Ginx snewx Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 Well all I'm saying is it's very odd to have it this dry this time of year..and the overall pattern doesn't look wet at all thru the end of the month. The % of normal precip thru end of month is well below.. Someone saying .25 is a drought buster is either trolling or doesn't understand how we are entering convective/hot season..and that these things tend to feedback. To see critical fire wx in place with everything fully foliated and leafed out..that seems to me to be a pretty rare occurrence for SNE Meh sorry you missed the rain but man did the lawn respond to natural watering, just looks like a new lawn as I left, green everywhere you look. Lots of chances for showers, dry periods happen all the time, the convective hot season stuff is a long ways away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 If anything the weekend trended wetter. Maybe not 4" of rain, but looks like some showers will be around as a WF tries to push in. Not only that, the longer term pattern is mostly heat fail with the chances of rain moving in at times with fronts moving in. Lol I just wrote that too, he wants it so bad. He is in the ultimate quandary, wants a drought, wants fire conditions yet wants a green lawn and high dews, What he will end up with is called normal, his worst enemy . No drama just normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 Hopefully a lot of people in NNE CNY who plant tomatoes didn't fall for the faux summer conditions ..FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EDT THURSDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A FREEZEWARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EDT THURSDAY.* LOCATIONS...WESTERN ULSTER AND WESTERN GREENE COUNTIES.* HAZARDS...WIDESPREAD FROST.* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S.* TIMING...2 AM TO 8 AM THURSDAY.* IMPACTS...WIDESPREAD FROST WILL RESULT IN DAMAGE TO TENDERVEGETATION THAT IS NOT PROTECTED.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT ORHIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHERSENSITIVE VEGETATION. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 Well all I'm saying is it's very odd to have it this dry this time of year..and the overall pattern doesn't look wet at all thru the end of the month. The % of normal precip thru end of month is well below.. Someone saying .25 is a drought buster is either trolling or doesn't understand how we are entering convective/hot season..and that these things tend to feedback. To see critical fire wx in place with everything fully foliated and leafed out..that seems to me to be a pretty rare occurrence for SNE You really need to read up on drought in New England. Your posts tell me you are quite misinformed. It's one thing to have a dry period in spring but that doesn't make a drought. Just look at 2013...that "drought" was busted in a week. Red flag conditions aren't that strange. It's been abnormally dry for 3 weeks but that is nothing when comes to drought. You want multi-seasonal precip deficits and usually spanning at least a year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 Ok let's try this.. Over under .25 total rainfall this weekend for BDL/BOS. No caveats..no "it's convective"..no it's hit or miss nature..just a straight up over or under for both locations Who will take the over? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 You really need to read up on drought in New England. Your posts tell me you are quite misinformed. It's one thing to have a dry period in spring but that doesn't make a drought. Just look at 2013...that "drought" was busted in a week. Red flag conditions aren't that strange. It's been abnormally dry for 3 weeks but that is nothing when comes to drought. You want multi-seasonal precip deficits and usually spanning at least a year. this is the groundwater chart for Mansfield Ct, as you can see, we are no where near anything resembling drought, dry soil as you know does not indicate drought. Yes it is a very dry period but as a whole, meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 Ok let's try this.. Over under .25 total rainfall this weekend for BDL/BOS. No caveats..no "it's convective"..no it's hit or miss nature Who will take the over? Well to pinpoint those areas is always tough, but I will say some areas certainly over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 53/43 OVC . Never thought I would be routing for raw breezy OVC 50s in May, but it feels good after the recent stretch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 You really need to read up on drought in New England. Your posts tell me you are quite misinformed. It's one thing to have a dry period in spring but that doesn't make a drought. Just look at 2013...that "drought" was busted in a week. Red flag conditions aren't that strange. It's been abnormally dry for 3 weeks but that is nothing when comes to drought. You want multi-seasonal precip deficits and usually spanning at least a year. i'm over 10" above normal annually in the past decade...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 pretty green in my hood, nice .25 yesterday Green lawn weeds in yard, but still don't have 100% full leaf on trees yet. I never usually put a date to that, but I am assuming that the lack of full leaf is later than usual for our area? Will be interesting to see how the Adirondacks look Memorial Day weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 Green lawn weeds in yard, but still don't have 100% full leaf on trees yet. I never usually put a date to that, but I am assuming that the lack of full leaf is later than usual for our area? Will be interesting to see how the Adirondacks look Memorial Day weekend. I'd say May 8-15 is normal for full leaf out, its got to be around 75-85% now, I know Moosup Center is fully leafed but the hills are not, same with Danielson but surrounding hills are not, a day or two more I'd say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nittany88 Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 Really is the best air especially for people who have allergy histories, much better breathing air too. A win, low dew clean air is where its at. Yeah, only exception is when the wildfires in Canada get going. We can get a lot of haze and even some low level smog that makes for pretty poor air quality in NNE. Had a few days like that in previous years, and the worst in 2010: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/btv/events/31May2010/ But yeah in general its the cleanest/freshest wind direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 Flurries at the picnic tables. 30F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 The sun is starting to win out. Drying FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 Thanks . My daughter tells me VT has been having quite a spring. A shot of Mt Pisgah she took today. pis.jpg That spot is truly a New England gem. Anyone that hasn't been, needs to go see Lake Willoughby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 The sun is starting to win out. Drying FTW. I think its going to take some time up here. Mid-40s in the valleys, breezy upslope flow...back to late March climo after a few days of July. Its 40.3F up at the office at 1,500ft haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 Ok let's try this.. Over under .25 total rainfall this weekend for BDL/BOS. No caveats..no "it's convective"..no it's hit or miss nature..just a straight up over or under for both locations Who will take the over? I'm going to take the over. Dry spell has to end sometime. Timeframe 12:00am Sat to 11:59pm Sunday eve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 Well all I'm saying is it's very odd to have it this dry this time of year..and the overall pattern doesn't look wet at all thru the end of the month. The % of normal precip thru end of month is well below.. Someone saying .25 is a drought buster is either trolling or doesn't understand how we are entering convective/hot season..and that these things tend to feedback. To see critical fire wx in place with everything fully foliated and leafed out..that seems to me to be a pretty rare occurrence for SNE Where do you get this stuff from? We're not even in a drought yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 I'd say May 8-15 is normal for full leaf out, its got to be around 75-85% now, I know Moosup Center is fully leafed but the hills are not, same with Danielson but surrounding hills are not, a day or two more I'd say. Yeah. Seems to be the tops of trees that have a few days to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 That spot is truly a New England gem. Anyone that hasn't been, needs to go see Lake Willoughby. THIS is an AWESOME photo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 The drought talk keeps me coming back Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 Sustained 20 mph with gusts to 30, impressive, 64/49 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 That spot is truly a New England gem. Anyone that hasn't been, needs to go see Lake Willoughby. Nice climb on the mountain to the east of it. Been up there a couple of times. Also when climbing or skiing Burke Mountain, its right there in the center of the horizon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 Depends where you are. I have daily records back to 2000 and have set no "dry" records yet during this current period, none. 60 day precipitation is more representative of a drought to me and currently the 60 day precip is 5.41" which isn't even in the ballpark for May's lowest in 15 years. I might set a new 30 day record low for precip if we get next to nothing for another 10 days. I had 6.05" precip Feb-Apr, 2nd lowest in 17 yr for that period and 57% of avg. The driest, 2006, had only 4.74" for FMA, but by 5/13 that year May had delivered 3.01" into my gauge compared to just 0.25" this month. Expecting upper 20s at my place tomorrow morning. Nothing is planted yet, and the new ash leaves should survive a 28-29 temp. They didn't do so well in 2010 when May 11-13 had 22,26,25. Neither did the oaks and even some maples got crisped, especially because the record warmth of Mar-Apr and 1st week of May had the new growth about 2 weeks ahead of avg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 I think its going to take some time up here. Mid-40s in the valleys, breezy upslope flow...back to late March climo after a few days of July. Its 40.3F up at the office at 1,500ft haha. clouds.jpg late March-esque for sure. 49.7. frost adv tonight with a side of fire wx warning. Frost adv prob not too unusual this time of year though I'm guessing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 Sustained 20 mph with gusts to 30, impressive, 64/49 As of noon its 48/34 at MVL with NNW winds gusting 20-30. It actually feels cold outside, haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 ORH actually dropped from 61 to 59 this past hour. Impressive CAA for May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 ORH actually dropped from 61 to 59 this past hour. Impressive CAA for May. Due to clouds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 66 at home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 Due to clouds I thought we would be lower 70s? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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