RedSky Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Lol... Too many LATE season turncoats.. Bring it on!!!!! My trip to NH and Vermont next week should be perfect!! I was half joking, my verizon went dead at midnight running on mobile power Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 GGEM is a SECS, colder than GFS all snow Philly and most of SJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 WWA posted for 1 - 3" of slop... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 WWA posted for 1 - 3" of slop... 3 to 6 north mt holly zones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 19, 2015 Author Share Posted March 19, 2015 Not sure if its a trend or just a blip, but the new 6Z NAM seems to have "warmed" to the idea of being above freezing at the surface midday Friday. At least in more areas than it showed previously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 19, 2015 Author Share Posted March 19, 2015 Here's the full 0Z suite of "standard" models from meteocentre. With questionable boundary layer especially in lower elevation locations... take these with a pound of salt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Euro 0Z. Seems a little warmer than last run. Edit: actually looks about the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 12Z suite should be telling. I expect to see more warming and again, an increase in qpf this suite but we shall see. If I were to pinpoint some areas, I would say Mount Pocono is looking good as are the high hills in and around that general area in Eastern PA north of I78. Of course using this as a bullseye zone and not suggesting other areas wont see any snow as flakes will fly for most for a period tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chrisNJ Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 So I am curious as to thoughts on road conditions tomorrow. I have a moving company moving my stuff from Lebanon to Hillsborough around Noon (they are coming from Allentown). Hopefully, the roads stay slushy/wet only. Of all the days for it to snow... Anyway, 3-6, on grassy areas at least, looks like a good bet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheManWithNoFace Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Good eye Ray. The 18z NAM had the SFC freezing line along rt1, at 6z its oriented along 78. This is for 2pm tomorrow. Also the RGEM is pretty warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheManWithNoFace Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Good eye Ray. The 18z NAM had the SFC freezing line along rt1, at 6z its oriented along 78. This is for 2pm tomorrow. Also the RGEM is pretty warm. 12z NAM continues this trend, now has the sfc freezing line almost to rt80 at 18z tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 I would imagine my area in NW Chesco above 650ft will do well....I am actually down at Phils Spring Training so my wife will be doing the board measuring for me tomorrow. Maybe my buddy iceman down the road can come up to my place and do some measuring also Paul Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheManWithNoFace Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 I would imagine my area in NW Chesco above 650ft will do well....I am actually down at Phils Spring Training so my wife will be doing the board measuring for me tomorrow. Maybe my buddy iceman down the road can come up to my place and do some measuring also Paul and shoveling, right? :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Not sure the 12Z NAM is that much of a shift. Freezing line still runs right over TTN. But that is normal lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 RGEM, based on the precip type maps, looks colder & better for a lot of ppl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ezweather Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Here's the 4KM Snowfall map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
emilyburtson Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Should be rather scenic for a while tomorrow. This wet snow is going to cling to almost everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Should be quite scenic tomorrow with the wet snow clinging to almost everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Gonna go with 2 inches for trenton. 1.5 inches for philly. 4 inches for doylestown. 2.5 inches for willow grove. 4.5 inches for reading and Allentown. 1 inch or less for much of south jersey. Shame this couldn't fall at night but the melting will be too much to overcome to get close to 10:1 ratios. Even if we get some heavy stuff, I don't see the roads being an issue tomorrow. I really only want 1.4" to get to 40 on the year, then a rapid melt Saturday morning to get a round of golf in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yankeex777 Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 I've really been out of the loop on this storm. When is the expected start time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 I've really been out of the loop on this storm. When is the expected start time?Tomorrow morning around 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman56 Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 I would imagine my area in NW Chesco above 650ft will do well....I am actually down at Phils Spring Training so my wife will be doing the board measuring for me tomorrow. Maybe my buddy iceman down the road can come up to my place and do some measuring also Paul I'll walk up my hill where it's 682' at the top, house is at 352' and see what effect 330' has. Not sure it will be too different, ground was frozen solid this morning at the house and should be frozen again after tonight. Pretty sure your driveway will be bare by the time you get back... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 12Z GFS and RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard-on-GFS Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Is that map accurate for CNJ? Or is this one of these cases that it shows 7" but it's actually 2" because there are BL issues? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Is that map accurate for CNJ? Or is this one of these cases that it shows 7" but it's actually 2" because there are BL issues? it's based on a 10:1 ratio, which won't happen(well should say most likely not happen) because temps will be very borderline, 32-34 during the event with a strong sun. In this case though, it would be more like 3-4 inches on grassy surfaces imo after factoring in the low ratio's and melting. North and west may see the 10:1 ratio's though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 12 euro. Looks about the same around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 19, 2015 Author Share Posted March 19, 2015 Meteocentre maps from the "standard" suite... with marginal BL, take these with a pound of salt... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 The sun is baking the asphalt/baking today. I''m installing new brakes while positioned on the ground....quite warm. May even have received some color? It's basically the strength of late Sept sun rays at this point I would think... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PAPPG Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 The sun is baking the asphalt/baking today. I''m installing new brakes while positioned on the ground....quite warm. May even have received some color? It's basically the strength of late Sept sun rays at this point I would think...Roughly September 23rd... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 The sun is baking the asphalt/baking today. I''m installing new brakes while positioned on the ground....quite warm. May even have received some color? It's basically the strength of late Sept sun rays at this point I would think... Roughly September 23rd... Yeah, sounds about right. Trout season starts April 4th this year in SE PA. And in years past I would come home w/a "farmers tan" many times... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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