Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 Yeah I doubt that’s the “big” one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 Kp just shot up to 7 with a strong south Bz…sure enough right after sunrise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 10 minutes ago, dendrite said: Kp just shot up to 7 with a strong south Bz…sure enough right after sunrise. Isn't that always the way lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 We aurora tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 4 hours ago, Chrisrotary12 said: We aurora tonight? Maybe. North is best as usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 https://www.spaceweather.com/ SEVERE GEOMAGNETIC STORM--NOW!! The first of six CMEs hurled toward Earth by giant sunspot AR3664 just hit our planet's magnetic field. The impact on May 10th at 1645 UT jolted magnetometers around the world (e.g., 108 nT in Boulder CO) and sparked a severe (G4-class) geomagnetic storm. This storm is underway now. More CMEs are following close behind (see below) and their arrival could extend the storm into the weekend. Stay tuned! CME impact alerts: SMS Text UPDATE--SIX CMEs HURLED TOWARD EARTH: The number of CMEs heading for Earth keeps increasing. The total is now six following this morning's X3.9-class flare from giant sunspot AR3664. All six storm clouds are captured in this time-lapse movie from the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO): The two bright objects are Jupiter (left) and Venus (right). The CMEs will miss those planets and hit Earth instead. According to a NOAA forecast model, the first three CMEs could merge to form a "Cannibal CME." Cannibal CMEs form when fast-moving CMEs overtake and gobble up slower CMEs in front of them. Internal shock waves created by such CME collisions do a good job sparking geomagnetic storms when they strike Earth's magnetic field. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 I see that. KP index 7.7 Will these clouds tend to dissipate after sunset? Moon phase is good too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 3 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: I see that. KP index 7.7 Will these clouds tend to dissipate after sunset? Moon phase is good too. Bz at -25 too.....you know this is going to line up perfect and then we're gonna get stuck in clouds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 This site seems to be pretty updated. If someone has a better tracking site then post in here. https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/auroral-activity.html From my amateur knowledge on this you want big Kp (usually over Kp of 6 gives us a chance) and big negative Bz values. I’m not sure how much the other stuff matters but maybe it does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 Boing Let’s see how we can screw this up. Kp forecast is around 8 and Bz is pushing -40. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 Not sure I’ve seen these numbers happen at night since October 2003. Did we achieve this in Nov 2006? My memory is hazy from that event but I feel like it was a bit short. I remember not seeing anything in ‘06 but I could see it pretty easily in 2003. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJHurricane Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 Wife just asked if we can head north to see what we see….any opinions on cloud cover tonight around the northern end of Lake Champlain? This is what I get for successfully getting us to a good location for the eclipse a few weeks ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 Kp 8.67 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 This one looks legit. Hopefully some cloud breaks tonight lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSC97wxnut Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 Yeah, some of the photos from the OT thread are nuts. Best northern lights show in a long time just about a month after the eclipse? Great time for sky phenomena in NNE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 32 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: This one looks legit. Hopefully some cloud breaks tonight lol. Saw the northern lights in VT in ‘03 and it was pretty awesome. Hoping we can sneak a break in the clouds tonight. Would be great to get a repeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 Anybody got the Weatherbell Cloud Cover forecast that can hopefully give us hope?Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 So hard to predict cloud cover tonight. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=local-Vermont-truecolor-48-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 The 2003 one was stopping traffic. I remember pulling into my driveway at like 9:30 and seeing it clearly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 Looks like Bz rose but slowly dropout again. How much does that even matter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 Looks like Bz rose but slowly dropout again. How much does that even matter?A lot, more negative the betterSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 In 2003 I had just bought my first crappy digital camera and had only lived up here for 2 years since relocating from Metro Boston. That display was so bright that I just held my camera and snapped this picture. No long exposure or anything. It was amazing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 2 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: A lot, more negative the better Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk I know it has to be negative, but if KP is really high, how much does that matter is what I mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 Eek has some great 2003 pics including the corona directly overhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 Bt of 73.8 is the highest I think I've ever seen reported from the ACE spacecraft. I think 2003 was like 50ish. The potential for tonight is some serious once in a lifetime stuff. 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I know it has to be negative, but if KP is really high, how much does that matter is what I mean. You wouldn't get a high KP without a negative bz. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 3 minutes ago, eekuasepinniW said: Bt of 73.8 is the highest I think I've ever seen reported from the ACE spacecraft. I think 2003 was like 50ish. The potential for tonight is some serious once in a lifetime stuff. You wouldn't get a high KP without a negative bz. I’m catching up on my space weenie terms now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 These numbers are crazy. Numbers aside, I don’t think I’ve seen the auroral oval this far south on their maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 NOAA calls G5Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 Clear skies ftw. Let’s do this. I feel like in 2003 we were already seeing coronas at this time of evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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