ORH_wxman Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Not surprised IT's maybe slightly tamer, but similar...I'd still like to see another bump north to be more confident. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 GFS looks good through 48. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 0z GFS:1" to CON 2" to the MA/VT/NH border 3" to the Pike 4" to the MA/CT border Isolated 5-7" on the south coast of CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Pretty nice run for the GFs, but I was hoping to see the hang-back in eastern areas. Didn't really have it like the 12z run (or the Euro) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 First thoughts for CT, will do a regionwide map in the morning but basically extend the 2-4 to a BOS-ORH line and 1-3 north of there to MHT and you get my thinking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Canadian is ugly, barely 0.1" to BOS-ORH. 0.3" is confined to far SWCT. Ukie on the other hand is decent with the initial round and then has nice hang back precip for eastern areas Saturday afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Just saw your map SR. 3-6" for a good part of the state is a fair call right now, with the sharp gradient amounts may taper down to 1" closer to MA boarder and 6" SW CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 00Z UKMET. This supports your call of 2-4, 3-6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Yeah that looks right in line with my map as does the GFS. GGEM going south is a bit concerning, but let's see what the Euro does before we sound the alarms one way or the other. Unfortunately, 215 is just a wee bit too late and so I'm out for the night, hopefully it likes the hang back like it did on it's 12z run and like the Ukie does now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Wow euro is pretty meh. Maybe 2-3 in srn CT? It does try to redevelop snow in ern areas after 12z, but yo are fighting solar insolation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 GFS might have a weenie band getting into CT and RI/SE MA, but overall not the trend we wanted to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Nice runs overall. RGEM time now 3-6 is my call pike south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Nice runs overall. RGEM time now 3-6 is my call pike south Wha? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 06z NAM has 0.1" PSF-BDL-TOL-IJD and 0.25" DXR-SNC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 6z GFS is decent across srn areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 6z GFS is decent across srn areas.Not much change from 00z. If anything, just a tick less from the CT border to points north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Wha? Rgem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Not much change from 00z. If anything, just a tick less from the CT border to points north. The whole setup has sucked from day 1. Flags galore. I'm not sold on much near the pike right now and even down to Kevin, but maybe it changes. Disappointing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Rgem Blows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Blows. So you don't think there' will be more than 1 inch around these parts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Rgem6z is very meh. Has 1.5" there. Only marginally >3" down in SW CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Might be a good call by you.I think ORH will get 2-3", same for KBED4" TAN 3-4" BDL, PVD. 3" for KScooter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 6z is very meh. Has 1.5" there. Only marginally >3" down in SW CT. Only goes thru Fri at 8pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Here's my thought process. We're seeing models doing their usual too strong confluence to north in this timeframe. My guess is we see that back off like usual..which will bring back the solutions we saw yesterday for north of pike folks. 12z should start that..If not..then yes take em down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Only goes thru Fri at 8pmNah, through 2am Saturday and the precip shield has moved out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Nothin like wakin up to garbage model runs. Sigh. One more bump south and it's futility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 The whole setup has sucked from day 1. Flags galore. I'm not sold on much near the pike right now and even down to Kevin, but maybe it changes. Disappointing.Plenty of flags. Mesos don't look great. SREF is skewed by the ARW members. Some of the NMMs only give southern areas exhaust flurries. Not too exciting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 So you don't think there' will be more than 1 inch around these parts? I didn't say that. This thing will bulge north and then scoot east. My issue is how far this comes north. Of all models now, the GFS looks best. You better hope your beloved euro isn't right. If the GFS is right, there should be a good band in srn areas. I guess we'll see if 12z comes bumps north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Most of the amped members giving 6+ for CT were gone on the Euro ensembles. Still about 2 inches to the Pike but there was a definite increase in crappy members with flurries as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 The whole setup has sucked from day 1. Flags galore. I'm not sold on much near the pike right now and even down to Kevin, but maybe it changes. Disappointing. What? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.