AlaskaETC Posted March 9, 2015 Share Posted March 9, 2015 Do we get our -NAO winter? Will the El Nino be favorable? Will Boston get another 100"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 9, 2015 Share Posted March 9, 2015 Can't say for sure. I think a better prediction might be that this thread gets locked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted March 9, 2015 Author Share Posted March 9, 2015 Can't say for sure. I think a better prediction might be that this thread gets locked. Someone started a spring/summer thread in December, and a winter thread was started last year around the same time... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 9, 2015 Share Posted March 9, 2015 Haha, you're right. It was started in January by.........well.............we all know that one. I found this gem Pretty sure a niño following a multi year Nina is the absolute worst possible scenario for DC....final call for DCDec +6Jan +5Feb +1Snow T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 9, 2015 Share Posted March 9, 2015 Someone started a spring/summer thread in December, and a winter thread was started last year around the same time... The warmistas are nicer too.. we won't complain like weirdos about this thread for the first few pages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted March 9, 2015 Author Share Posted March 9, 2015 The warmistas are nicer too.. we won't complain like weirdos about this thread for the first few pages. I'll just pretend it is still 32/15 in this thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted March 9, 2015 Share Posted March 9, 2015 I bet we get a -NAO, but either we have a hostile pacific or just get Unlucky. When have we had 3 consecutive + Climo winters? Just an out of the Blue guess but I think the Midwest will be the snow capital next year and the Pacific will do slightly better. 2004-2005? ETA: Though with a El Niño that would support greater chances for a +PNA, but we won't find out if it's 2009-2010/2002-2003 like, 1997-1998/2005-2006 like, or middle of the road 2004-2005 like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 9, 2015 Share Posted March 9, 2015 I think SNE will be fringed and we'll have a moderate El Nino and -NAO with a string of Miller As Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 9, 2015 Share Posted March 9, 2015 Haha, you're right. It was started in January by.........well.............we all know that one. I found this gem That guy knows his chit...pretty much nailed this winter with very little fanfare Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 9, 2015 Share Posted March 9, 2015 I predict there will be long range calls that verify on the #'s but the reasons will be completely different than the ones on the outlooks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 9, 2015 Share Posted March 9, 2015 Super Nino looks even more likely based on charts and stuff than it did last year at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted March 9, 2015 Author Share Posted March 9, 2015 Super Nino looks even more likely based on charts and stuff than it did last year at this time. With the way the Nino forecast this year was all cray, I'm not really sold on any Nino calls at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 9, 2015 Share Posted March 9, 2015 With the way the Nino forecast this year was all cray, I'm not really sold on any Nino calls at the moment. yeah.. many of us said the same last yr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 9, 2015 Share Posted March 9, 2015 Hasn't the nino long range pretty much been wrong for two years running? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted March 9, 2015 Share Posted March 9, 2015 Have to wait and see what the SAI looks like at the end of October before we can speculate on the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 9, 2015 Share Posted March 9, 2015 There will never be another -NAO winter in our lifetimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 9, 2015 Share Posted March 9, 2015 There will never be another -NAO winter in our lifetimes. If we get winters like the last two, I don't care. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 9, 2015 Share Posted March 9, 2015 If we get winters like the last two, I don't care. Yeah, you guys have done very well with the -EPO/+PNA regime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 9, 2015 Share Posted March 9, 2015 Have to wait and see what the SAI looks like at the end of October before we can speculate on the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted March 10, 2015 Share Posted March 10, 2015 Here goes: Mild to moderate El nino until a slight slump towards neutral during August, September and October. Remaining mild El nino into winter. The slight droop will not give neutral status (ENSO), it will remain at least mild El nino. Winter: in the Mid-Atlantic expect equal chances of mean average snow and temperatures. The initial half of the winter will be slightly warmer than mean and the second half will be close to mean. Regarding precipitation, expect mean monthly precipitation until the back half of the winter when precipitation will fall slightly below mean. Snow: Generally 85% to 90% of climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 10, 2015 Share Posted March 10, 2015 Any forecast on winter 2015-2016 is lol...and I don't care who makes it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 10, 2015 Share Posted March 10, 2015 I'd go with below average snow if I could be assured no one would bump it next March to mock me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted March 10, 2015 Share Posted March 10, 2015 I predict if it doesn't snow by Jan 5 2016 this board will get ugly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 10, 2015 Share Posted March 10, 2015 I'd put $100 on a -140 money line that snowfall will be below average. Nothing to do with science. All about the odds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJ3 Posted March 10, 2015 Share Posted March 10, 2015 I am sure to the surprise of no one, about 3 weeks ago JB said he was probably going to cancel his earlier call for a warm 2015-2016 winter. That's earlier than Ji cancels cold outlooks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted March 10, 2015 Share Posted March 10, 2015 I bet we get a -NAO, but either we have a hostile pacific or just get Unlucky. When have we had 3 consecutive + Climo winters? Just an out of the Blue guess but I think the Midwest will be the snow capital next year and the Pacific will do slightly better. 2004-2005? ETA: Though with a El Niño that would support greater chances for a +PNA, but we won't find out if it's 2009-2010/2002-2003 like, 1997-1998/2005-2006 like, or middle of the road 2004-2005 like. We used to have three consecutive above normal snow seasons about once a decade. Mid-1980's, late 70's, mid 60's, late 50's, mid 40's, early '30's, mid 20's. It almost happened in the mid-90s but for the anomalous ice year and a couple of under performers the next year. It's just been the past 20 years that the feast or famine pattern has shown up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 10, 2015 Share Posted March 10, 2015 It's just my hunch but I think the feast and famine pattern may finally be breaking. DC hasn't had back to back above normal winters since the late 80s, as far as I know, until the past two. If next winter is a moderate Nino then we have better than normal chances of another good one, statistically speaking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted March 10, 2015 Share Posted March 10, 2015 I predict that January 2016 will be colder than this upcoming July 2015. And that Ji will cancel winter at least 3 times between Thanksgiving and Christmas. After which, we'll get a HECS from North Carolina to Maine. Playing it safe and all, you know! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 10, 2015 Share Posted March 10, 2015 I have a feeling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 10, 2015 Share Posted March 10, 2015 I have a feeling I usually just head to the bathroom when that happens to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.