt as it falls....its March afterall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Flip is prob 15z. Somewhere around .30-.40 as frozen for most all of us. Far N-NE zone jackpot. Well damn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Canadian map seems legit. I mean, its not like we ever really do 'normal' or 'near normal' snowfall around here. Boom or bust. Boomtown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Well damn I never have much confidence in the GEM. GFS was a warning shot with the mid levels but who knows if it's precip depiction is correct. RGEM says more/earlier which is good. I think setting a 1-2" bar through the corridor is a fair shake from what I'm seeing. I haven't put my analyzing cap on until today. I did look at the overnight runs this morning. There really isn't that much spread between the models but surface and time of the flip mean a lot so little wobbles there can have a big impact. Northern tier is looking good right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 That would be rough to watch from New Orleans lol. be real, you'd probably fly back if that was in the offing, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 be real, you'd probably fly back if that was in the offing, right? I dunno.. probably not. My girlfriend has been bugging me to go somewhere not chasing involved for like 3 years. I doubt she'd be excited to cut it short to see snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Fringed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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