nw baltimore wx Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 41/25 And yet every news station and app use it for Leesburgs temp....drives me nuts You and TJ should head a committee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 Didn't think I would see the word bust associated with a storm as modest as this on March 20th. Whether DC gets white rain, or 3 inches, hard to call it a bust either way. Whatever happens its a memory in a matter of hours. Can't agree there. 3" of snow in DC is way more than forecast. I could see my area get 6-8" or almost nothing. That's a big window...too big to be called a good forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 WWAs just got extended east a bit. SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY- CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST HOWARD-EASTERN LOUDOUN- 924 PM EDT THU MAR 19 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 2 PM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 2 PM EDT FRIDAY. * PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 3 INCHES. * TIMING...LIGHT RAIN WILL MOVE IN LATE TONIGHT...TRANSITIONING TO ALL SNOW BEFORE DAWN FRIDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY...MAKING TRAVELING HAZARDOUS. * WINDS...EAST 5 TO 10 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 maybe if someone turned off the lamp, it wouldn't be so warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 WWAs just got extended east a bit. SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY- CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST HOWARD-EASTERN LOUDOUN- 924 PM EDT THU MAR 19 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 2 PM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 2 PM EDT FRIDAY. * PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 3 INCHES. * TIMING...LIGHT RAIN WILL MOVE IN LATE TONIGHT...TRANSITIONING TO ALL SNOW BEFORE DAWN FRIDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY...MAKING TRAVELING HAZARDOUS. * WINDS...EAST 5 TO 10 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S. ...almost at the exact same time as they did on March 24, 2013. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 WWAs just got extended east a bit. SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY- CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST HOWARD-EASTERN LOUDOUN- 924 PM EDT THU MAR 19 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 2 PM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 2 PM EDT FRIDAY. * PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 3 INCHES. * TIMING...LIGHT RAIN WILL MOVE IN LATE TONIGHT...TRANSITIONING TO ALL SNOW BEFORE DAWN FRIDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY...MAKING TRAVELING HAZARDOUS. * WINDS...EAST 5 TO 10 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S. I don't see how those don't get extended again before all is said and done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 I don't know that I buy MOS derived data for this kind of situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 Temp dropping at about 2 degrees per hour. That'll work...if it continues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThreeRedheads Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 42.4° DP 23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 44/21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 Lwx has been especially bad handling aa co this year. Don't really care that they're leaving it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 Down to 36 here. Off to bed. Hope everyone enjoys the snow that falls in their backyard, however much that is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 maybe if someone turned off the lamp, it wouldn't be so warm http://www.instantrimshot.com Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 I don't know that I buy MOS derived data for this kind of situation. Probably not fully.. not sure I'd totally disregard. Even the colder raw solutions are just cold enough. LAMP is iffier though IMO.. it's warmer than regular MOS was earlier too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 SREFS plumes for KOKV have a mean of about 5.25 but is heavily skewed low by 4 extremely low members. Majority are high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 Temp dropping at about 2 degrees per hour. That'll work...if it continues Models all seem to have us flattening out for several hours before the precip arrives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 ROA has got to be seeing some snow flakes in the higher spots around the city, and definitely in the hills with this sounding http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_uacalplt.cgi?id=KRNK&pl=out3&cu=la&pt=parcel&size=640x480 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 I better not see deck pics tomorrow from people not wanting more snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 SREFS plumes for KOKV have a mean of about 5.25 but is heavily skewed low by 4 extremely low members. Majority are high. The SREF plume mean for Frederick is about 6" with no member below 3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 Models all seem to have us flattening out for several hours before the precip arrives. All depends on how far we drop before that flattening I suppose Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 Probably not fully.. not sure I'd totally disregard. Even the colder raw solutions are just cold enough. LAMP is iffier though IMO.. it's warmer than regular MOS was earlier too. 34 overnight and 33.5 during the morning seems to be about where I can get accumulations here. Above that and it gets sketchy. It isn't like we are going to be pounding a la Jan 2011. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 41/20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 34 overnight and 33.5 during the morning seems to be about where I can get accumulations here. Above that and it gets sketchy. It isn't like we are going to be pounding a la Jan 2011. Just the thought brings positive vibes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 Well, I'll be darned. 42/25. Pretty chilly, but only holding out for some slushy snow. I might see a couple slushers hang on on top of my car for a couple of seconds before melting. I should see mostly steady rain though. That means steady rain TONIGHT too, as well as all morning. The all rain/RASN line will be about 10 miles to my northwest. Bank on it. I should have gone to school for meteorology. I know my region perfectly. My winds have been east all day with a persistent SE component. Can you say 'kiss of death' for all snow? Can you say South Maryland climate? DCA might pick up 1-3 inches of wet snow. They happen to be 25 miles NORTH of me lol Congrats mountains and C MD. Enjoy the 6-8 inches of snow! Take a jebwalk for me lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 34 overnight and 33.5 during the morning seems to be about where I can get accumulations here. Above that and it gets sketchy. It isn't like we are going to be pounding a la Jan 2011. I didn't pay that much attention to details today.. was a bit surprised how warm MOS is. It is going to probably lean high .. tho a blend might only get DCA to like 35. Not like DCA snow matters that much... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 20, 2015 Author Share Posted March 20, 2015 Looks like precip starts around 3/4am for DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 0Z NAM is a bit warmer early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 20, 2015 Author Share Posted March 20, 2015 Snow sounding at DCA at 12z FRI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 It's wet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 SREFS plumes for KOKV have a mean of about 5.25 but is heavily skewed low by 4 extremely low members. Majority are high. My call is 3. I know it seems low. But its a tough time of year for us to get smoked 40/15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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