OceanStWx Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 We burn. Though this one appears to have jumped from a chicken barn to the woods, not vice versa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 85 at BDL..Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 I didn't see one member that supported rain and 40's..Not 1 Always extreme. But if we're talking verbatim, the op has it. So chances are at least one member has something similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Always extreme. But if we're talking verbatim, the op has it. So chances are at least one member has something similar. Someone posted earlier that it had rain and 40's..and at least in SNE ..which is where I typically look..i did not see any ens support..nor any other op support for it..so we'll see if any mets bite on 47 and rain next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Someone posted earlier that it had rain and 40's..and at least in SNE ..which is where I typically look..i did not see any ens support..nor any other op support for it..so we'll see if any mets bite on 47 and rain next week Take a peek at GFS 2 m temps next Tuesday. Widespread 40s. Clearly this will be construed as my forecast, but just pointing out what it shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 I'd also think with the TS or subtropical storm down there next week..it's going to slow down the southward movement of any cold front..which of course the GFS isn't seeing..Euro does have a nice cold front with severe..but not e flow and 40's..Just normal fropa from the NW which makes sense Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Always extreme. But if we're talking verbatim, the op has it. So chances are at least one member has something similar. Looks like several are: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Those are not 40's for highs in SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Big warehouse fire (abandoned) in Gardner shows up on NWS radar. 6 alarms Near my wife's school Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Someone posted earlier that it had rain and 40's..and at least in SNE ..which is where I typically look..i did not see any ens support..nor any other op support for it..so we'll see if any mets bite on 47 and rain next week lol - you looked at the ensembles? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guvna Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Someone posted earlier that it had rain and 40's..and at least in SNE ..which is where I typically look..i did not see any ens support..nor any other op support for it..so we'll see if any mets bite on 47 and rain next week I remember when I went to the Preakness back in the mid 2000's and in Baltimore the temp was in the 40's for the day before. NEaster and pouring rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Those are not 40's for highs in SNE Reading comprehension fail. There is a difference between highs in the 40s and temperatures in the 40s. This is as far as our domain goes, but you can see BOS for example (and much of the Pike region) has a high of 50, meaning temps are likely in the 40s all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Guess brush fires aren't all we have to worry about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Those are not 40's for highs in SNE Those are H85 temps on that ensemble graphic. There aren't 2m temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 85 at BDL..Wow torchy in the CRV.....feels nice sitting at 71 currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 I thought summer was here for good? At least that's what I've gleaned from reading the forum the past few days. Also - I heard JB on NPR this morning, he said its not going to be an active hurricane season, but there's a high possibility of storms forming near the SE coast and the Gulf of Mexico, which means we could experience a 1950s like pattern, and hence a cyclone hitting New England. And in his words....one storm hitting your area means its an active season lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 We burn. Fire.jpeg Though this one appears to have jumped from a chicken barn to the woods, not vice versa. Hot time in Tacoma Lakes. That plume is just south of Purgatory Pond. AUG/WVL at 4 PM had RH in the mid teens, dews near 20 and temps 70+, with westerly gusts into the mid 20s. Not much help to the firefighters at that Litchfield blaze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Bone dry out there. RH 15%, DP 21.4F, Temp 71.3F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Hot time in Tacoma Lakes. That plume is just south of Purgatory Pond. AUG/WVL at 4 PM had RH in the mid teens, dews near 20 and temps 70+, with westerly gusts into the mid 20s. Not much help to the firefighters at that Litchfield blaze. Models were staggeringly bad with dewpoints yesterday. MAV/MET both had AUG at a min dewpoint of 30 today. Actual got down to 18. I wasn't short term yesterday, but this time of year you more often than not need to toss guidance with these air masses. Better off to mix down dewpoints from Bufkit or something. I would rather take the error on a forecast of -5 C than -1 C on a day like today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Nice seabreeze front on radar. Just went through here. Feels nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Lol.. Ryan has thunder and 74 for Tuesday.. AWT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 I thought summer was here for good? At least that's what I've gleaned from reading the forum the past few days. Also - I heard JB on NPR this morning, he said its not going to be an active hurricane season, but there's a high possibility of storms forming near the SE coast and the Gulf of Mexico, which means we could experience a 1950s like pattern, and hence a cyclone hitting New England. And in his words....one storm hitting your area means its an active season lol. True-while 2008-2014 have been quiet for landfalling storms, don't tell that to people around here...shoreline has been devastated by Irene and Sandy in back to back years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Route 108 from Stowe to Jeffersonville through Smugglers Notch is getting closer to opening. Snowpack is now patchy below the 2,200ft elevation that the road gets up to. Still some decent drifts of several feet though on the road in spots above 1,800ft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Models were staggeringly bad with dewpoints yesterday. MAV/MET both had AUG at a min dewpoint of 30 today. Actual got down to 18. I wasn't short term yesterday, but this time of year you more often than not need to toss guidance with these air masses. Better off to mix down dewpoints from Bufkit or something. I would rather take the error on a forecast of -5 C than -1 C on a day like today. Down to 16% RH here. 12Z MET has some nice spreads at CON over the next 2 days. 80/36 84/38 It's spitting out some 14-15% RH. It feels like Yuma. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Down to 16% RH here. 12Z MET has some nice spreads at CON over the next 2 days. 80/36 84/38 It's spitting out some 14-15% RH. It feels like Yuma. MAV 33 dewpoint at 18z tomorrow, MET 28 Just checking out dews at the top of the mixed layer on Bufkit and it would argue for somewhere between 27 (NAM) and 24 (GFS). Not quite as poor a performance as today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 when the hell are we going to get our first REAL severe threat...hate waiting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Fire tornadoes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 when the hell are we going to get our first REAL severe threat...hate waitingMonday and Tues look VERY active for us with warm front north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Monday and Tues look VERY active for us with warm front north Just took a look at the GFS for Monday/Tuesday specifically and yeah the GFS at face-value would offer some potential for some strong to severe storms. Really too far out to get into specifics or break down the specifics but can continue to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Route 108 from Stowe to Jeffersonville through Smugglers Notch is getting closer to opening. Snowpack is now patchy below the 2,200ft elevation that the road gets up to. Still some decent drifts of several feet though on the road in spots above 1,800ft. That looks like a driveway lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.