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I don't think any guidance shows any snow for SNE on Sat...maybe a few flakes at the onset rt 2 region and northeast.

 

Doesn't mean it still can't change, but it looks pretty bleak at the moment. The potential for snow on Sunday definitely looks more promising...though still not great itself.

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I don't think any guidance shows any snow for SNE on Sat...maybe a few flakes at the onset rt 2 region and northeast.

 

Doesn't mean it still can't change, but it looks pretty bleak at the moment. The potential for snow on Sunday definitely looks more promising...though still not great itself.

I am curious what model harv used in his 11pm broadcast, mentioning one model where the R-S line may collapse south into N mass close toward boston late Saturday and Saturday night

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yeah if you like mood snows and temperatures in the mid thirties it's great but I was hoping to possibly replenish some of the 10 inches of pack that I've lost since last week.

Well if you get lucky you pick up an inch or 2. 

Op models lost the storm for the equinox..but still some ensemble support. Cold and dry next week

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yeah if you like mood snows and temperatures in the mid thirties it's great but I was hoping to possibly replenish some of the 10 inches of pack that I've lost since last week.

If you live in CT and you're expecting to rebuild the pack in mid-March, you're setting yourself up for disappointment. Not that it can't snow, obviously, but you're fighing a losing battle with climo when it comes to retention.

 

Anyway, this mess of a setup has all the makings of a non-event even up here. I'm always skeptical about these long-duration/multi-stage systems where so many things can go wrong, especially with a marginal airmass and high sun angle. 

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mash likely

150314/0300Z  45  VRB01KT  13.7F  SNOW    5:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.008    5:1|  0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.01  100|  0|  0
150314/0600Z  48  VRB02KT  17.3F  SNOW    5:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.015    5:1|  0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.02  100|  0|  0
----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
150314/0900Z  51  VRB02KT  22.2F  SNOW    5:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.016    5:1|  0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.04  100|  0|  0
150314/1200Z  54  07003KT  22.9F  SNOW    5:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.028    5:1|  0.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.07  100|  0|  0
150314/1500Z  57  07004KT  25.8F  SNOW    6:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.041    5:1|  0.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.11  100|  0|  0
150314/1800Z  60  07005KT  26.1F  SNOW    5:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.040    5:1|  0.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.15  100|  0|  0
----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
150314/2100Z  63  07005KT  25.2F  SNOW    8:1| 0.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.076    6:1|  1.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.22  100|  0|  0
150315/0000Z  66  07005KT  23.8F  SNOW    9:1| 0.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.093    7:1|  2.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.32  100|  0|  0
150315/0300Z  69  06006KT  22.7F  SNOW   12:1| 1.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.086    8:1|  3.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.40  100|  0|  0
150315/0600Z  72  06007KT  21.3F  SNOW   14:1| 1.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.103    9:1|  4.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.51  100|  0|  0
----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
150315/0900Z  75  05006KT  18.9F  SNOW   14:1| 0.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.033    9:1|  5.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.54  100|  0|  0
150315/1200Z  78  05009KT  18.0F  SNOW   20:1| 0.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.026   10:1|  5.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.56  100|  0|  0
150315/1500Z  81  04006KT  18.9F  SNOW   17:1| 2.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.118   11:1|  7.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.68  100|  0|  0
150315/1800Z  84  02008KT  21.8F  SNOW   10:1| 1.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.102   11:1|  8.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.78  100|  0|  0
----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
150315/2100Z  87  01007KT  23.1F  SNOW    8:1| 0.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.044   11:1|  9.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.83  100|  0|  0
150316/0000Z  90  34005KT  20.0F  SNOW   10:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.017   11:1|  9.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.85  100|  0|  0
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150314/0300Z  45  VRB01KT  13.7F  SNOW    5:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.008    5:1|  0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.01  100|  0|  0
150314/0600Z  48  VRB02KT  17.3F  SNOW    5:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.015    5:1|  0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.02  100|  0|  0
----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
150314/0900Z  51  VRB02KT  22.2F  SNOW    5:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.016    5:1|  0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.04  100|  0|  0
150314/1200Z  54  07003KT  22.9F  SNOW    5:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.028    5:1|  0.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.07  100|  0|  0
150314/1500Z  57  07004KT  25.8F  SNOW    6:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.041    5:1|  0.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.11  100|  0|  0
150314/1800Z  60  07005KT  26.1F  SNOW    5:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.040    5:1|  0.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.15  100|  0|  0
----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
150314/2100Z  63  07005KT  25.2F  SNOW    8:1| 0.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.076    6:1|  1.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.22  100|  0|  0
150315/0000Z  66  07005KT  23.8F  SNOW    9:1| 0.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.093    7:1|  2.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.32  100|  0|  0
150315/0300Z  69  06006KT  22.7F  SNOW   12:1| 1.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.086    8:1|  3.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.40  100|  0|  0
150315/0600Z  72  06007KT  21.3F  SNOW   14:1| 1.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.103    9:1|  4.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.51  100|  0|  0
----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
150315/0900Z  75  05006KT  18.9F  SNOW   14:1| 0.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.033    9:1|  5.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.54  100|  0|  0
150315/1200Z  78  05009KT  18.0F  SNOW   20:1| 0.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.026   10:1|  5.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.56  100|  0|  0
150315/1500Z  81  04006KT  18.9F  SNOW   17:1| 2.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.118   11:1|  7.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.68  100|  0|  0
150315/1800Z  84  02008KT  21.8F  SNOW   10:1| 1.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.102   11:1|  8.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.78  100|  0|  0
----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
150315/2100Z  87  01007KT  23.1F  SNOW    8:1| 0.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.044   11:1|  9.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.83  100|  0|  0
150316/0000Z  90  34005KT  20.0F  SNOW   10:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.017   11:1|  9.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.85  100|  0|  0

GYX?, I did not look at bufkit yet, Still going over last nights runs and was going to post that map for the 06z GFS from levi's site that you posted above, Solid hit on the GFS with the off shore low a little further north

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