sparklecity Posted June 30, 2015 Share Posted June 30, 2015 Well, that deescalated rapidly. Went from looking like there were going to be widespread storms (some severe) to basically nothing now but stratiform rain in the upstate. 95% of rain events in mby have been stratiform this summer. Everything started going to hell as soon as we got put under a watch and 80% pops. Only damp pavement and a temp of 77° so we have most likely missed our chance once again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted June 30, 2015 Share Posted June 30, 2015 We got our watch---- weather radio just scared me! Thanks man. There you go, Brick. Guaranteed no storms for you now. Sorry man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted June 30, 2015 Share Posted June 30, 2015 Well, that deescalated rapidly. Went from looking like there were going to be widespread storms (some severe) to basically nothing now but stratiform rain in the upstate. 95% of rain events in mby have been stratiform this summer. Everything started going to hell as soon as we got put under a watch and 80% pops. Only damp pavement and a temp of 77° so we have most likely missed our chance once again. Stratoform rain is the best, so your lucky! I had a deluge for about 10 minutes, and it mostly ran off, it was so hard. Stratoform soaks in much better! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted June 30, 2015 Share Posted June 30, 2015 Thanks man. There you go, Brick. Guaranteed no storms for you now. Sorry man. You know it. The kiss of death. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparklecity Posted June 30, 2015 Share Posted June 30, 2015 Stratoform rain is the best, so your lucky! I had a deluge for about 10 minutes, and it mostly ran off, it was so hard. Stratoform soaks in much better! I'm pretty sure there wasn't even enough to get past the leaves of plants. Weather station isn't even registering any rainfall. This is the most pathetic spring/summer for storms I can remember for mby. I haven't even had a window rattling rumble of thunder since last year. NAM not even close again. I don't know why I even still bother looking at that model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted June 30, 2015 Share Posted June 30, 2015 Im not in the watch but I guess they are counting on the shear to do its thing....and with that level of shear its possible if they get high enough they wont die that's for sure, a few storms popping up now....I am at work though so I cat watch like I like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted June 30, 2015 Share Posted June 30, 2015 They really expanded the 'Slight Risk' area! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted June 30, 2015 Share Posted June 30, 2015 Leaving the office. Definitely looks like some storms are forming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted June 30, 2015 Share Posted June 30, 2015 Lol work is kicking my ass and honestly I thought this was a meh threat...but I just looked at radar and was shocked.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted June 30, 2015 Share Posted June 30, 2015 Warnings for the same areas that got the big storms Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted June 30, 2015 Share Posted June 30, 2015 Looks like we have a nice line from Alamance Co down south and moving east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted June 30, 2015 Share Posted June 30, 2015 Overall the line at this time looks kinda garden variety, no big bowing segments or strong areas of rotation right now just a few areas that are worst than a average storm, dcape is high though so I am sure in the heavier rain areas there are some decently high gust maybe 40-60 mph in the worst of them......Durham looks to get a good one so anxious to hear from them guys...then down say Southern Pines towards Red Springs that section of the line has some decently high and expansive velocities so good wind there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted June 30, 2015 Share Posted June 30, 2015 Storm damage reports are starting to roll in. Check out that boundary moving in from the SE just ahead of the line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted June 30, 2015 Share Posted June 30, 2015 That cluster in Orange Co looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldamon Posted June 30, 2015 Share Posted June 30, 2015 .Durham looks to get a good one so anxious to hear from them guys...then down say Southern Pines towards Red Springs that section of the line has some decently high and expansive velocities so good wind there. Stay tuned! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted June 30, 2015 Share Posted June 30, 2015 Matthew East 2 mins · As expected, these storms today mean business. Please take all Severe Thunderstorm Warnings seriously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sarcean Posted June 30, 2015 Share Posted June 30, 2015 No power and tons of trees down in High Point NC. At least 60mph straight line wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted June 30, 2015 Share Posted June 30, 2015 Storm damage reports are starting to roll in. Check out that boundary moving in from the SE just ahead of the line Yeah could be good or bad., if its to marine layery( made up a word sorry) it will shut it off.....of course it could also cause it to go nuts and might spin up a few rotations as well.......I leave for home in 10 mins and it take 15 to get hme so I will miss it hitting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted June 30, 2015 Share Posted June 30, 2015 Just got a severe thunderstorm warning, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted June 30, 2015 Share Posted June 30, 2015 Wind is picking up here. No thunder, lightning, or rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted June 30, 2015 Share Posted June 30, 2015 Storm is here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted June 30, 2015 Share Posted June 30, 2015 Well between today and last Saturday, we managed to finally get some appreciable rain here in my area of Lexington, SC. Taking anything we can get lately since most the storms have been falling apart this season. The line is really meaning business towards the coast judging by radar earlier. It filled in nicely per usual in the Eastern Midlands. Eastern NC could still have some good stuff going on now/soon. Is it just me or are the models doing absolutely horrible lately on the simulated radar/precipitation amount end? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldamon Posted June 30, 2015 Share Posted June 30, 2015 Bust in Durham. Kinda died right over us. Maybe more coming in from Orange Co though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted June 30, 2015 Share Posted June 30, 2015 Mesoscale Discussion 1257 [an error occurred while processing this directive] MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1257 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0622 PM CDT TUE JUN 30 2015 AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF CAROLINA PIEDMONT INTO COASTAL PLAIN...ADJACENT SE VIRGINIA CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 378...379... VALID 302322Z - 010045Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 378...379...CONTINUES. SUMMARY...STORMS LIKELY WILL REMAIN STRONG TO SEVERE AS THEY PROGRESS EAST OF THE WATCHES...ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND ADJACENT SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA DURING THE 01-03Z TIME FRAME. IT IS POSSIBLE...BUT NOT YET CERTAIN...THAT A NEW WW MAY BE NEEDED. DISCUSSION...A SLIGHT WESTERLY COMPONENT TO THE NEAR SURFACE FLOW AHEAD OF THE ONGOING EASTWARD PROGRESSING SQUALL LINE IS CERTAINLY NOT OPTIMAL FOR LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE/SYSTEM-RELATIVE INFLOW. BUT THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS VIGOROUS...AND APPEARS TO BE MAINTAINING STRENGTH...AS IT ADVANCES EASTWARD AROUND 35 KTS ON THE LEADING EDGE OF ITS CONGLOMERATE COLD POOL. PEAK 3-SECOND WIND GUSTS IN SURFACE OBSERVATIONS APPEAR TO BE RECENTLY ON THE ORDER OF 30-40 KT...AFTER AN INITIAL BURST AT LEAST APPROACHING SEVERE LIMITS NEAR COLUMBIA SC. WITH THE BOUNDARY LAYER REMAINING VERY WARM AND POTENTIALLY UNSTABLE AHEAD OF ACTIVITY...ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE NORTH CAROLINA PIEDMONT INTO THE COASTAL PLAIN OF NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...IT SEEMS PROBABLE THAT ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN STRONG TO SEVERE INTO AT LEAST IMMEDIATE COASTAL AREAS THROUGH 01-03Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted July 1, 2015 Share Posted July 1, 2015 southern end looking pretty dead, at this point I just hope to hear a few decent claps of thunder and get a little rain on my garden...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted July 1, 2015 Share Posted July 1, 2015 Got some thunder, rain, and a little wind. But pretty much a dud here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted July 1, 2015 Share Posted July 1, 2015 Really tame line of storms. Barely got rain in NW Johnston County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted July 1, 2015 Share Posted July 1, 2015 Bust in Durham. Kinda died right over us. Maybe more coming in from Orange Co though. No bust in this part of Durham. Trees and lots of branches down. Nice sustained windstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted July 1, 2015 Share Posted July 1, 2015 Got some thunder, rain, and a little wind. But pretty much a dud here.Atleast u got a watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted July 1, 2015 Share Posted July 1, 2015 Atleast u got a watch That's why I didn't get any big storms. Looks like northern Durham and southern Granville County got the big storm this time. Just watched Mattie E's video and he said tomorrow could be pretty active. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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