A-L-E-K Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 It's getting pretty ridiculous at this point. Complaints about crapvection ring hollow when we can't even manage anything that exciting. Finally frontal timing looked pretty good, but once again we're screwed over by stratiform rain. if it's any consolation, my life is great, babes, bucks, boomers, I got it all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Would like us to miss the remnants to the south since Saturday is looking very interesting severe wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 if it's any consolation, my life is great, babes, bucks, boomers, I got it all! The best troller on Lake Michigan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted June 15, 2015 Author Share Posted June 15, 2015 Mega bust in the making. Nothing more then 22 raindrops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Lmao. The stuff in Chicago has go move through here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Mega bust in the making. Nothing more then 22 raindrops. Did at least manage to get yet another thunderless heavy rain shower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Mega bust in the making. Nothing more then 22 raindrops. Maybe way up there, but for most of the metro we have already received .5-1.00 with even more near the border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted June 15, 2015 Author Share Posted June 15, 2015 Maybe way up there, but for most of the metro we have already received .5-1.00 with even more near the border. I'm fed up with this pattern it's nothing but clouds and very light rain for the last several days. Everything for the most part missed this area. Tonight looks like another tease. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 I'm fed up with this pattern it's nothing but clouds and very light rain for the last several days. Everything for the most part missed this area. Tonight looks like another tease. Again for you maybe, but for the majority of the metro area naso much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted June 15, 2015 Author Share Posted June 15, 2015 Lmao. The stuff in Chicago has go move through here. not necessarily the majority of that line is going to shift south and southeast of us. Will get clipped with leftover light showers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 not necessarily the majority of that line is going to shift south and southeast of us. Will get clipped with leftover light showers.Did you even read the latest afd from dtx? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted June 15, 2015 Author Share Posted June 15, 2015 Did you even read the latest afd from dtx? Yep. I did and I totally disagreed with it. Most of the instability has left the area. Will grab some showers from some decaying storm overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergy Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Yep. I did and I totally disagreed with it. Most of the instability has left the area. Will grab some showers from some decaying storm overnight. Take a look at GRR's radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted June 15, 2015 Author Share Posted June 15, 2015 Take a look at GRR's radar. And? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 And? How do you not see everything popping on the radar? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergy Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 And? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 And? Okay so you are trolling at this point... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted June 16, 2015 Author Share Posted June 16, 2015 Sent from my iPhone You're obviously assuming those will hold together and make it all the way over here? To me it looks like some of that as we speak is losing punch as it crosses Lake Michigan and I don't see any of that in Indiana making it this far north (94 corridor) to be honest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted June 16, 2015 Share Posted June 16, 2015 You're obviously assuming those will hold together and make it all the way over here? To me it looks like some of that as we speak is losing punch as it crosses Lake Michigan and I don't see any of that in Indiana making it this far north (94 corridor) to be honest. Your reasoning makes no sense though, the mean flow says that the stuff in IN should be moving this way and the stuff to the north is slowly sagging south. The LLJ is progged to move into the area tonight which if anything should maintain or increase convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted June 16, 2015 Share Posted June 16, 2015 You're obviously assuming those will hold together and make it all the way over here? To me it looks like some of that as we speak is losing punch as it crosses Lake Michigan and I don't see any of that in Indiana making it this far north (94 corridor) to be honest. 1. There's plenty of instability over MI. LI's up to -6. Cape between 1000-1500. Bulk shear of 30-40 knots. PWAT's over 2. And with the addition of LLJ in the SE corner of MI (per DTX AFD) the storms will only continue to blossom and congeal. There's no way this will lose punch. I dont think there will be widespread severe, but drenching rain is almost certain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted June 16, 2015 Author Share Posted June 16, 2015 Okay so you are trolling at this point... Nah. Just talking weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergy Posted June 16, 2015 Share Posted June 16, 2015 1. There's plenty of instability over MI. LI's up to -6. Cape between 1000-1500. Bulk shear of 30-40 knots. PWAT's over 2. And with the addition of LLJ in the SE corner of MI (per DTX AFD) the storms will only continue to blossom and congeal. There's no way this will lose punch. I dont think there will be widespread severe, but drenching rain is almost certain. You can lead a horse to water, but you can't make him drink it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted June 16, 2015 Share Posted June 16, 2015 if it's any consolation, my life is great, babes, bucks, boomers, I got it all! haha! You turd head! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted June 16, 2015 Author Share Posted June 16, 2015 You can lead a horse to water, but you can't make him drink it. Hey now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted June 16, 2015 Author Share Posted June 16, 2015 Your reasoning makes no sense though, the mean flow says that the stuff in IN should be moving this way and the stuff to the north is slowly sagging south. The LLJ is progged to move into the area tonight which if anything should maintain or increase convection. Do you think with the cold front moving south would insure that cluster in NW Indiana to stay south or along the state-line? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted June 16, 2015 Share Posted June 16, 2015 Do you think with the cold front moving south would insure that cluster in NW Indiana to stay south or along the state-line? Cold front isn't moving south fast enough keep the rain shield south of the border. Most of the metro area should see heavy rain tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted June 16, 2015 Share Posted June 16, 2015 Cold front isn't moving south fast enough keep the rain shield south of the border. Most of the metro area should see heavy rain tonight. STratiform rain is never really "heavy" Maybe more like a steady moderate rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted June 16, 2015 Share Posted June 16, 2015 Your reasoning makes no sense though, the mean flow says that the stuff in IN should be moving this way and the stuff to the north is slowly sagging south. The LLJ is progged to move into the area tonight which if anything should maintain or increase convection. The LLJ can help to expand the rain shield our direction, but the stronger storms (which is what I think dmc76 is concerned about) will stay in OH/IN with the better instability. And yes, the LLJ COULD also help to ignite new convection, but it won't be nearly as intense/widespread as the convection to the south, where the best theta-e advection and convergence lies... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted June 16, 2015 Share Posted June 16, 2015 I'm fed up with this pattern it's nothing but clouds and very light rain for the last several days. Everything for the most part missed this area. Tonight looks like another tease. Honestly, you haven't missed much. The only part of our area that's seen any formidable convection (not including the Ann Arbor flood yesterday) is Lenawee and Monroe Counties. Otherwise, it's just been garden variety stuff at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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