tamarack Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 Avg diurnal range for May 1-6 is 35F, and today's low of mid-upper 30s should lead to a range 40+. Blackflies out and about nearby, but still in the "checking the menu" stage, will probably peak in the May 15-25 window at my place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 it's funny watching all the IP's clinging to scattered cool days in an overall warm pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 it's funny watching all the IP's clinging to scattered cool days in an overall warm pattern Can't wait for backdoor tomorrow. I am one big ice vagina. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 Can't wait for backdoor tomorrow. I am one big ice vagina.that's a diametrically opposed statement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 i enjoyed july 2011 more than boxing day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 i enjoyed july 2011 more than boxing day get rid of the -EPO and it might be back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 july 2013 had a -epo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 We are certainly entering into an overall AN pattern it seems this month and summer. Hopefully just a short term trend before fall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 july 2013 had a -epo You need a big WAR to back in like it did that month. Doubtful that we'd see the big heat ridge with desert heat pouring north and east like we do in the typically hot summer setup we see here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 it's funny watching all the IP's clinging to scattered cool days in an overall warm pattern It seems like it has been a pretty nice spring in sne...relative to what they expect drizzle/cool days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 It seems like it has been a pretty nice spring in sne...relative to what they expect drizzle/cool days It has been nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 Aside from 2011. This has been our nicest spring I can recall. Had one cold week.. But many many sunny nice days .and fairly mild too. And then summer set in as we turned calendars to May. Maybe we had 1 back door and it was sunny and 55-60 behind it. With the water temps as they are and -nao.. I'm not sure how we lucked out, but we did Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 Aside from 2011. This has been our nicest spring I can recall. Had one cold week.. But many many sunny nice days .and fairly mild too. And then summer set in as we turned calendars to May. Maybe we had 1 back door and it was sunny and 55-60 behind it. With the water temps as they are and -nao.. I'm not sure how we lucked out, but we did 25-50% of normal precip will lead to nice weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 25-50% of normal precip will lead to nice weather.the Chamber approves Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 25-50% of normal precip will lead to nice weather.NE flow and low clouds for days can lead to dry too.We lucked out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 Aside from 2011. This has been our nicest spring I can recall. Had one cold week.. But many many sunny nice days .and fairly mild too. And then summer set in as we turned calendars to May. Maybe we had 1 back door and it was sunny and 55-60 behind it. With the water temps as they are and -nao.. I'm not sure how we lucked out, but we did Water temps don't mean squat unless the air mass is flowing over them... They are a function of ss stressing and CAA, but reverse in short order when patterns break down. If a pattern turns and send off-shore components in the means, there can be ice bergs out there,...it won't mean a dern thing - The NAO has only been negative close to an ~ 2.5 week's worth of time; otherwise, it has been a positive NAO spring.... Just fyi - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 And not only that, the time-period where we had a -NAO was by far our worst...multiple cloudy days in the 40s and 50s while it was snowing in NNE mountains. At least we have generally managed to avoid a ton of sheet drizzle/mist days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 And not only that, the time-period where we had a -NAO was by far our worst...multiple cloudy days in the 40s and 50s while it was snowing in NNE mountains. At least we have generally managed to avoid a ton of sheet drizzle/mist days. In all honesty , have we had any? I don't recall 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 What nice weather to head in for a swing shift. Seabreeze is literally confined to the beaches. Bunker Hill Bridge was the dividing line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 Could anyone venture an early guess as to what Memorial Day weekend could look like?? Ensembles look pretty benign Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 Could anyone venture an early guess as to what Memorial Day weekend could look like?? Ensembles look pretty benign I would say based on weeklies as they are in that time period and ens are not that we would be in a milder pattern than mid month. Looks typical late spring Nino climo with a SW desert trough, looks chamber like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 I would say based on weeklies as they are in that time period and ens are not that we would be in a milder pattern than mid month. Looks typical late spring Nino climo with a SW desert trough, looks chamber likeThe 11-15 day is in that time period and you can extrapolate the last 2 days in a general sense Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 I guess WxHype was correct in his call that 80s and 90s are more common than 40s in May...and after all that vitriol he received.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 I guess WxHype was correct in his call that 80s and 90s are more common than 40s in May...and after all that vitriol he received.... Unless the data is fraudulent or proven to be incorrect, then your claim is incorrect. The data is what it is. Any given year can be different, but the ratio was something like 2 to 1. Rolling snake eyes on one throw of the dice doesn't prove that they are more common than rolling 7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 Unless the data is fraudulent or proven to be incorrect, then your claim is incorrect. The data is what it is. Any given year can be different, but the ratio was something like 2 to 1. Rolling snake eyes on one throw of the dice doesn't prove that they are more common than rolling 7. Yeah, and I average more snow than he does, remember? Hey Minster....don't let recent confirmation bias skew the long term climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 I guess WxHype was correct in his call that 80s and 90s are more common than 40s in May...and after all that vitriol he received.... That was proved wrong by facts. Forget when but someone ran the numbers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 Unless the data is fraudulent or proven to be incorrect, then your claim is incorrect. The data is what it is. Any given year can be different, but the ratio was something like 2 to 1. Rolling snake eyes on one throw of the dice doesn't prove that they are more common than rolling 7. Agreed, but such a tongue lashing was given out that you would think it wasn't even in the realm of possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 Yeah, and I average more snow than he does, remember? Hey Minster....don't let recent confirmation bias skew the long term climo. lol, you do average more snow than me! No one cares about about happened 10 or 20 years ago....we care about the last few years, the here and now. More recent data has more value than old data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 Agreed, but such a tongue lashing was given out that you would think it wasn't even in the realm of possibility. No, he was claiming something to be incorrect...nobody said 80s in May don't happen, that would be insanity. However, I'm at a loss as to how having 80s in early May 2015 proves that 40s/50s are not historically more common in May than 80s/90s. One is based on a large sample of data, the other is one data point. There seems to be a disconnect at times on what is being discussed. Discussing the climatological probabilities of high temps in early May (back in the month of April no less) should not be interpreted as someone's forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 lol, you do average more snow than me! No one cares about about happened 10 or 20 years ago....we care about the last few years, the here and now. More recent data has more value than old data. Eventually you interior weenies will make me your snowb*tch once again...could very well be this year. All I ask, is for Codfishsnowman to get left out...I really want to see him have a meltdown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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