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ENSO for spring /summer- strong Nino


Damage In Tolland

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yep, you would think they would remember although its a warmer base this year so much can occur

Yeah. Don't forget the dynamical models will always take whatever stage the kelvin wave is (upwelling or downwelling) and run with it, which is why last year failed as a forecast. But, although I'm an amateur with this stuff, it does seem more favorable. What does it mean next winter? Who knows. My wild azz guess is perhaps some sort of weaker + ENSO deal? Yes very preliminary, but just an educated guess.

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