famartin Posted March 16, 2015 Share Posted March 16, 2015 ...because we all knew we weren't writing this winter off that easily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted March 16, 2015 Share Posted March 16, 2015 12Zgfs is cranking out 4-6 inches for TTN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted March 16, 2015 Share Posted March 16, 2015 Glenn's 4pm forecast for Friday. Really need any snow to fall/stick at night w/the high of 38 (in Philly)....windy tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 16, 2015 Author Share Posted March 16, 2015 Glenn's 4pm forecast for Friday. Really need any snow to fall/stick at night w/the high of 38 (in Philly)....windy tomorrow. Wouldn't *have* to fall at night, though it would help. However, during midday, it would probably have to fall pretty hard. More than a few hundredths of liquid-equivalent per hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 All of the major models at some point have showed a coastal system in the Friday/Saturday time frame. I'm pretty confident it will happen. Like all the previous events we will have to wait until we are much closer to the event to get an idea of the amount/type of precip. It's the middle of March so getting all snow is becoming more difficult. By the way, did anyone see hour 336 on the 18Z GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 All of the major models at some point have showed a coastal system in the Friday/Saturday time frame. I'm pretty confident it will happen. Like all the previous events we will have to wait until we are much closer to the event to get an idea of the amount/type of precip. It's the middle of March so getting all snow is becoming more difficult. By the way, did anyone see hour 336 on the 18Z GFS? 990 MB.... Now that's a low pressure!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 00z GFS a colder scraper with 2-3" SEPA 3-4" south and central Jersey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 Thanks for the 00z hours update! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 Now I'm drooling over the system developing next week. The models just won't give me a break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 12z GFS Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman56 Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 Snowfall maps probably running too high on totals. At this time of year, 10:1 ratios are pretty unlikely. Also most accumulation would be confined to non-paved surfaces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 Any snow this time of the year is bonus snow. Does the gfs have any support? Think coating-inch or two on grass is the most we'd get but that's still good this time of the year. Hopefully it'll be melted by sat at noon though, I've got my first tee time of the year already booked, would hate to be snowed out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 12Z euro definitely looks elevation dependent in NJ. Much more typical. No snow accumulated after this event during the 240 he period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 12Z euro definitely looks elevation dependent in NJ. Much more typical. euro3-17-12.png Nice look for the northern sections of mt holly's zone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 12Z euro definitely looks elevation dependent in NJ. Much more typical. euro3-17-12.png No snow accumulated after this event during the 240 he period Nice look for the northern sections of mt holly's zone Figures I'd be close to the jackpot zone now that it's just about spring. I hope it changes by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Figures I'd be close to the jackpot zone now that it's just about spring. I hope it changes by then. Hey, I'll take your snow if you don't want it :-). Send it on down this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Hey, I'll take your snow if you don't want it :-). Send it on down this way. I'll gladly let you have it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 0Z euro for this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 18, 2015 Author Share Posted March 18, 2015 Strong hint of elevation dependence in this one... 34 thru the storm at PHL (on the EC), 33 at NXX, 32 at UKT... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Strong hint of elevation dependence in this one... 34 thru the storm at PHL (on the EC), 33 at NXX, 32 at UKT... How much for 370ft? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 I'll gladly let you have it! Thank you! It's gonna be cool for the next week anyway, might as well spice it up a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 18, 2015 Author Share Posted March 18, 2015 Here's the 0Z GGEM and GFS from meteocentre, looks reasonable (perhaps a tad on the snowy side, not taking the warm surface into account fully): Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Hey Plilly and Ewing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 12Z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 GFS map looks way overdone imo, same with the NAM. NAM is at least a bit more believable because surface temps are modeled on it to remain at or below 32 for the majority of the area. GFS looked warm, even at 850. would not even come close to 10:1 ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ezweather Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 I agree about not going totally with models are saying with how much snow they showing. Given that we're warmer, plus if it snows during the daytime, you have to get high snowfall rates to get roads totally snow covered. Yeh, it will be slick, but not sure how significant this event will be. Definitely will be monitoring things now. Then I saw the Canadian for next week. Kind of started to laugh at the snowfall map. But this is the window to get some more snow. So, we'll see how this plays out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 GGEM with 2 storms and a snow map that is complete insanity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 GGEM gem3-18-12Z.png Looks great since I'm in the bullseye but thinking maybe cut the precip in half....way overdone IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Holy crap GGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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