TheManWithNoFace Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 On 3/19/2015 at 3:17 PM, ag3 said: Rgem is south. Not too different from the NAM. It's also warm. Where the best snowfall rates are, the RGEM has sfc temps 35-36. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 On 3/19/2015 at 3:18 PM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Not a good sign for me.. Seems my worries for North of 84 were warranted North of NYC in general is in trouble an perhaps the city itself. Light amounts of An inch or two isn't going to accumulate mid day except on grass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 On 3/19/2015 at 3:25 PM, Brian5671 said: North of NYC in general is in trouble an perhaps the city itself. Light amounts of An inch or two isn't going to accumulate mid day except on grass Here we go again. We've seen it happen before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 On 3/19/2015 at 3:35 PM, seanick said: Here we go again. We've seen it happen before. It's almost like last March, just not as suppressed as last year, but north of Hartford has pretty much been shut out this month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Gfs holds serve from 06z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 On 3/19/2015 at 3:41 PM, Allsnow said: Gfs holds serve from 06z yea GFS continues to show 4-6 for many, lower totals North obv Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 .50+ nyc and sw ct .75+ tickles north central nj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 On 3/19/2015 at 3:43 PM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: yea GFS continues to show 4-6 for many, lower totals North obv That solution would be early dismissals for schools in the suburbs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 4-6 NYC this run 6-8 north shore of LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 On 3/19/2015 at 3:44 PM, Allsnow said: That solution would be early dismissals for schools in the suburbsBut with the NAM and now RGEM so far south it makes me nervous. Let's see what other models have to say Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Do busses drive on grassy surfaces? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder7842 Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 What does RGEM look like, about 3 to 4 for NYC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 On 3/19/2015 at 3:44 PM, Allsnow said: That solution would be early dismissals for schools in the suburbs Yea I agree, I would really like to see the nam and rgem hop on board tho, put my mind at ease Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard-on-GFS Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 On 3/19/2015 at 3:45 PM, Allsnow said: 4-6 NYC this run 6-8 north shore of LI How much for TTN area? Thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 On 3/19/2015 at 3:45 PM, weatherfreeeeak said: But with the NAM and now RGEM so far south it makes me nervous. Let's see what other models have to say Good to see the gfs hold serve. Nam and Rgem can be completely diff next run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 On 3/19/2015 at 3:46 PM, Blizzard-on-GFS said: How much for TTN area? Thank you. 2-3...bl issues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 On 3/19/2015 at 3:45 PM, winterwarlock said: Do busses drive on grassy surfaces? Can a mod take care of this banter please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 On 3/19/2015 at 3:47 PM, Allsnow said: Good to see the gfs hold serve. Nam and Rgem can be completely diff next run. We saw the RGEM bust too low on the last event 24 hrs out also for NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 On 3/19/2015 at 3:46 PM, Thunder7842 said: What does RGEM look like, about 3 to 4 for NYC?1-3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 On 3/19/2015 at 3:48 PM, bluewave said: We saw the RGEM bust too low on the last event 24 hrs out also for NYC. The RGEM has actually had somewhat of a south lean on systems the last 6 weeks, prior to that it had been biased warm and north the first half of the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Talking about early dismissals is also banter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 On 3/19/2015 at 3:51 PM, winterwarlock said: Talking about early dismissals is also banter Not really, this isn't a model thread, it's a storm threat thread, and closures are a product of the impending storm. I see nothing wrong with talking about storm impacts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeWeatherGeek Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Rgem is the best model at this range without a doubt. Was it a great run? No it wasn't but it wasn't a bad run either. Nam I just don't like that model at all. GFS was a great run but do I trust it no. I'm still going with 4-6 as rgem and nam both advertised that for our area in previous runs. At least 3 inches is a lock for Central Park! I'm still going with 5 inches for the park and Staten Island with 6 inches! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 And I asked if busses drive on grass because pavement will see less than half of the 4 inch amounts imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 On 3/19/2015 at 3:48 PM, weatherfreeeeak said: 1-3 Rgem is 2"-4" for NYC and LI. GFS is 5"-7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 On 3/19/2015 at 3:54 PM, SomeWeatherGeek said: Rgem is the best model at this range without a doubt. Was it a great run? No it wasn't but it wasn't a bad run either. Nam I just don't like that model at all. GFS was a great run but do I trust it no. I'm still going with 4-6 as rgem and nam both advertised that for our area in previous runs. At least 3 inches is a lock for Central Park! I'm still going with 5 inches for the park and Staten Island with 6 inches! Rgem did not do well with the last 2 events. Was too low with snow amounts and too south. It could easily bump north at 18z and 0z tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 On 3/19/2015 at 3:54 PM, SomeWeatherGeek said: Rgem is the best model at this range without a doubt. Was it a great run? No it wasn't but it wasn't a bad run either. Nam I just don't like that model at all. GFS was a great run but do I trust it no. I'm still going with 4-6 as rgem and nam both advertised that for our area in previous runs. At least 3 inches is a lock for Central Park! I'm still going with 5 inches for the park and Staten Island with 6 inches! Not being a downer or anything but nam is a 1-2 for everyone except central and southern Jersey, nam is worst case scenario Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 On 3/19/2015 at 3:55 PM, winterwarlock said: And I asked if busses drive on grass because pavement will see less than half of the 4 inch amounts imo Why wouldn't the snow stick to streets if the temps are 28-31 degrees with a thick cloud deck? Thanks for the reply in advance. (Obviously not talking about midtown Manhattan) Also, How did your 2"-4" call go for the March 5th 6"-10" storm?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 On 3/19/2015 at 3:57 PM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Not being a downer or anything but nam is a 1-2 for everyone except central and southern Jersey, nam is worst case scenario Model consensus is for 3"-6" for the NYC/LI metro. Nothing has changed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 On 3/19/2015 at 3:58 PM, ag3 said: Model consensus is for 3"-6" for the NYC/LI metro. Nothing has changed. I know that, but he said nam showed 4-6... Nam is the dry outlier for sure aka worst case Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.