BTRWx Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 On 3/19/2015 at 1:48 PM, Ji said: lol....next month...the average temp goes up to 93.... maybe in FL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 On 3/19/2015 at 12:52 PM, stormtracker said: There's always a glass half empty poster... Yeah, they're the ones hoping for snow...........lol. Seriously, this probably has the highest bust potential of any of the snows this year, IMO. I wouldn't be shocked at all to see almost all rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 19, 2015 Author Share Posted March 19, 2015 12z NAM still looks okay for most of us in N VA/DC/MD DCA is barely a snow sounding at 15z... flip is imminent at that time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 hires nam looks pretty sweet @ 9z. Comes in hot and heavy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 On 3/19/2015 at 2:21 PM, Bob Chill said: hires nam looks pretty sweet @ 9z. Comes in hot and heavy. What are temps in the column at this time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 On 3/19/2015 at 2:22 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: What are temps in the column at this time? 32-33 at the surface. We actually get nam'd with the high res. Pretty heavy snow from 9-15z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Since model output is suggesting 2-4" with 10:1 ratios, I'm going with 1".... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 On 3/19/2015 at 2:16 PM, yoda said: 12z NAM still looks okay for most of us in N VA/DC/MD DCA is barely a snow sounding at 15z... flip is imminent at that time That is 1 PM... I do not know what everyone is complaining about??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 This is all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 19, 2015 Author Share Posted March 19, 2015 On 3/19/2015 at 2:23 PM, Bob Chill said: 32-33 at the surface. We actually get nam'd with the high res. Pretty heavy snow from 9-15z. Which is exactly what we need -- heavy rates and starts early enough to accumulate before sunrise... hr 24 is fun time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 On 3/19/2015 at 1:34 PM, Ian said: DCA got all the way to 39 last night. Not worried! But it's a dry heat down there, DCA rh like 55% while Annapolis, Andrews 80%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 19, 2015 Author Share Posted March 19, 2015 On 3/19/2015 at 2:24 PM, RidingTheModelWithMostSnow said: That is 1 PM... I do not know what everyone is complaining about??? 1pm is 17z.... 15z is 11am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 I'm going to hug the hires nam until something comes in better. It's a best case scenario with all the important stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Baro is good but would like it to hold around 30.35 and not go up or down much. Evap is going to be like 50% of the spread from dew vs temp so that will help. The ground is still likely colder than average for right now so with it at night it will accumulate. This looks good form what I just described, 2 to possibly 4" for around and outside Beltway, 1-2" at the Washington Monument and the usual trace at DCA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 I-70 N never flips to rain. DCA on the line @ 15z but the line only jumps to i-70 by 18z. Overdone map but pretty nonetheless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 On 3/19/2015 at 2:25 PM, yoda said: 1pm is 17z.... 15z is 11am Sorry that is my fault... but still... by then all the heavy stuff I believe has moved through Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inverted_Trough Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 On 3/19/2015 at 2:28 PM, Tenman Johnson said: Baro is good but would like it to hold around 30.35 and not go up or down much. Evap is going to be like 50% of the spread from dew vs temp so that will help. The ground is still likely colder than average for right now so with it at night it will accumulate. This looks good form what I just described, 2 to possibly 4" for around and outside Beltway, 1-2" at the Washington Monument and the usual trace at DCA. I predict 0.1" at DCA. C'mon, everyone knows the Potomac River is such a huge heat reservoir - it stores more heat than all the oceans combined. And don't forget UHI - they've got more concrete than Tokyo! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 I think I'm good for about 3" or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 On 3/19/2015 at 2:22 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: What are temps in the column at this time? Hi Res is a nice hit for us. As long as we keep our expectations in check. This is going to be a cool little event. 1-3 thumper's are fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 1 am start time helps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Final call - grass measurements.... .9" @ DCA 1.8" @ BWI 2.3" @ IAD 5.7" @ Somewhere in Carroll Co. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 we are due for a major bust...forecasting has been pretty spot on this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 On 3/19/2015 at 2:33 PM, clskinsfan said: Hi Res is a nice hit for us. As long as we keep our expectations in check. This is going to be a cool little event. 1-3 thumper's are fun. you might get 4 or 5 inches if it all falls at night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 On 3/19/2015 at 2:47 PM, Ji said: we are due for a major bust...forecasting has been pretty spot on this year I agree. DCA will hit WSW criteria when LWX calls for 1-2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 40" here Leesburg comes!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 On 3/19/2015 at 2:30 PM, Bob Chill said: I-70 N never flips to rain. DCA on the line @ 15z but the line only jumps to i-70 by 18z. Overdone map but pretty nonetheless I'll take the under for most folks not in the Winchester-Mt das-Westminster-Mt Parkton corridor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 our trump card http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sfc_con.php?image=de&inv=0&t=cur Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 On 3/19/2015 at 2:50 PM, WxUSAF said: I'll take the under for most folks not in the Winchester-Mt das-Westminster-Mt Parkton corridor. I said sometime yesterday that my yard looked good for 1-2" with more upside than downside. That's where my head is at unless things keep juicing up and cooling down today. I watched my temps yesterday evening and I dropped from 46 to the low 30's pretty quickly. If my yard is still in the upper 30's when I go to bed tonight then there's an obvious big flag. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 On 3/19/2015 at 2:54 PM, Bob Chill said: I said sometime yesterday that my yard looked good for 1-2" with more upside than downside. That's where my head is at unless things keep juicing up and cooling down today. I watched my temps yesterday evening and I dropped from 46 to the low 30's pretty quickly. If my yard is still in the upper 30's when I go to bed tonight then there's an obvious big flag. I think ~2" is the over/under mark for you and I. Probably 1" in DC proper. 0.1" for a little portion of northern Virginia along the Potomac where big shiny metal things land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 On 3/19/2015 at 2:54 PM, Bob Chill said: I said sometime yesterday that my yard looked good for 1-2" with more upside than downside. That's where my head is at unless things keep juicing up and cooling down today. I watched my temps yesterday evening and I dropped from 46 to the low 30's pretty quickly. If my yard is still in the upper 30's when I go to bed tonight then there's an obvious big flag. going to bed at 7:30pm dosent count Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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