mackerel_sky Posted April 10, 2015 Share Posted April 10, 2015 Once the lightening calmed down I was able to grab a couple of hail stones, but they had been melting for at least 15-20 minutes. Still the size close to a golf ball. Checked my truck out and don't think I have any damage. But NWS indicates damage did occur to homes and vehicles in Franklin Co. where I'm located. FEW IF ANY REPORTS OF WIND BUT NUMEROUS REPORTS OF HAIL WITH DESTRUCTIVE HAIL OCCURRING OVER SECTIONS OF FRANKLIN COUNTY RESULTING IN DAMAGE TO HOMES AND VEHICLES. http://www.crh.noaa.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=RAH&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=0&highlight=off The biggest hail I've ever witnessed , was about golf ball size, and it put alot of dings in my truck (94 silverado) back when they still used real metal!I just left them there, it adds character! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted April 10, 2015 Share Posted April 10, 2015 First svr alert of the season today across the triad. Had a few minutes of pea size hail to boot. Vivid lightning across downtown kernersville. No harm no foul. Enjoyed the show and the rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midnight Moon Posted April 10, 2015 Share Posted April 10, 2015 The biggest hail I've ever witnessed , was about golf ball size, and it put alot of dings in my truck (94 silverado) back when they still used real metal! I just left them there, it adds character! Last night's hail storm is the worst I've personally witnessed. Ended up with 4 subtle dents in 2013 Silverado 1500. Wife's car lost a windshield. House had one hole in vinyl siding. Lot's of other people had way more damage than I did though. Heard in Louisburg there were reports of baseball size hail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smokey_mountain_vols Posted April 10, 2015 Share Posted April 10, 2015 Biggest hail I've witnessed was about golf ball sized. Came down onto my stepdads brand new 07 charger. I thought he was gonna cry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted April 10, 2015 Share Posted April 10, 2015 The biggest hail I've ever witnessed , was about golf ball size, and it put alot of dings in my truck (94 silverado) back when they still used real metal! I just left them there, it adds character! And the divots help you go faster! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted April 10, 2015 Share Posted April 10, 2015 We have had some pretty strong storms around here the last two days, and the main show should come today. The atmosphere should be pretty juicy this afternoon and evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted April 10, 2015 Share Posted April 10, 2015 Parameters really coming together cape/shear and lapse rates all point towards a decent severe weather outbreak for NC.....maybe even a few tornadic cells in north central and north eastern parts of the state..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted April 10, 2015 Share Posted April 10, 2015 That's a fairly nice cell near Whitmire in Newberry county. Thankfully, it's well to my south and headed on to the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted April 10, 2015 Share Posted April 10, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted April 10, 2015 Share Posted April 10, 2015 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0277NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK0136 PM CDT FRI APR 10 2015AREAS AFFECTED...EXTREME NRN NC...SRN/ERN VA...SERN MD...SRN DECONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELYVALID 101836Z - 101930ZPROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENTSUMMARY...WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED BY 20Z ACROSS PORTIONS OFTHE MIDDLE ATLANTIC.DISCUSSION...EFFECTIVE WARM FRONT/STRATUS DECK IS ADVANCING NWDACROSS VA/SERN MD WITH SUBSTANTIAL BOUNDARY LAYER WARMING NOTEDACROSS THE WARM SECTOR IN VA/NC. SFC TEMPERATURES ARE WARMING INTOTHE LOWER 80S ACROSS SUNNIER REGIONS AND SFC-3KM LAPSE RATES HAVESTEEPENED TO 7-8 C/KM. OF PARTICULAR CONCERN IS WHAT APPEARS TO BEA WEAK MCV ALONG THE VA/NC BORDER NEAR PATRICK COUNTY. CONVECTIVEDEBRIS HAS BEEN NOTED WITH THIS FEATURE BUT RECENTLY SFC-BASEDCONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD INCREASE ININTENSITY AND SPREAD/DEVELOP NEWD WITHIN A FAVORABLY SHEAREDENVIRONMENT FOR SUPERCELLS. WHILE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR IS NOTPARTICULARLY STRONG SOUTH OF THE AFOREMENTIONED WARM FRONT...THEREIS CONCERN A FEW TORNADOES COULD DEVELOP...ESPECIALLY NEAR THEFRONT. ACTIVITY SHOULD SPREAD TOWARD TIDEWATER REGION OF SRN MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted April 10, 2015 Share Posted April 10, 2015 SPC - updated... ...SOUTHEAST/GULF COAST STATES... THE MARGINAL RISK AREA HAS BEEN SHIFTED A LITTLE SWD ACROSS CENTRAL LA/MS AND WRN AL...GIVEN THE S/SEWD PROGRESSION OF THE COLD FRONT AND ATTENDANT BANDS OF TSTMS. THE SLIGHT RISK AREA HAS BEEN MAINTAINED ACROSS THE GULF COAST AND SOUTHEAST STATES. LOCALLY STRONG/DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD BE THE PRIMARY THREAT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING...SINCE POOR MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES PER THE 18Z SLIDELL LA SOUNDING SUGGEST A HAIL THREAT WILL TEND TO BE QUITE LIMITED. MEANWHILE...STEEPER MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES FARTHER EAST OVER GA CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A HAIL THREAT IN THIS REGION...IN ADDITION TO A DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJF0602 Posted April 10, 2015 Share Posted April 10, 2015 Kinda surprised with how anemic the radar looks,..hopefully we can get a few cells to pop soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JQPublic Posted April 10, 2015 Share Posted April 10, 2015 Kinda surprised with how anemic the radar looks,..hopefully we can get a few cells to pop soon. Yes, I was thinking the same thing. Where is the line of storms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted April 10, 2015 Share Posted April 10, 2015 Yeah if something doesn't kick off soon I think we gotta start thinking its gonna bust at least west of RDU.....and if it bust there then east of RDU might be in trouble as well.....kind figures the last few days we have had storms off around midnight both nights and now they actually talk the storms up and we get nada.... This loop might suggest a line forming from just NW of RDU up to VA where the storms are already firing, but the best shear is up there as well..... http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/wfo/rah/flash-vis.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted April 10, 2015 Share Posted April 10, 2015 The delayed afternoon discussion from RAH still indicated things to pop later on... AT THE SURFACE...A RETREATING WARM FRONT WAS ANALYZED FROM WEST-CENTRAL PA SOUTHWARD ALONG THE IMMEDIATE LEE OF THE CENTRALAPPALACHIANS... THEN EAST AND NORTHEAST ACROSS CENTRAL VA AND THEDELMARVA. THIS BOUNDARY...AND FOCUS OF ENHANCED LOW LEVELSHEAR...WILL CONTINUE TO RETREAT NORTH AND AWAY FROM CENTRAL NC. TOTHE WEST...A COLD FRONT WAS ANALYZED FROM SW PA...WHERE IT HAD OCCLUDED WITH THE WARM FRONT...SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE TN ANDLOWER MS VALLEYS. THIS FEATURE WILL CROSS CENTRAL NC EARLY THISEVENING OVER THE NW PIEDMONT...TO THE OVERNIGHT OR EARLY MORNINGHOURS OVER THE NC COASTAL PLAIN. THE COLD FRONT WAS PRECEDED BY APRE-FRONTAL/LEE TROUGH THAT HAD SHARPENED DURING THE PAST SEVERALHOURS OVER WESTERN NC...IN THE WAKE OF A COUPLE OF WELL-DEFINEDOUTFLOW BOUNDARIES OVER WEST-CENTRAL VA AND WEST-CENTRALSC...RESPECTIVELY. THESE FEATURES WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS CENTRAL NCTHROUGH THIS EVENING. WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR...SHOWERS AND STORMS INITIATED ALONG THEAFOREMENTIONED OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES THAT HAVE FLANKED OUR AREA TO THENORTH AND SOUTH...OVER VA AND SC...BUT THIS CONVECTION HAS THUS FARSTRUGGLED TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY. GIVEN A GENERALLY MARGINALLYUNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY MLCAPE OF 500-1500 J/KGDOWNSTREAM OF THIS DEVELOPING CONVECTION -OVER CENTRAL NC- IT SEEMSREASONABLE THAT BOTH CONVECTIVE COVERAGE AND INTENSITY SHOULDINCREASE AS OUTFLOW AND SCATTERED CONVECTION MOVESEAST...PARTICULARLY ALONG THE TRACK OF THE MCV APPROACHING THE NCSOUTHERN PIEDMONT FROM SC...AND OVER THE NORTHERN PIEDMONT-COASTALPLAIN/ALONG THE TAIL END OF THE MCV TRACKING THROUGH VA.BOTH REGIONAL VWP AND MORNING RAOB DATA INDICATE ABOUT 35-50 KTS OFSW FLOW IN THE LOW-MID LEVELS (BETWEEN 850-500 MB) - SUPPORTIVE OFORGANIZED STORM MODES. GENERALLY UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW/SHEAR ORIENTEDPARALLEL TO THE OUTFLOW...PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH...AND FRONT -ALL LINEARFORCING MECHANISMS- WILL SUPPORT A PRIMARILY MULTI-CELL LINEARCONVECTIVE MODE WITH A DOMINANT THREAT OF DAMAGINGWINDS...PARTICULARLY IN ANY BOWING SEGMENTS. HOWEVER...ANY MOREDISCRETE STORMS THAT DEVELOP INITIALLY COULD EXHIBIT SUPERCELLCHARACTERISTICS...SIMILAR TO THE CELL THAT SPLIT NORTH OF CAE ACOUPLE OF HOURS AGO...BUT WHICH HAS SINCE DIMINISHED. LOCALLY HEAVYRAIN WILL ALSO AGAIN BE POSSIBLE...WITH AN ASSOCIATED THREAT OFFLOODING MAINLY WHERE RAIN PREVIOUSLY OCCURRED DURING THE PASTCOUPLE OF DAYS...SINCE FORECAST STORM MOTIONS (240 40 KTS) SUGGESTLIMITED TRAINING POTENTIAL TODAY.THE TRAILING SHEAR AXIS ALOFT AND PROBABLE MCV NOW OVER AL WILL MOVEEAST AND CAUSE A SECONDARY AREA OF SHOWERS TO DEVELOP OR RE-DEVELOPOVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT...WITH AN ASSOCIATED 5-10 K FT OVC LAYER AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS LINGERING OVERTHE COASTAL PLAIN UNTIL CLOSE TO DAYBREAK. SOME BRIEF AREAS OF FOGCOULD DEVELOP IN THE WAKE OF ANY SHOWERS AND STORMS...DURING A SHORTTIME WINDOW BETWEEN WHEN THE RAIN ENDS AND THE COLD FRONT ANDASSOCIATED DRIER AIR ARRIVES THIS EVENING. CAA-DRIVEN LOWS MOSTLY INTHE 50S. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted April 10, 2015 Share Posted April 10, 2015 you beat me to it Solak lol, so looks like things will be nocturnal again tonight......I got a bunch of cold beer and my storm watching chair on the front porch just need the show to start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted April 10, 2015 Share Posted April 10, 2015 Small cell near Siler City went form nothing to pretty heavy returns fast so maybe this will be fun to track after all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted April 10, 2015 Share Posted April 10, 2015 Looks like the Eastern half of NC has the best chance the rest of the night... 720 PM EDT FRI APR 10 2015THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA..DAY ONE...TONIGHT.WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THISEVENING. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME STRONG WITH WIND GUSTSTO 50 MPH. THE MAIN THREAT AREA APPEARS TO BE FROM ROXBORO TOROANOKE RAPIDS TO ROCKY MOUNT... AND EXTENDING FROM FAYETTEVILLE TOWILSON THROUGH MIDNIGHT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted April 11, 2015 Share Posted April 11, 2015 Yeah if something doesn't kick off soon I think we gotta start thinking its gonna bust at least west of RDU.....and if it bust there then east of RDU might be in trouble as well.....kind figures the last few days we have had storms off around midnight both nights and now they actually talk the storms up and we get nada.... This loop might suggest a line forming from just NW of RDU up to VA where the storms are already firing, but the best shear is up there as well..... http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/wfo/rah/flash-vis.html I was coming here to say the same thing. We had pretty strong storms around here last night and the night before, and the talk all day was for storms today that could be even stronger. And of course there is nothing yet, and would be funny if we end up with nothing. I think this same scenario happened here a lot last year with forecasting storms, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted April 11, 2015 Share Posted April 11, 2015 yeah I sat outside and enjoyed the breeze but its pretty stable feeling to me and the storms are having trouble sustaining.....needed it to hit midday, so unless that piddly little line of showers to my west goes bananas in the nest few minutes this will end up busting pretty bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted April 11, 2015 Share Posted April 11, 2015 I am pretty sure this happened all the time last year, too, because I recall saying something like forecasting the storms around here used to be the easy part, but it was getting as unpredictable as forecasting the snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted April 11, 2015 Share Posted April 11, 2015 I am pretty sure this happened all the time last year, too, because I recall saying something like forecasting the storms around here used to be the easy part, but it was getting as unpredictable as forecasting the snow here. Yes absolutely. I recall you saying that many times last year! Hopefully, forecasts will be better this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted April 11, 2015 Share Posted April 11, 2015 Yes absolutely. I recall you saying that many times last year! Hopefully, forecasts will be better this year. I am glad someone else remembers and I am not losing my mind. Yesterday was a big bust. No storms at all here. But then we had strong storms both days before. Guess we just never know for sure when it comes to storms now, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted April 11, 2015 Share Posted April 11, 2015 I am glad someone else remembers and I am not losing my mind. Yesterday was a big bust. No storms at all here. But then we had strong storms both days before. Guess we just never know for sure when it comes to storms now, too.Hate to explode burst your bubble, but that was sarcasm. How could you not tell that was sarcasm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted April 11, 2015 Share Posted April 11, 2015 Hate to explode burst your bubble, but that was sarcasm. How could you not tell that was sarcasm? I really do remember him talking about it a lot last year. Sincerely. A LOT. But he wasn't wrong. And I really do hope forecasts are better this year...for a number of reasons. By the way, when are you coming up here to lose in some basketball? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted April 11, 2015 Share Posted April 11, 2015 I really do remember him talking about it a lot last year. Sincerely. A LOT. But he wasn't wrong. And I really do hope forecasts are better this year...for a number of reasons. By the way, when are you coming up here to lose in some basketball?Lol the tone of that post sounded so sarcastic. Lol y'all were scared last time we were coming. You had some excuse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted April 11, 2015 Share Posted April 11, 2015 Fishel just posted on facebook that they got it wrong. He said they were unimpressed with chances for strong storms Wednesday and Thursday, and were focusing more on Friday, and in reality exact opposite happened. Hope we are not going to have a repeat of last year. Not sure what is making it harder to forecast the storms here, but if it keeps happening folks are not going be caught off guard when the forecast doesn't call for severe weather and we have it, and are going to be unprepared and saying the forecasters are crying wolf when they do forecast severe weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted April 14, 2015 Share Posted April 14, 2015 Marginal risk for severe storms here today. We'll see what happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted April 16, 2015 Share Posted April 16, 2015 4 yrs ago today http://www4.ncsu.edu/~nwsfo/storage/cases/20110416/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted April 17, 2015 Share Posted April 17, 2015 RAH saying Monday will be our next chance for strong storms here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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