Jump to content

  • Member Statistics

    17,608
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Vesuvius
    Newest Member
    Vesuvius
    Joined

Texas/New Mexico/Louisiana/Mexico Obs And Discussion Thread Part 7

wxmx

By wxmx,
in Central/Western States

Recommended Posts

Roy

Roy

Posted
Posted

Perhaps they could remove the Stage 3 Watering Restrictions?  Not that anybody's yard needs watering now.

We just moved in to a new construction house in early April with newly planted sod. Even I am not watering at this point. There really is no reason to, but I have seen some!

Link to comment
Share on other sites
  • Replies 3.5k
  • Created
  • Last Reply
Quixotic1

Quixotic1

Posted
Posted

Isn't Colin County ntmwd??? They went from stage 3 to twice a week

 

I just checked the site and we're off stage 3 but the city (Frisco) has all kinds of confusing controlling stuff on their water efficiency plan.  Basically it's once a week using automatic sprinklers unless the weather data says otherwise.  which means if it's dry, they won't let you.  If it's wet, they won't let you.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites
jm1220

jm1220

Posted
Posted

The crazy thing, last night the heaviest rain stayed just S of the airport and tonight it is just to the W. So close to just blowing up the record!

 

CGB0eK9UMAA547e.jpg

Typical in these patterns. Austin-Camp Mabry is almost at 17" this month, the airport is about at where DFW is. Some pockets on the north side near the Williamson County border/Round Rock may be close to 20". San Antonio is at just over 7". Today's soaker in Austin did the same thing-the southwest side of the city maybe 3-4 miles from Camp Mabry had 2" of rain if not more, Camp Mabry reported nothing. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
bubba hotep

bubba hotep

Posted
Posted

I wonder if we will add a few more to the total over the next few days?

 

CGG5EvTU0AAJagz.png

 

Pretty far to the W of DFW but I wouldn't be surprised to see something spin up closer in given the outflow boundary and how unstable things are. FWD is sending up a special 18z sounding, so that will be interesting to see.

 

CGG3w8lW8AEy2_q.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites
jojo762

jojo762

Posted
Posted

18Z FWD sounding was pretty meh. 0-6KM SHR of 27kts.. Strongest winds throughout the entire sounding are 40kts at 250mb. MLCAPE of ~1100J/KG, SBCAPE of ~3700J/KG.. Most impressive thing was the moisture, PWAT of 1.3in, SFC DP of 71.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
bubba hotep

bubba hotep

Posted
Posted

Looks like the heaviest rain later on could be north of I-20, which would be a bit of a change over the last couple of days. It also looks a lot more widespread than the past couple days.

 

mcd0146.gif

MESOSCALE PRECIPITATION DISCUSSION 0146
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
344 PM EDT THU MAY 28 2015

AREAS AFFECTED......NORTH TX/SOUTHERN OK...

CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE

VALID 281945Z - 282345Z

SUMMARY...STRONG CONVECTION TRAINING ALONG AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
COULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING.

DISCUSSION...CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DEVELOP ALONG AN OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY STRETCHING ACROSS NORTH TX...ALONG AN AXIS OF STRONG
INSTABILITY (WITH MLCAPE VALUES RANGING BETWEEN 3000 AND 4000
J/KG). KLBB RADAR SHOWS ONE HOUR RAINFALL ESTIMATES OVER 2
INCHES...BUT GIVEN THE HIGH CAPE VALUES... THESE AMOUNTS ARE
LIKELY HAIL CONTAMINATED.

THE CONVECTION IS TRACKING ACROSS AN AREA WITH ONE AND THREE HOUR
FLASH FLOOD VALUES LESS THAN AN INCH...AND TRAINING RAISES THE
THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING. AREAL COVERAGE SHOULD EXPAND AS UPPER
DIFFLUENCE INCREASES AHEAD OF A SHORT WAVE EXITING THROUGH THE
SOUTHERN ROCKIES.

THE LATEST HRRR SHOWS THE POTENTIAL FOR AS MUCH AS 2 INCHES OF
RAINFALL ALONG THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. THERE IS SOME CONCERN...
BASED ON RADAR TRENDS...THAT THE ACTIVITY MAY EXTEND EASTWARD INTO
SOUTHERN OK ON NEW OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES JUST NORTH OF THE RED RIVER.
THIS AREA HAS BEEN EXPANDED TO INCLUDE THE POTENTIAL INTO SOUTHERN
OK.

HAYES

Link to comment
Share on other sites
jm1220

jm1220

Posted
Posted

The instability seems plenty sufficient to sustain this for a while further. CAPE throughout south/central TX is around or over 3000, helicity suggests possible additional tornadoes on the southern end of the line, LI is -8 to -10, and temps shot up this afternoon where clouds cleared. We reached the upper 80s here in Austin once the earlier convection cleared. The severe T-storm watch should be extended east soon. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
aggiegeog

aggiegeog

Posted
Posted

There is a 30+ acre lake on my family's property that apparently has suffered major damage from the heavy rains. Thankfully if there was a failure it would just release into the Sabine floodplain, but it would take out the road into that part of the property. It seems that all of Texas besides maybe the Trans-Pecos region has seen some kind of major effects from the storms and/or floods.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Quixotic1

Quixotic1

Posted
Posted

Shattered the 82 May record by 3", wow.

 

Unreal.  ETA:  '82 was a Super Nino.  A harbinger of things to come?

 

So had time to tally up the numbers:

 

April 1922 - 17.64"

April 1942 - 16.97"

May 2015 - 16.07" (Through 6 AM CDT 5/29/2015)

 

So, 1.57" to go for the all time record.  0.90" for second place.  I have my doubts about the last three days as the impending cold front is supposed to be a quick mover with support at the 850 level.  Still, it's been wise to bet on the heavy side this month.  We will see.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites
bubba hotep

bubba hotep

Posted
Posted

Unreal. ETA: '82 was a Super Nino. A harbinger of things to come?

So had time to tally up the numbers:

April 1922 - 17.64"

April 1942 - 16.97"

May 2015 - 16.07" (Through 6 AM CDT 5/29/2015)

So, 1.57" to go for the all time record. 0.90" for second place. I have my doubts about the last three days as the impending cold front is supposed to be a quick mover with support at the 850 level. Still, it's been wise to bet on the heavy side this month. We will see.

The 12z NAM 4k would get it done! Looks like 9" around the airport :lol:

 

nam4kmSGP_prec_precacc_060.gif

Link to comment
Share on other sites
TXHawk88

TXHawk88

Posted
Posted

Just heard that loop 12 where it goes under 30 will be off limits for A WEEK! That's going to cause a traffic nightmare on the side roads etc

I hope that is not the case I live in Grand Prarie and have to take that to work everyday. I sat in that disaster for close to 3 hours this morning.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
Go to topic listing

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...