eekuasepinniW Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Already a total Bz reversal. Might flip back, might not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Already a total Bz reversal. Might flip back, might not. Yeah that is definitely no good. I will still hold out hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Well it isn't looking good if SWPC is accurate. Storming seems to have stopped for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Well, that deescalated quickly. The Ovation model still looks impressive despite the putrid IMF, so maybe it's not entirely a lost cause? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Well, that deescalated quickly. The Ovation model still looks impressive despite the putrid IMF, so maybe it's not entirely a lost cause? Yeah it is hard to say. Storms pulse up and down so I wouldn't give up yet. The weather looks favorable here so I am going to try anyway. The question is will the IMF tip south again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Spaceweatherlive is saying we are at G5 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 It's south right now. We'll see how long it lasts. Kp is down to 5 after maxing at 8 a couple hours ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 It's south right now. We'll see how long it lasts. Kp is down to 5 after maxing at 8 a couple hours ago. yep just about to post .. i know its unlikely but might as well find somewhere dark to observe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 If this happens will it be overhead or will I have to find a clear spot with a good horizon view? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 If this happens will it be overhead or will I have to find a clear spot with a good horizon view? Unobstructed view to the north needed unless something crazy happens. Some of the Wing Kp model forecasts this afternoon had me entertaining the thought of coronas in NNE, but that ship has sailed I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Bz just flipped back (+) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 The Bz was strongly negative for about 45 minutes but has flipped. The density has come down to 7'ish from over 40, and Btotal is half of what it was, so G4-G5 levels aren't going to happen. When you factor in the transit delay, that favorable period should be arriving in about 30 minutes and will last for about 45. It should be plenty sufficient for a burst to G3. But we'll be fighting lingering daylight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 I am calling bust. K Index down to 4. By now I should be seeing the first hints of it on camera and nothing is showing up. Also there are quite a few debris clouds streaming in from the great Lakes convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 I am calling bust. K Index down to 4. By now I should be seeing the first hints of it on camera and nothing is showing up. Also there are quite a few debris clouds streaming in from the great Lakes convection. lol... the sky is currently still brighter than any northern lights you are ever going to see. Have some patience and try again in about 25 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 I am sticking it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Should I take the 10 minute walk through the woods to get a north view? Or not worth it? Sent from my HTC One using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 I'll take my chances with a 725 km/s solar wind and -20 Bz any day of the week. It takes forever and a half to get dark this time of year. Reason #476 why winter is better than summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Heads up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 OK I'm seeing very visible tall rays about poking very high into the sky. Should last a little while longer and then stop. There is another Bz drop in progress which will arrive in exactly 32 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 KMWN 230150Z 30014KT 40SM FEW/// FEW010 FEW150 SCT200 07/06 RMK TPS LWR FEW050 HZ DSNT ALQDS AURBO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Green horizon, pink pillars... all on camera of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 There was a nice, perfect green arc stretching across the sky up to about 30 degrees, tall rays only lasted about 2 minutes. Just a faint glow more to the west now. Did anyone else catch that awesome meteor in the eastern sky? Big and bright orange, ultimately splitting into a couple pieces before fading out. The next arrival of good solar wind should kick the activity up again...the Bz has been holding even lower, but the density has dropped even further. Hard to get bright activity with a density of 2-3 protons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 There was a nice, perfect green arc stretching across the sky up to about 30 degrees, tall rays only lasted about 2 minutes. Just a faint glow more to the west now. Did anyone else catch that awesome meteor in the eastern sky? Big and bright orange, ultimately splitting into a couple pieces before fading out. The next arrival of good solar wind should kick the activity up again...the Bz has been holding even lower, but the density has dropped even further. Hard to get bright activity with a density of 2-3 protons. Text us when it rivals 2003. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Naked eye achieved for a couple minutes, first time in years. Not a bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Faint naked eye greens here through holes in clouds but not great. Some purples show up on camera. Clouds enacting a screw job lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Man, camera sensor noise is just abominable in this heat/humidity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Solar wind speed is plenty high enough to inject energy into middle latitudes. Strongly negative Bz is cancelling out earths protective magnetic field Proton density is now so low that there is pretty much nothing to convert to photons, making everything else kinda irrelevant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Particle density got mighty jumpy over the past few minutes. Would those spikes be enough for substorming or not really? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Wow just exploded here with rods and pulsing lights! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Wow just exploded here with rods and pulsing lights! Lucky Sob Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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