Mencken_Fan Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Hurricane Strength ftw. That sounds ridiculous. Hurricane Wind Force warnings have been flying over the North Atlantic for two days now from the Low currently out there. There's nothing ridiculous about having such winds out there in winter; surely you know that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 wow huge hit nc,central eastern va, eastern md Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 So the GFS and the Euro are both BS, so what is right then?. wow this turn by the 0z euro and the ggem is impressive maybe that Low is going to get out of the way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Looks a lot like Jan. 1996 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 raleighwx has to be loving this run Most of SE, excluding FL and southern GA likes this run, as the 12z one, and last nights 0z cause the Euro has been the hammer on down south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Looks a lot like Jan. 1996 The progression from the VA capes to Long Island does have some resemblance to that storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 So the GFS and the Euro are both BS, so what is right then?. I understand why it doesn't make sense to him, intuitively for that monster to develop so close to the other; he has a vast knowledge base of past analogs from which to draw upon and it probably isn't a very common occurence, but we are reaching the point at which it must be seriously considered. DT, can you recall an analog in which 2 bombs have prospered in that close of proximity to one another....just curious; thx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Sub 970mb low nearing Nantucket at 156h Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 0z euro 0.90" for ric Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Anybody in the know care to throw out some QPF numbers for those of us with no early access Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 I understand why it doesn't make sense to him, intuitively for that monster to develop so close to the other; he has a vast knowledge base of past analogs from which to draw upon and it probably isn't a very common occurence, but we are reaching the point at which it must be seriously considered. DT, can you recall an analog in which 2 bombs have prospered in that close of proximity to one another....just curious; thx. Not right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Cold air NOT a problem for NC, most of SC, N GA http://i.imgur.com/3a8y0.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NittanyWx Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 This is bordering on historic for a large portion of the east coast. That's a bomb off of New Jersey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Sub 970mb low nearing Nantucket at 156h I think the last time we a saw a slp that deep modeled near ACK, it was one of last summer's cane hallucination runs from CT Blizz' basement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 I understand why it doesn't make sense to him, intuitively for that monster to develop so close to the other; he has a vast knowledge base of past analogs from which to draw upon and it probably isn't a very common occurence, but we are reaching the point at which it must be seriously considered. DT, can you recall an analog in which 2 bombs have prospered in that close of proximity to one another....just curious; thx. I understood that, but i was just asking him what makes sense to him since on most of the solutions tonight he called BS. OT i hope you get nailed with this storm you deserve it after not seeing a big storm for a long time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 I understand why it doesn't make sense to him, intuitively for that monster to develop so close to the other; he has a vast knowledge base of past analogs from which to draw upon and probably isn't very common, but we are reaching the point at which it must be seriously considered.DT, can you recall an anlog in which 2 bombs have prospered in that close of proximity to one another....just curious; thx. I was going to ask is that nearly impossible or just unlikely? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 totals for SE and Mid atl all of SC 0.50-1" all of nc 0.50 -1", raleigh east to the outer banks 1"+ DC little over.50" ric near 1" orf 1"+ Cho 0.25 -.50" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Anybody in the know care to throw out some QPF numbers for those of us with no early access Looks like 6-10" for DCA but 10-20" event E VA, DE, E MD, SE NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Not right now Thanks. I understood that, but i was just asking him what makes sense to him since on most of the solutions tonight he called BS. OT i hope you get nailed with this storm you deserve it after not seeing a big storm for a long time. Thanks, bro.....appreciated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 wow this turn by the 0z euro and the ggem is impressive maybe that Low is going to get out of the way Certainly appears it does get out of the way on Allan's tropical view at 144. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NittanyWx Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 I'm not sure I've ever seen anything like this (two major lows in that close of proximity) in a non-tropical scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Anybody in the know care to throw out some QPF numbers for those of us with no early access RICH 0.90" all snow DCA 0.50" tops SHARP drop off to the west PHL...0.65 or 0.70" much less to the west MUCH heavier over s NJ LGA 0.75... Much heavuer over LI much less over interior se NY and nw NJ BDL 0.90" BOS 1.00" TAKEN VERBATIM EASTERN MD IS BIG WINNER FROM 0Z ggem and 0z euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 I think it's safe to say that the ECMWF is flirting with cat 5 NESIS status given the large area impacted. Although, the snowfall distribution may keep it below that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 totals for SE and Mid atl all of SC 0.50-1" all of nc 0.50 -1", raleigh east to the outer banks 1"+ DC little over.50" ric near 1" orf 1"+ Cho 0.25 -.50" I agree with these estimates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
negative-nao Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 RICH 0.90" all snow DCA 0.50" tops SHARP drop off to the west PHL...0.65 or 0.70" much less to the west MUCH heavier over s NJ LGA 0.75... Much heavuer over LI much less over interior se NY and nw NJ BDL 0.90" BOS 1.00" would snow ratios be 15:1 ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Looks like 6-10" for DCA but 10-20" event E VA, DE, E MD, SE NJ. Thanks..that works. Just need to see the American models hop on board with the increased qpf down here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VAsnowlvr82 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 If this scenario were to play out as modeled, do you see the qpf inching up as we get closer? RICH 0.90" all snow DCA 0.50" tops SHARP drop off to the west PHL...0.65 or 0.70" much less to the west MUCH heavier over s NJ LGA 0.75... Much heavuer over LI much less over interior se NY and nw NJ BDL 0.90" BOS 1.00" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 would snow ratios be 15:1 ? Probably 12-18:1, so yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 eddie.. i DID post maps at post # 82 did u not see that? golly Yeah. You called BS. As you sometimes do. Which was the basis for my initial question, i.e., define BS. And what's the source of the BS error... bad model, bad input etc?... Everything's cleared up so no reason to draw out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 the heaviest qpf this run is from wilm, nc, to raleigh, NE to ric ,to del, southern NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.