Brian5671 Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 Easter storm is warm. This epic pattern is going to fail. umm...it's April 5th by Easter. Snow is a longshot by that date to say the least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 We had one of our coldest months on record (which is insane for the 21st Century) and a top 10 snowy March (and the park got another 50"+ winter). What on Earth are you complaining about? It time for heat and Tstorms . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 It time for heat and Tstorms . And tons of disappointment as storms fall apart once they cross into NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 And tons of disappointment as storms fall apart once they cross into NJ. Early on I think so . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 umm...it's April 5th by Easter. Snow is a longshot by that date to say the least. But certainly it’s not unprecedented either. The April 6, 1982 Blizzard, saw 9.6 inches in Central park and 10-16 inches area wide in the HV and parts of LI and NNJ. Opening Day at Yankee Stadium was pushed back three days. The morning of April 7 saw a low of 19 in NYC. April 4, 2003 there was 4.0 inches in Central Park and 4-6 throughout the city. Opening Day at Yankee stadium was canceled. They played the day after with snow on the Bronx rooftops and a game time temperature of 34 degrees. Those are off the top of my head, I’m sure Uncle W could add several others. In the HV there are numerous additional examples. It’s not common, but not as rare as you think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 Early on I think so . June thru September we'll get our t storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 But certainly it’s not unprecedented either. The April 6, 1982 Blizzard, saw 9.6 inches in Central park and 10-16 inches area wide in the HV and parts of LI and NNJ. Opening Day at Yankee Stadium was pushed back three days. The morning of April 7 saw a low of 19 in NYC. April 4, 2003 there was 4.0 inches in Central Park and 4-6 throughout the city. Opening Day at Yankee stadium was canceled. They played the day after with snow on the Bronx rooftops and a game time temperature of 34 degrees. Those are off the top of my head, I’m sure Uncle W could add several others. In the HV there are numerous additional examples. It’s not common, but not as rare as you think. A handful of times over the course of a century and a half means it's nearly unprecedented. Is a T of snow unprecedented in April? Of course not. Is meaningful accumulation (>6")? Pretty damn near close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 Hopefully the Easter storm is warm and wet, that would be a nice change of events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder7842 Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 A handful of times over the course of a century and a half means it's nearly unprecedented. Is a T of snow unprecedented in April? Of course not. Is meaningful accumulation (>6")? Pretty damn near close. 2003 is the only significant April snowstorm we've had in the last 32 years. So yeah, it's extremely rare and no one should be getting hopes up for an April snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 Hopefully the Easter storm is warm and wet, that would be a nice change of events. Agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 Our 1st 70 showing up for Friday on the 12z EURO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 Our 1st 70 showing up for Friday on the 12z EURO Oh. Yes. Holiday. First full day in new apt in Battery Park City. YES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 2003 is the only significant April snowstorm we've had in the last 32 years. So yeah, it's extremely rare and no one should be getting hopes up for an April snowstorm. It's convenient you use 1983 as your cutoff. I could say NYC has had two significant April storms in the last 33 years, it doesn't sound quite so rare then does it? And why do we just limit the storms to Central Park? It's a pretty large area we cover. There have been 11 Aprils with 4 or more inches of snow in NYC, 9 of them before the 1970's and only 2 afterwards. It's semantics I suppose but I say it's not common but I wouldn't call it rare. Outside NYC in the HV it's not rare at all, using my definition of rare. We agree to disagree. Anyhow with that being said I don't think it will snow on Easter weekend in NYC but N and W has a shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 As much as I love the fall/winter months and all of the different varieties of weather it can bring, I am looking forward to the warmer weather. I am actually hoping it will be a warmer mid to late spring and summer with plenty of chances for severe weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 Oh. Yes. Holiday. First full day in new apt in Battery Park City. YES. Nice . After this winter 70 will feel like 90 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 Our 1st 70 showing up for Friday on the 12z EURO One of those early spring days per the 12z Euro where the city and NNJ reaches 70 while Long Beach peaks near 50 with southerly winds gusting 30-40 mph off SST's still in the upper 30's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 One of those early spring days per the 12z Euro where the city and NNJ reaches 70 while Long Beach peaks near 50 with southerly winds gusting 30-40 mph off SST's still in the upper 30's. Yeh 50 KISP 70 EWR . Looks about right . ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 this is a total reversal of the winter pattern. goodbye arctic airmasses Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 Yeh 50 KISP 70 EWR . Looks about right . ha If the low winds up as much as the Euro is showing, could see wind advisory and temps Sat 20-25 degrees cooler in the city than Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 Oh. Yes. Holiday. First full day in new apt in Battery Park City. YES. You will feel some bite to the wind down there on the water. 38 degree ny harbor says sorry spring! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 One of those early spring days per the 12z Euro where the city and NNJ reaches 70 while Long Beach peaks near 50 with southerly winds gusting 30-40 mph off SST's still in the upper 30's. On that flow even the park is going to have trouble getting much past 60. Ewr is a different story. I would want to see a Wsw flow to get the park to 70 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 Hopefully the Easter storm is warm and wet, that would be a nice change of events. Disagree. Don't see the pleasure in 45-50F and rain. I'd rather it be snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 this is a total reversal of the winter pattern. goodbye arctic airmasses Should be warmer relative to normal by mid month, but I'm still concerned about backdoor potential w/ the mid level trough in SE Canada. Euro shows that possibility in the week of Easter w/ sfc highs in Quebec and an active STJ. Could have a couple cold rain events before we break completely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 That much of a difference between EWR and the park? I think not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 Tropical forcing should become favorable for more sustained mid level ridging in the Plains/Eastern US by week 2 as subsidence begins to overtake the dateline region. Still would watch for backdoor potential with the trough to our northeast, but overall I think it will finally feel like spring on a more consistent basis by mid April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 2003 is the only significant April snowstorm we've had in the last 32 years. So yeah, it's extremely rare and no one should be getting hopes up for an April snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 this is a total reversal of the winter pattern. goodbye arctic airmasses Yep, +EPO, -PNA, AK vortex and +NAO, +AO, SE ridge. Say Hello spring and above normal temps barring any backdoors Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 On that flow even the park is going to have trouble getting much past 60. Ewr is a different story. I would want to see a Wsw flow to get the park to 70 The 12Z Euro has enough of a SW flow that 70 makes it to NYC this run. But the temps fall off quickly as you head east across LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 Well, well, what have we here? That's 3 significant storms in April in the last 33 years. Extremely rare? Hardly. I had completely forgotten about this one. Thank you Northshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 But certainly it’s not unprecedented either. The April 6, 1982 Blizzard, saw 9.6 inches in Central park and 10-16 inches area wide in the HV and parts of LI and NNJ. Opening Day at Yankee Stadium was pushed back three days. The morning of April 7 saw a low of 19 in NYC. April 4, 2003 there was 4.0 inches in Central Park and 4-6 throughout the city. Opening Day at Yankee stadium was canceled. They played the day after with snow on the Bronx rooftops and a game time temperature of 34 degrees. Those are off the top of my head, I’m sure Uncle W could add several others. In the HV there are numerous additional examples. It’s not common, but not as rare as you think. In addition to 1996, there's also: April 1st 1997 - a double digit storm into WCNJ http://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/1997/31-Mar-97.html April 9th 2000 - a 3-6" storm for much of NJ http://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/2000/09-Apr-00.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.