dendrite Posted March 21, 2015 Share Posted March 21, 2015 I remember a few days ago even yesterday actually.. forecasts had Sunday and Monday in the 30's to near 40. Instead everyone stays in the 20's tomorrow. Also I'd bet there's some of those sneaky Lake effect streamers tomorrow that make into SNE..and everyone's like..wow what a surprise Rip and read. Sun-Mon has looked damn cold for awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 21, 2015 Share Posted March 21, 2015 Streamers that actually give more than a coating or a half inch are something that hardly ever happens outside of the west slopes of CT/MA...sometimes far SW CT can sneak one since the hills die north of them, but for the rest of us...hardly ever happens. You need an actual separate impulse like a strong vortmax to carry the lift over the mountains. It's often what happens in a good windex event. I don't see great windex parameters...pretty marginal. So while there could be a lot of clouds and flurries around, good squalls outside the mountains will be tough to come by. There's probably a better chance for flurries tomorrow than monday, but couldn't rule them out either day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 21, 2015 Share Posted March 21, 2015 I remember a few days ago even yesterday actually.. forecasts had Sunday and Monday in the 30's to near 40. Instead everyone stays in the 20's tomorrow. Also I'd bet there's some of those sneaky Lake effect streamers tomorrow that make into SNE..and everyone's like..wow what a surprise Over/under 35 max ASOS temp in CT tomorrow? I'll take the over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 21, 2015 Share Posted March 21, 2015 Over/under 35 max ASOS temp in CT tomorrow? I'll take the over.Sucker bet since the high will be in the mid 30s at midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 21, 2015 Share Posted March 21, 2015 Over/under 35 max ASOS temp in CT tomorrow? I'll take the over. The daylight hours will all be in the 20's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted March 21, 2015 Share Posted March 21, 2015 So with the additional 1.5" overnight and this morning...I ended this event with 4.1". Not too shabby. Made this winter officially the 2nd snowiest since moving to CT in 2006. Really, a pretty impressive period for an area that probably should average around 30"/yr. Here are my biggest winters since moving here: 2010-11: 55.6 2014-15: 55.7 2012-13: 60.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 21, 2015 Share Posted March 21, 2015 Sucker bet since the high will be in the mid 30s at midnight. The daylight hours will all be in the 20's 12z SUN to 00z MON max temp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 21, 2015 Share Posted March 21, 2015 12z SUN to 00z MON max temp.This is colder than the shot we had on Wed . So yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 21, 2015 Share Posted March 21, 2015 12z SUN to 00z MON max temp.I think I'd take the under on 35F...over on 30F for BDL. There will be pretty strong CAA during the day. If the bet is anywhere in CT...I'd pass. I wouldn't bet against Libationville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 21, 2015 Share Posted March 21, 2015 Yeah BDR could hit 35F+ tomorrow PM, but it will be close. Anyone north of there though will be below that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 21, 2015 Share Posted March 21, 2015 snow is melting fast now with the sun out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted March 21, 2015 Share Posted March 21, 2015 I think I'd take the under on 35F...over on 30F for BDL. There will be pretty strong CAA during the day. If the bet is anywhere in CT...I'd pass. I wouldn't bet against Libationville.Record min high temp at BDR tomorrow is 32, and 36 for Monday. FWIW OKX has 30s across all of their CT zones tomorrow and Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 21, 2015 Share Posted March 21, 2015 Record min high temp at BDR tomorrow is 32, and 36 for Monday. FWIW OKX has 30s across all of their CT zones tomorrow and Monday.I expect low to mid-30s both days for daytime highs at most CT stations both days. Model 2m temps continue to show a cold bias. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 21, 2015 Share Posted March 21, 2015 A warning: you should take them down. This is a January esque cold shot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 21, 2015 Share Posted March 21, 2015 Still snowing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 21, 2015 Share Posted March 21, 2015 Record min high temp at BDR tomorrow is 32, and 36 for Monday. FWIW OKX has 30s across all of their CT zones tomorrow and Monday. I assume you mean record low maxes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 21, 2015 Share Posted March 21, 2015 Threadex has a record low max of 26F (2004) at CON for tomorrow. MAV/MET for tomorrow afternoon is 26F/22F. It's too bad we'll be near freezing at 5Z tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 21, 2015 Share Posted March 21, 2015 Threadex has a record low max of 26F (2004) at CON for tomorrow. MAV/MET for tomorrow afternoon is 26F/22F. It's too bad we'll be near freezing at 5Z tonight. Both sets of MOS guidance have ORH below their record low max for tomorrow (25F in 2002), but they'll be higher than that at 5z as well. Monday doesn't have a chance...the coldest record low max around these dates at 21F in 1906. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted March 21, 2015 Share Posted March 21, 2015 I assume you mean record low maxes?Yeah low max , sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 21, 2015 Share Posted March 21, 2015 Both sets of MOS guidance have ORH below their record low max for tomorrow (25F in 2002), but they'll be higher than that at 5z as well. Monday doesn't have a chance...the coldest record low max around these dates at 21F in 1906. Kinda OT, but I was just glancing through the records and still love how much 4/7/82 stands out like a sore thumb. ORH and CON both had a high of 21F that snowy day. It got me thinking if a max of <=32F was theoretically possible for the first few days of May at ORH or CON. Climo norms climb about 10F every month during Spring so that 21F on 4/7 would be comparable to about 31-32F on 5/7. Of course standard deviations start to decrease entering the warm season as well so that has to be taken into account. What say you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 21, 2015 Share Posted March 21, 2015 Looks like back edge about to move through. More than 1/2 of what fell has melted. 1.5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 21, 2015 Share Posted March 21, 2015 Kinda OT, but I was just glancing through the records and still love how much 4/7/82 stands out like a sore thumb. ORH and CON both had a high of 21F that snowy day. It got me thinking if a max of <=32F was theoretically possible for the first few days of May at ORH or CON. Climo norms climb about 10F every month during Spring so that 21F on 4/7 would be comparable to about 31-32F on 5/7. Of course standard deviations start to decrease entering the warm season as well so that has to be taken into account. What say you? It would be almost impossible IMHO...though there's a very small probability. You'd have to have like a may 1977 type ULL timed perfectly to avoid the 05z highs. 4/28/87 did have a high of 35F at ORH...which happened in the morning before that snowstorm began. The crazy thing about the '87 snowstorm was that almost all of that 17" fell during the daylight hours between 1pm and 6pm...I wonder if they could have gotten 2 feet if it was timed overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 21, 2015 Share Posted March 21, 2015 Anyone have the BOS 1pm total? As of 7am it's 109.3. I'm hoping we may have cracked 110. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 21, 2015 Share Posted March 21, 2015 Both sets of MOS guidance have ORH below their record low max for tomorrow (25F in 2002), but they'll be higher than that at 5z as well. Monday doesn't have a chance...the coldest record low max around these dates at 21F in 1906. Cheap short data set for PWM FTW. Susceptible low max record of 30 set in 1997. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 21, 2015 Share Posted March 21, 2015 It would be almost impossible IMHO...though there's a very small probability. You'd have to have like a may 1977 type ULL timed perfectly to avoid the 05z highs. 4/28/87 did have a high of 35F at ORH...which happened in the morning before that snowstorm began. The crazy thing about the '87 snowstorm was that almost all of that 17" fell during the daylight hours between 1pm and 6pm...I wonder if they could have gotten 2 feet if it was timed overnight. So you're telling me there's a chance. Trust me...I don't expect it to happen in my lifetime since it hasn't happened on record (who knows what the numbers were in 1816). ORH was down to 32F during the afternoon of 5/10/77 and that 4/28/87 case is pretty impressive considering precip was light during the day. 4/7/82 was pretty much as extreme as it can get for that time of the year...the highs weren't even during the afternoon, but rather a late high at midnight after the snow stopped. I just wondered what the most extreme possible solution for 5/1 could be. Basically weenie thoughts like I used to have in grade school when drawing imaginary storm maps with -20s and 3ft of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 21, 2015 Share Posted March 21, 2015 Solid 2" over the past 2 days. Melting fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 21, 2015 Share Posted March 21, 2015 vaporizing rapidly lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 21, 2015 Share Posted March 21, 2015 So you're telling me there's a chance. Trust me...I don't expect it to happen in my lifetime since it hasn't happened on record (who knows what the numbers were in 1816). ORH was down to 32F during the afternoon of 5/10/77 and that 4/28/87 case is pretty impressive considering precip was light during the day. 4/7/82 was pretty much as extreme as it can get for that time of the year...the highs weren't even during the afternoon, but rather a late high at midnight after the snow stopped. I just wondered what the most extreme possible solution for 5/1 could be. Basically weenie thoughts like I used to have in grade school when drawing imaginary storm maps with -20s and 3ft of snow. Mikehobbyist, is that you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 21, 2015 Share Posted March 21, 2015 It would be almost impossible IMHO...though there's a very small probability. You'd have to have like a may 1977 type ULL timed perfectly to avoid the 05z highs. 4/28/87 did have a high of 35F at ORH...which happened in the morning before that snowstorm began. The crazy thing about the '87 snowstorm was that almost all of that 17" fell during the daylight hours between 1pm and 6pm...I wonder if they could have gotten 2 feet if it was timed overnight. now that is impressive!!! wow!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 21, 2015 Share Posted March 21, 2015 4/87 is vaguely in my memory ..probably because it was nothing where I was. However my co-worker told me about the S+ on his way to school in Lowell that day. Pretty awesome for lower elevations. Supposedly Barry Burbank went for it as well. Good call on his part. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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