Ji Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 On 3/18/2015 at 4:58 PM, Bob Chill said: It has to be posted. This includes the 3-4 on Fri but still. I'll take the severe under. lolzilol.JPG that's the storm I'm kinda looking for Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 On 3/18/2015 at 5:12 PM, Ji said: that's the storm I'm kinda looking for making a run for #1 storm all time for DC in late March would be epic also Matt Rogers would verify on his 40" for DC call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 On 3/18/2015 at 5:15 PM, Ian said: making a run for #1 storm all time for DC in late March would be epic also Matt Rogers would verify on his 40" for DC call. Should we start a thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 On 3/18/2015 at 5:15 PM, Ian said: making a run for #1 storm all time for DC in late March would be epic also Matt Rogers would verify on his 40" for DC call. The ingredients for a real storm have been there for days. I'm not really sold on the squashed idea. GEM is obviously on crack but it wouldn't shock me much if something organized starts showing up with more consistency over the next few days. Still a low prob event until it becomes high prob. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 On 3/18/2015 at 4:58 PM, Bob Chill said: It has to be posted. This includes the 3-4 on Fri but still. I'll take the severe under. lolzilol.JPG I'm sorry...i rarely do this in a model thread but Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 On 3/18/2015 at 5:16 PM, BristowWX said: Should we start a thread? sure, but nothing more than this right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 On 3/18/2015 at 4:58 PM, Bob Chill said: It has to be posted. This includes the 3-4 on Fri but still. I'll take the severe under. lolzilol.JPG What on Earth..................... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 On 3/18/2015 at 5:09 PM, Ian said: I dunno.. probably not. My girlfriend has been bugging me to go somewhere not chasing involved for like 3 years. I doubt she'd be excited to cut it short to see snow.that kind of storm...you dump her and leave her in new Orleans Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 On 3/18/2015 at 5:18 PM, Bob Chill said: The ingredients for a real storm have been there for days. I'm not really sold on the squashed idea. GEM is obviously on crack but it wouldn't shock me much if something organized starts showing up with more consistency over the next few days. Still a low prob event until it becomes high prob. lol We might have a good storm but a storm like that? lol. I'm willing to go out on a limb and say no chance this run verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 On 3/18/2015 at 5:22 PM, Ji said: that kind of storm...you dump her and leave her in new Orleans I'd consider donating a kidney for that kind of storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Now this is hilarious On 3/18/2015 at 5:22 PM, Ji said: that kind of storm...you dump her and leave her in new Orleans Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 What kind of storm is it anyway? (tropical tidbits is running slow) Coastal? Or an inverted trough like March 1942? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 On 3/18/2015 at 5:22 PM, Ji said: that kind of storm...you dump her and leave her in new Orleans Some things are better left unsaid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 On 3/18/2015 at 5:22 PM, Ji said: that kind of storm...you dump her and leave her in new Orleans Maybe snow on Friday will cancel my flight and we will have to stay here. I'm all nervous about missing a HECS now. :< Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 On 3/18/2015 at 5:18 PM, Bob Chill said: The ingredients for a real storm have been there for days. I'm not really sold on the squashed idea. GEM is obviously on crack but it wouldn't shock me much if something organized starts showing up with more consistency over the next few days. Still a low prob event until it becomes high prob. lol March 25 is the new December 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 On 3/18/2015 at 5:24 PM, Ian said: We might have a good storm but a storm like that? lol. I'm willing to go out on a limb and say no chance this run verifies. Ha, definitely not a storm like that. A solid late march elevation storm with enough scraps for us to call it a snowstorm seems like the most probable event if something even happens at all. Or we continue the heater and get pasted with a 4-8/6-10 kind of deal that goes down in the books as one of the biggest late march storms. If anything happens I'm rooting for enough confluence to keep it entirely intimate to the MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 On 3/18/2015 at 5:25 PM, Fozz said: What kind of storm is it anyway? (tropical tidbits is running slow) Coastal? Or an inverted trough like March 1942? a slider that becomes snowmageddon.. 1" liquid in 6 hrs ending 12z. might stick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 On 3/18/2015 at 5:26 PM, Ian said: Maybe snow on Friday will cancel my flight and we will have to stay here. I'm all nervous about missing a HECS now. :< You know it would be white rain since it's a week away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 On 3/18/2015 at 5:25 PM, Fozz said: What kind of storm is it anyway? (tropical tidbits is running slow) Coastal? Or an inverted trough like March 1942? Stream phase. Looks like 1 southern and 2 northern vorts all spin up together and h5 closes off just off the delmarva. Massive 50/50 keeping it all in line and slow enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 On 3/18/2015 at 4:58 PM, Bob Chill said: It has to be posted. This includes the 3-4 on Fri but still. I'll take the severe under. lolzilol.JPG For half a second I though that was depicting temperature (in degrees F) instead. My mind simply could not grasp snow accumulations of that magnitude. Had to look twice...totally LOL-tasitc, but would be great of course! "And now, Ladies and Gentlemen, the Most Absurd Snow Map Oscar for the 2014-15 winter season goes to ..." (drum roll, please) "...the GGEM, for its depiction of Snowmageddon in late March!" Bob, you've got to save that image for posterity...seriously! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 On 3/18/2015 at 5:09 PM, Ian said: I dunno.. probably not. My girlfriend has been bugging me to go somewhere not chasing involved for like 3 years. I doubt she'd be excited to cut it short to see snow. I was in New Orleans just prior to the bust of March '13 and flew back early for nothing.. sack up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 On 3/18/2015 at 4:58 PM, Bob Chill said: It has to be posted. This includes the 3-4 on Fri but still. I'll take the severe under. lolzilol.JPG Hmm... still time for a north trend. That's the storm that the crazy ensemble member was showing at 00z. It reminds me of the April Fool's day storm in Boston. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/April_Fool%27s_Day_Blizzard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 On 3/18/2015 at 6:01 PM, Yeoman said: I was in New Orleans just prior to the bust of March '13 and flew back early for nothing.. sack up! Coming back early or canceling a trip in March is fools folly...learned that hard way few times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Euro pretty much in line. .20-.30 by 7am. Surface in the low 30s. Flip around 15z (guessing. don't have 3 hr panels). Supportive of 1-3" for the corridor if it falls fast enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 On 3/18/2015 at 6:15 PM, Bob Chill said: Euro pretty much in line. .20-.30 by 7am. Surface in the low 30s. Flip around 15z (guessing. don't have 3 hr panels). Supportive of 1-3" for the corridor if it falls fast enough. Flip from snow to rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 On 3/18/2015 at 6:17 PM, WxUSAF said: Flip from snow to rain? yea, we lose the midlevels between 12-18z. Some precip definitely falls between 15-0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 On 3/18/2015 at 5:30 PM, Bob Chill said: Stream phase. Looks like 1 southern and 2 northern vorts all spin up together and h5 closes off just off the delmarva. Massive 50/50 keeping it all in line and slow enough. phase.JPG phase1.JPG The key of course is that massive 50/50. Without that, its nothing.a la GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 I'm nervous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 How much for Philly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 We should keep the long range stuff in the other thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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