40/70 Benchmark Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Harv is starting to hedge a bit snowier. Glad I didn't $hiat can my 2-4" N of pike call quite yet. I'll update blog tmw after data is onshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Harv is starting to hedge a bit snowier. Glad I didn't $hiat can my 2-4" N of pike call quite yet. I'll update blog tmw after data is onshore.What's he basing that on? I thought the trends were down the drain for the SAT overrunning and weak sauce light RN/SN for whatever happens SUN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 I don't think any guidance shows any snow for SNE on Sat...maybe a few flakes at the onset rt 2 region and northeast. Doesn't mean it still can't change, but it looks pretty bleak at the moment. The potential for snow on Sunday definitely looks more promising...though still not great itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 potential for marginal icing Saturday for high terrain of n ctrl orh county into sw nh? 0z GFS kinda has that look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 potential for marginal icing Saturday for high terrain of n ctrl orh county into sw nh? 0z GFS kinda has that look Great, I'll be in S NH (Nashua) hopefully it is above freezing there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 I don't think any guidance shows any snow for SNE on Sat...maybe a few flakes at the onset rt 2 region and northeast. Doesn't mean it still can't change, but it looks pretty bleak at the moment. The potential for snow on Sunday definitely looks more promising...though still not great itself. I am curious what model harv used in his 11pm broadcast, mentioning one model where the R-S line may collapse south into N mass close toward boston late Saturday and Saturday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 no love on the Euro op down this way on Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Local met pumping 6+" for most of ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Local met pumping 6+" for most of ME. yes time for you guys to cash in.I'm interested to see how our family's summer camp up in Mount Vernon does? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Sunday's the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Sunday's the day do you have some top secret information you would like to share? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 do you have some top secret information you would like to share? ULL snows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 ULL snows yeah if you like mood snows and temperatures in the mid thirties it's great but I was hoping to possibly replenish some of the 10 inches of pack that I've lost since last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 yeah if you like mood snows and temperatures in the mid thirties it's great but I was hoping to possibly replenish some of the 10 inches of pack that I've lost since last week. Well if you get lucky you pick up an inch or 2. Op models lost the storm for the equinox..but still some ensemble support. Cold and dry next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 12, 2015 Author Share Posted March 12, 2015 Equinox deal will happen, intrarun variability not withstanding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 yes I still like the overall signal around the equinox, you're obviously going to have your model biases at play in this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 yeah if you like mood snows and temperatures in the mid thirties it's great but I was hoping to possibly replenish some of the 10 inches of pack that I've lost since last week. If you live in CT and you're expecting to rebuild the pack in mid-March, you're setting yourself up for disappointment. Not that it can't snow, obviously, but you're fighing a losing battle with climo when it comes to retention. Anyway, this mess of a setup has all the makings of a non-event even up here. I'm always skeptical about these long-duration/multi-stage systems where so many things can go wrong, especially with a marginal airmass and high sun angle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 For 90% of the folks here, the only thing about a kitchen sink this system holds is the need for a drain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 What's the deal with the kitchen sink analogy anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 My guess would be a little bit of everything for some, Models are all over the board up here but i'm going to start to focus on them now as i have not spent much time other then glancing at a couple runs over the last 2 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 My guess would be a little bit of everything for some, Models are all over the board up here but i'm going to start to focus on them now as i have not spent much time other then glancing at a couple runs over the last 2 days crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 crushed mash likely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 For 90% of the folks here, the only thing about a kitchen sink this system holds is the need for a drain. 90? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 mash likely 150314/0300Z 45 VRB01KT 13.7F SNOW 5:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.008 5:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.01 100| 0| 0 150314/0600Z 48 VRB02KT 17.3F SNOW 5:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.015 5:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.02 100| 0| 0 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 150314/0900Z 51 VRB02KT 22.2F SNOW 5:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.016 5:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.04 100| 0| 0 150314/1200Z 54 07003KT 22.9F SNOW 5:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.028 5:1| 0.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.07 100| 0| 0 150314/1500Z 57 07004KT 25.8F SNOW 6:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.041 5:1| 0.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.11 100| 0| 0 150314/1800Z 60 07005KT 26.1F SNOW 5:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.040 5:1| 0.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.15 100| 0| 0 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 150314/2100Z 63 07005KT 25.2F SNOW 8:1| 0.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.076 6:1| 1.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.22 100| 0| 0 150315/0000Z 66 07005KT 23.8F SNOW 9:1| 0.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.093 7:1| 2.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.32 100| 0| 0 150315/0300Z 69 06006KT 22.7F SNOW 12:1| 1.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.086 8:1| 3.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.40 100| 0| 0 150315/0600Z 72 06007KT 21.3F SNOW 14:1| 1.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.103 9:1| 4.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.51 100| 0| 0 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 150315/0900Z 75 05006KT 18.9F SNOW 14:1| 0.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.033 9:1| 5.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.54 100| 0| 0 150315/1200Z 78 05009KT 18.0F SNOW 20:1| 0.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.026 10:1| 5.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.56 100| 0| 0 150315/1500Z 81 04006KT 18.9F SNOW 17:1| 2.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.118 11:1| 7.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.68 100| 0| 0 150315/1800Z 84 02008KT 21.8F SNOW 10:1| 1.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.102 11:1| 8.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.78 100| 0| 0 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 150315/2100Z 87 01007KT 23.1F SNOW 8:1| 0.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.044 11:1| 9.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.83 100| 0| 0 150316/0000Z 90 34005KT 20.0F SNOW 10:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.017 11:1| 9.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.85 100| 0| 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 yes time for you guys to cash in.I'm interested to see how our family's summer camp up in Mount Vernon does? used to live in belgrade lakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 150314/0300Z 45 VRB01KT 13.7F SNOW 5:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.008 5:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.01 100| 0| 0 150314/0600Z 48 VRB02KT 17.3F SNOW 5:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.015 5:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.02 100| 0| 0 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 150314/0900Z 51 VRB02KT 22.2F SNOW 5:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.016 5:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.04 100| 0| 0 150314/1200Z 54 07003KT 22.9F SNOW 5:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.028 5:1| 0.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.07 100| 0| 0 150314/1500Z 57 07004KT 25.8F SNOW 6:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.041 5:1| 0.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.11 100| 0| 0 150314/1800Z 60 07005KT 26.1F SNOW 5:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.040 5:1| 0.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.15 100| 0| 0 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 150314/2100Z 63 07005KT 25.2F SNOW 8:1| 0.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.076 6:1| 1.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.22 100| 0| 0 150315/0000Z 66 07005KT 23.8F SNOW 9:1| 0.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.093 7:1| 2.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.32 100| 0| 0 150315/0300Z 69 06006KT 22.7F SNOW 12:1| 1.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.086 8:1| 3.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.40 100| 0| 0 150315/0600Z 72 06007KT 21.3F SNOW 14:1| 1.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.103 9:1| 4.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.51 100| 0| 0 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 150315/0900Z 75 05006KT 18.9F SNOW 14:1| 0.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.033 9:1| 5.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.54 100| 0| 0 150315/1200Z 78 05009KT 18.0F SNOW 20:1| 0.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.026 10:1| 5.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.56 100| 0| 0 150315/1500Z 81 04006KT 18.9F SNOW 17:1| 2.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.118 11:1| 7.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.68 100| 0| 0 150315/1800Z 84 02008KT 21.8F SNOW 10:1| 1.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.102 11:1| 8.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.78 100| 0| 0 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 150315/2100Z 87 01007KT 23.1F SNOW 8:1| 0.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.044 11:1| 9.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.83 100| 0| 0 150316/0000Z 90 34005KT 20.0F SNOW 10:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.017 11:1| 9.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.85 100| 0| 0 GYX?, I did not look at bufkit yet, Still going over last nights runs and was going to post that map for the 06z GFS from levi's site that you posted above, Solid hit on the GFS with the off shore low a little further north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 GYX 14 on Bufkit GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 GYX?, I did not look at bufkit yet, Still going over last nights runs and was going to post that map for the 06z GFS from levi's site that you posted above, Solid hit on the GFS with the off shore low a little further north KRUM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Even kCON is 10, don't have any idea what eyeore is talking about Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 KRUM They are to far to my NW in the foothills, I use either GYX or KAUG, I'm in between both Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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