Damage In Tolland Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Awt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 18Z gfs likes a snowy Sunday in sne. Verbatim BOS flirts with the record.Yeah that was a good run. It really digs the vortmax and tries to redevelop the mid level center pretty far south. That would def be accumulating snow. Id like to see other guidance at 00z come that direction though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 AwtWhat's that stand for? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 As we thought, Or really as he thought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 What's that stand for? "As we thought" AKT = "As Kevin Thought" for future reference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 What's that stand for?How long have you been here now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 How long have you been here now? AMOUT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Probably need to dig up the thread that has all the board acronyms for the inquiring minds................ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 How long have you been here now? Lol, I know. Feel stupid for asking, but Kevin seems to be the only one who uses it so I thought it was his own acrynom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Awt If only we could lock in the GFS scenario... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Nice cold tuckie tuckie for eastern areas on the GFS for Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Yeah that was a good run. It really digs the vortmax and tries to redevelop the mid level center pretty far south. That would def be accumulating snow. Id like to see other guidance at 00z come that direction though. We've got the NAM/Rgem.GEFS/GFS..Euro suite is going to be wrong and cave. Too much going against it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 IN THE SHORTER TERM...DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY BEFORE A STORM SYSTEM BRINGS A COLD RAIN TO MUCH OF THE REGION SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY...WHICH COULD BEGIN AND END AS A PERIOD OF SNOW WITH MINOR ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS THE INTERIOR. RAINFALL TOTALS OF ONE HALF TO ONE INCH ARE POSSIBLE...WITH THE HIGHER TOTALS FOCUSED CLOSER TO THE SOUTH COAST...CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS. THIS SCENARIO WILL NOT SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASE THE FLOOD POTENTIAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND...AS IT WILL NOT BE WARM ENOUGH FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOWMELT. MINOR URBAN FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WHERE STORM DRAINS REMAIN BLOCKED BY SNOW. Temps in the low-mid 30's with icepack and snow/ice to start and end isn't going to flood anything except roads blocked by clogged snow drains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 As we thought, Or really as he thought ASOUT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 ASOUT AWAT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Models are trending toward heavy elevation dependent snow in my opinion. 4-8 by Noon Sunday is a good bet. Snow rates will decrease after that but ratios should improve. I think 10"+ isn't out of the question at 2500-3000 feet. 18z GFS has that. I think its too robust, as most of the other guidance has the axis of best snows further north, arcing from Montreal to north of Bangor. But it does look like things may will just cold enough for a paste in the higher elevations. Maybe some sleet or rain mix early in the event, but several inches looks decent for the higher elevations. NW of here though like Pittsburgh, NH to Sugarloaf is more of a sure bet for warning criteria totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Right now based on the model out put, I would place a general 3-6" for the coast and 4-8" for the coastal plain to the foothills with 6-12" from the foothills north and west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Gyx sounds optimistic for mby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 This may end up an elevation ice storm for a few lucky folks. Probably n mass. But may see some in CT for a time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Temps in the low-mid 30's with icepack and snow/ice to start and end isn't going to flood anything except roads blocked by clogged snow drainsnice to see all the rivers streams flowing today, pretty neat watching the ice chunks going over the waterfalls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 We rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted March 13, 2015 Share Posted March 13, 2015 We rain We snow we ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NECT Posted March 13, 2015 Share Posted March 13, 2015 Lol, I know. Feel stupid for asking, but Kevin seems to be the only one who uses it so I thought it was his own acrynom It often is. And when he refers to NH, that means North Haven, CT. You have to spell out New Hampshire on this board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason215 Posted March 13, 2015 Share Posted March 13, 2015 Hey Guys, I'm trying to squeeze in a ski day this Saturday. Thinking Killington or Gore. (Long drive from LI) But I'd rather not ski in the rain. Do you think I'm good above 2000FT for Sat? (I don't think I can ski Sunday - other family stuff going on). I know I'd prolly have to wait for the rest of the 0z suite to come in, but any thoughts on Sat would be greatly appreciated. Thanks in advance! Jason Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 13, 2015 Share Posted March 13, 2015 NAM looks awesome for the north country for Sat night and Sunday. Only leftover SN- or flurries for SNE. It's the NAM, but I was hoping to see a bit further south for Sunday. Pretty low probability at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason215 Posted March 13, 2015 Share Posted March 13, 2015 NAM looks awesome for the north country for Sat night and Sunday. Only leftover SN- or flurries for SNE. It's the NAM, but I was hoping to see a bit further south for Sunday. Pretty low probability at the moment. So for Saturday during lift operating hrs looks like a cold rain? I could deal with skiing in drizzle and mist, but skiing in a moderate rain stinks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thomasnh Posted March 13, 2015 Share Posted March 13, 2015 It is going to rain here with maybe some mangled flakes, just can't believe we now are going to miss this storm to the north. Unbelievable very similar to last year though I have to say Euro nailed this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 13, 2015 Share Posted March 13, 2015 We snow we ice We wait and see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted March 13, 2015 Share Posted March 13, 2015 Saturday we rain, Sunday we pray for an inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted March 13, 2015 Share Posted March 13, 2015 It is going to rain here with maybe some mangled flakes, just can't believe we now are going to miss this storm to the north. Unbelievable very similar to last year though I have to say Euro nailed this storm. how can you say that the euro nailed this storm when it hasn't even happened yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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