SomeWeatherGeek Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 looks like my map. They know wassup! Thiefs lmao4-6 baby coming at you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 The text on the WWA now says 3-6 instead of 2-4, cut the confusion down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 They really should have 2-3 for pretty much all of southern CT with 3-4 maybe for SW CT, think those numbers are too high but well see. 4-6 looks fine for NYC and LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 They really should have 2-3 for pretty much all of southern CT with 3-4 maybe for SW CT, think those numbers are too high but well see. 4-6 looks fine for NYC and LI Yeah ill be surprised if we end up with more than 2" up here. City/LI look good for 4" or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Mt.Holly upped my snow totals under the updated Winter Weather Advisory from 1-3" this morning to 2-5" with the afternoon update. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Any change on the SREFs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Any change on the SREFs? They came south. .50" line to NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Mt.Holly upped my snow totals under the updated Winter Weather Advisory from 1-3" this morning to 2-5" with the afternoon update. Albanys not even issuing WWA as of now, I'm as far south as it gets for their forcast area and no advisory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 18z nam is further north with the better precip but generally the same for most, 2-4" overall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 I like the 18z NAM, colder/north w/ precip....good combo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Hi res nam brings precip in between 10-12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Nam weenie map Hi res nam noon tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 This winter is a bigger comeback than Bibi Netanyahu. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yhbrooklyn Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Boro Park, eh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 NAM has one heck of a 'mini CCB' from the coastal develop tomorrow afternoon. Verbatim it misses just to the south (20-30 miles) but if that can make it a little further north...nice show with 1-2"/hr. rates... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 This winter is a bigger comeback than Bibi Netanyahu. Winter started with Juno. I only received 0.3 in December. I remember people were calling bust on this winter lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yhbrooklyn Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Don't call it Juno. Ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Using TWC storm names should be in perma-ban territory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saturn510 Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 i DONT know when juno was lol thats how much i care about their names Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 The movie was decent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 take this crap to banter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Are you guys effin kidding me? Some of the biggest "take it to banter" whiners have made the last few pages about everything except the damn storm. This is the storm thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 I blame Pazzo . . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Rgem bumped north a bit. Good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 I predict your flight will be fine. Visibility isn't an issue for IFR conditions and it won't be windy, which can delay things, but doesn't stop flights, usually - the key issue for airports for closure is runway condition and at around 32F with salt and March sunlight, the runways will be wet, barring 1"+ per hour rates, which aren't predicted for extended periods. I predict you are wrong. LGA just had a serious accident during snow and all the airports will be extra cautious tomorrow. Also, if we get he 1"-2" an hour rates (like the Euro, GFS, Ukmet have), it will easily stick to the roads and runway. It was colder for that storm than this storm will be and the sun angle is greater now, plus, this isn't currently predicted to deliver the precip rates we got with that storm - I agree the airports might be more cautious tomorrow, but if the runways are just wet, then there's no issue - they were snow covered at LGA. Also, it's as if you didn't even read my post, given your comments about rates - I said "...barring 1"+ per hour rates..." since good rates will definitely overcome melting. Simple equation, really. Accumulation rate = snowfall rate - melting rate. And once there is snow on paved surfaces, that melting rate goes way down, as snow falling on a high albedo surface (snow) that also happens to be 32F or colder (it's frozen, duh) will have a very low melting rate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 GFS looks good for 0.5"+ for most of NJ,LI,NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 18z GFS and 12z Euro are now neary identical. Good model consensus for a widespread 3"-6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 18z GFS and 12z Euro are now neary identical. Good model consensus for a widespread 3"-6". This has been the forecast for 2 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 18z GFS and 12z Euro are now neary identical. Good model consensus for a widespread 3"-6". I'm not gonna throw in the towel yet but it's looking like you have a much better chance of your forecast verifying then me. Temps look good for accumulations pretty much everywhere now. I'm not talking about mid town as that's not where the NYC ob is taken. When the gfs and euro are in this good of an agreement I think you can take it to the bank Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beez Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 18z gfs is a bit colder for coastal nj. I think nws maybe a bit low with there 1-3" call for monmouth cty. Id go with 2-5" county wide with a possible mix or change to rain at the end. looks like a descent thumping. going to be tough accumalating on the roads tho as most of it will be occurring during the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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