hooralph Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 I hear ya. I just went for my first outside jog in a LOOONG time. The sun is bright and warm, and in many ways I'm yearning for spring. That being said, I still love a good snow storm. At this time of the year I have an attitude of "Let's get something big or please stay the hell away". I've been training all winter. Never done anything like this before. I figured - we'll get a nice 35-40 degree morning and it will feel balmy. At this point, I can handle 20-25 degrees. Heavy rain/wet snow is worst case scenario. 20K people run. They get the world-class runners to run it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 I've been running outside all winter, but a couple of those mornings with wind chills around -20 were tough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rsteff Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 I've been running outside all winter, but a couple of those mornings with wind chills around -20 were tough. Congrats, I have run a few marathons, this winter must be tough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 Fwiw Steve d thinks this storm will only bring snows to Vermont and up north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowfreak09 Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 Fwiw Steve d thinks this storm will only bring snows to Vermont and up north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowfreak09 Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 Fwiw Steve d thinks this storm will only bring snows to Vermont and up northFwiw Steve has a horrible record esp this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 Fwiw Steve d thinks this storm will only bring snows to Vermont and up north Wouldn't be surprised if that occured, this is there wheelhouse period up in Vermont NORTH for big storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheManWithNoFace Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 Fwiw Steve d thinks this storm will only bring snows to Vermont and up north Wow, I don't think he has ever downplayed NJ area snows this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 Wow, I don't think he has ever downplayed NJ area snows this winter.He has downplayed nearly every event which is why he has had a rough winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxWeatherwatcher Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 look n.y.c wants to snow most in march,the pattern isnt really diff from this week's last 2 snow events.as i said before,it is now n.y.c's time to catch up to boston as in seasonal records.wheres my friend unioncityweather to back me up on these comments i stated 4 days ago?? lol..it's gonna be a wild ride for the last 2 weeks of march! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 look n.y.c wants to snow most in march,the pattern isnt really diff from this week's last 2 snow events.as i said before,it is now n.y.c's time to catch up to boston as in seasonal records.wheres my friend unioncityweather to back me up on these comments i stated 4 days ago?? lol..it's gonna be a wild ride for the last 2 weeks of march! With all the teleconnections seemingly lining up along with the increasing temperature gradient since we're in March, it would not surprise me if we see a KU event before the end of the month. Lots of potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2015030718&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=16818z GFS a week out from now lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2015030718&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=16818z GFS a week out from now lol Looks like a little less than 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2015030718&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=16818z GFS a week out from now lol The storm right after that has the most potential to me. We should have better blocking in place by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 The pattern probably gets even better after that storm so that could just be the beginning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 8, 2015 Share Posted March 8, 2015 Beautiful pattern depicted coming up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted March 8, 2015 Share Posted March 8, 2015 Interesting pattern setting up! Could get interesting, not sure if/when I should break the possibilities to my wife as she may pack up and leave after another snowfall (she grew up in a warm weather climate)! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted March 8, 2015 Share Posted March 8, 2015 Beautiful pattern depicted coming up I lurk on the NYCMetro board, and they're talking about a model dispute: GFS says cold and Euro says warm. Why are we buying the GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 8, 2015 Share Posted March 8, 2015 I lurk on the NYCMetro board, and they're talking about a model dispute: GFS says cold and Euro says warm. Why are we buying the GFS? Because it's almost spring and we have nothing to lose? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted March 8, 2015 Share Posted March 8, 2015 Because it's almost spring and we have nothing to lose? Okie dokie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted March 8, 2015 Share Posted March 8, 2015 I lurk on the NYCMetro board, and they're talking about a model dispute: GFS says cold and Euro says warm. Why are we buying the GFS? I don't think and i hope that nobody is buying anything verbatim. There are too many characters at play at this time-frame to know this far ahead exactly what's going to transpire, but the pattern we have been in and are going into does lend I would slightly more support to the GFS this run, but don't be surprised if these models have swapped places by this time tomorrow. Both are fickle in this situation and neither can absolutely nail down the details of what's going to happen at this time range. WX/PT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 8, 2015 Share Posted March 8, 2015 I lurk on the NYCMetro board, and they're talking about a model dispute: GFS says cold and Euro says warm. Why are we buying the GFS? Why are they buying the euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted March 8, 2015 Share Posted March 8, 2015 Why are they buying the euro? Everyone with their logic. Sheesh! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 8, 2015 Share Posted March 8, 2015 Everyone with their logic. Sheesh! Euro doesnt make sense in the pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted March 8, 2015 Share Posted March 8, 2015 Euro doesnt make sense in the pattern Not entirely. I would say the GFS seems a better fit. On the other hand, the pattern is changing to some extent with the northern stream relaxing and the STJ gradually taking over. This is a normal climatological change and we really do not know all of its implications at this time. I could be that the STJ becomes so dominant that it overwhelms the -EPO at least a part of the time. That would not be totally illogical. But it is really too early to make absolute conclusions though we can say that the GFS is a better fit for the pattern that we have been in. WX/PT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted March 8, 2015 Share Posted March 8, 2015 CPC going warm over 90% of the lower 48 and cold over the Northeast in their 6 - 10 day outlook...the area of below normal temps expands on the 8 - 14 day outlook (continues to include Northeast & New England)...that would be through the first day of astronomical spring...precip above normal...so you would probably expect some snow activity to continue through the last few days of astronomical winter around here. Note: If there appears to be some inconsistency between the above comment and my other comment in the media thread how I do not seek out the forecasts of media outlets & personalities...consulting the CPC map is a little different as they have a good deal more insight into the mid range than I would have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted March 8, 2015 Share Posted March 8, 2015 Not entirely. I would say the GFS seems a better fit. On the other hand, the pattern is changing to some extent with the northern stream relaxing and the STJ gradually taking over. This is a normal climatological change and we really do not know all of its implications at this time. I could be that the STJ becomes so dominant that it overwhelms the -EPO at least a part of the time. That would not be totally illogical. But it is really too early to make absolute conclusions though we can say that the GFS is a better fit for the pattern that we have been in. WX/PT It's possible with the STJ, however there's still going to be a pretty good temperature gradient around h5 and h3, especially with the EPO and AO both potentially dipping into pretty solid negative territory. That temperature gradient should be enough to keep the STJ confined towards the South and SE. The EPO will not be overwhelmed IMO, as the PDO is going to remain exceedingly positive due to SSTs in the northern Pacific. What is a possibility is the STJ and Polar Jet streams merging with each other at times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 8, 2015 Share Posted March 8, 2015 The overnight models didnt look too well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 8, 2015 Share Posted March 8, 2015 Highs mainly in the 50s now for next 7-10 days. It's definitely over now no more cold and snow even lows are forecast to be just above freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted March 8, 2015 Share Posted March 8, 2015 Highs mainly in the 50s now for next 7-10 days. It's definitely over now no more cold and snow even lows are forecast to be just above freezing. Disagree, the better pattern gets here after that. Is it harder to get snow by then, sure. Is it impossible, no. This weeks deal is not during the good pattern being advertised on ens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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