eyewall Posted August 12 Share Posted August 12 41 minutes ago, tunafish said: Round 2 tonight? If the storming holds yes! Certainly a decent shot up there as soon as it gets dark. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSC97wxnut Posted September 12 Share Posted September 12 Any thoughts on tonight in SNE? If I'm reading the NOAA forecast right, it could be around 6.00 Kp at 0z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 12 Share Posted September 12 Looked better earlier with Kp near 7 and Bz decently south. At least it’s clear. Maybe NNE can see something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 15 Share Posted September 15 G3 possible this week https://www.spaceweather.gov/news/strong-g3-geomagnetic-storms-are-likely-16-september-2024 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted September 15 Share Posted September 15 11 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said: G3 possible this week https://www.spaceweather.gov/news/strong-g3-geomagnetic-storms-are-likely-16-september-2024 Yep from the X flare yesterday. You should have a solid show with exception of the moonlight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted September 15 Share Posted September 15 The earth directed part of this one looks quite faint and slow.... I wouldn't expect much of anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 G3 as of this post with a very favorable Bz! Go look! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteLawns Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 Just now, eyewall said: G3 as of this post with a very favorable Bz! Go look! Nothing in CT. Full moon is a problem too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 Seeing Kp up to 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 x25 with full halo earth directed cme on dec 1 plz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 Good luck seeing anything tonight with that moon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 13 minutes ago, dendrite said: Good luck seeing anything tonight with that moon. Yeah, we just walked down the driveway and my wife said "it's so bright out here, you can see the pine trees perfectly." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 31 minutes ago, dendrite said: Good luck seeing anything tonight with that moon. With a Kp 8 too now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 Yeah I wasn't even thinking about the moon but definitely a problem. We are clouded out by PTC 8 here in NC although seeing this one would be very iffy at best this far south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted October 3 Share Posted October 3 Just had a squarely Earth facing X9 flare. If it produced a solid CME buckle up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted October 3 Share Posted October 3 https://www.spaceweather.com/ Quote GEOMAGNETIC STORM WATCH (G3): A CME is heading for Earth following the powerful X7.1-class solar flare of Oct. 1st. A NOAA model predicts it will arrive on Oct. 4th, potentially causing a strong G3-class geomagnetic storm. The CME is quite faint and superficially wouldn't seem to pack the punch required for a strong storm. At this time of year, however, even weak CMEs can be effective due to the autumnal Russell-McPherron effect. CME impact alerts: SMS Text THE STRONGEST FLARE YET: Sunspot AR3842 exploded again today, producing the strongest solar flare of Solar Cycle 25 so far. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory recorded the X9.1-category blast: Radiation from the flare ionized the top of Earth's atmosphere and caused a deep shortwave blackout over Africa and the South Atlantic. Ham radio operators in the area may have noticed loss of signal at frequencies below 30 MHz for as much as a half an hour after 12:18 UTC. Of greater interest is the CME. Preliminary SOHO coronagraph images show a halo CME emerging from the blast site. This CME will probably strike Earth on Oct. 6th, adding its effect to that of an earlier CME expected to arrive on Oct. 4th. Auroras are therefore likely this weekend. Stay tuned for a detailed forecast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted October 5 Share Posted October 5 https://www.vermontpublic.org/local-news/2024-10-04/you-may-be-able-to-see-an-aurora-in-vermont-this-saturday The aurora borealis will likely be visible throughout Vermont the night of Saturday, Oct. 5, according to a forecast by the Space Weather Prediction Center. Eric Myskowski, a meteorologist at the National Weather Service Burlington office, said the forecast Saturday is mostly clear skies with cloudy skies in the Northeast Kingdom, though there will be breaks in the clouds. He advised prospective aurora viewers to find dark places with a clear view of the northern horizon. “Basically, get away from light pollution, as far as you can. Say you live in Burlington, it would be ideal to get outside the city area and to the northern horizon,” Myskowski said. “Where you have a visible northern horizon is better.” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted October 5 Share Posted October 5 seems to be running a bit later than forecast 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 Aurora is out now in NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 Again tonight I am seeing shots from New England of Aurora. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 Got a glimpse through phone last night but couldn’t see with naked eye. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 Finally... a long X-flare from a near perfect location has sent an absolutely fantastic looking halo CME towards us. This one could be corona inducing for sure. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 https://x.com/forecaster25/status/1844030900490895485 Buckle up! Even here in NC we may get something closer to the May 10th event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoCORH4L Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 Hopefully early in the night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSC97wxnut Posted October 10 Share Posted October 10 Of course it goes to 7 in the middle of the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 10 Share Posted October 10 On 10/9/2024 at 10:00 AM, eekuasepinniW said: This one could be corona inducing for sure. With or without lime? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted October 10 Share Posted October 10 24 minutes ago, LSC97wxnut said: Of course it goes to 7 in the middle of the day. As I recall May 10th started in the middle of the day and lasted many hours after dark. All hope is definitely not lost. SWPC expects the high Kp numbers to persist after sunset. There will likely be a number of substorms as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSC97wxnut Posted October 10 Share Posted October 10 Hotel Ansitz Rungghof web-cam (time sensitive) Just outside of Bolzano in Northern Italy! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted October 10 Share Posted October 10 8 minutes ago, LSC97wxnut said: Hotel Ansitz Rungghof web-cam (time sensitive) Just outside of Bolzano in Northern Italy! Sky was glowing red when I looked at it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted October 10 Share Posted October 10 2 hours ago, dendrite said: With or without lime? With lime. Bt is a bit lower than I was thinking... 30nt is nice but was really hoping for 40-50. Maybe the jittery data is from the other CME's that were swept up ahead of the main show. Ideally things will stabilize as we get a little more into the meat of the cloud. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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