bluewave Posted March 27, 2015 Share Posted March 27, 2015 Right. Tom s point about stretching the baroclinic zone far enough south is what we would need but there is resistance there at 18k feet and the ridge looks right to me. It's so late I would only bite if I saw a 2 or 3 SD block and I don't. I guess you had to expect the EPO/PNA blocking to relax at some point for a time after the incredible run this winter. But the Long Island spring lovers may be in for a wait despite the Pacific relaxation with the tendency for troughing near or just off the Northeast coast to linger showing up in the long term forecasts for April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 27, 2015 Share Posted March 27, 2015 I guess you had to expect the EPO/PNA blocking to relax at some point after the incredible run this winter. But the Long Island spring lovers may be in for a wait despite the Pacific relaxation with the tendency for troughing near or just off the Northeast coast to linger showing up in the long term forecasts for April. Could see a day in April when its 80 at EWR and 55 at KISP . But I agree all that cold water will make for a crappy April overall right along the coast . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 27, 2015 Share Posted March 27, 2015 Could see a day in April when its 80 at EWR and 55 at KISP . But I agree all that cold water will make for a crappy April overall right along the coast . Yeah, it really doesn't take much for a warm surge to make it up the I-95 corridor in April and leave sections east of NYC with a cool onshore flow while they break out the shorts away from the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 27, 2015 Share Posted March 27, 2015 Could see a day in April when its 80 at EWR and 55 at KISP . But I agree all that cold water will make for a crappy April overall right along the coast . I'm wondering if we may see some intense thunderstorms form because of this once the warm/humid weather finally hits, with the sea breeze fronts pushing in. It should spark off some pretty intense diurnal convective cells in the afternoon. That cold water is going to get a pretty intense sea/land temperature gradient setup. I would imagine some nasty offshore cells at night too with land breezes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 27, 2015 Share Posted March 27, 2015 I'm wondering if we may see some intense thunderstorms form because of this once the warm/humid weather finally hits, with the sea breeze fronts pushing in. It should spark off some pretty intense diurnal convective cells in the afternoon. That cold water is going to get a pretty intense sea/land temperature gradient setup. I would imagine some nasty offshore cells at night too with land breezes Away from the coast . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 27, 2015 Share Posted March 27, 2015 The 12z Euro brings in some snow on the 31st into April 1st with a clipper. So the April snow fans could get some love if the storm lingers past midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 27, 2015 Share Posted March 27, 2015 The 12z Euro brings in some snow on the 31st into April 1st with a clipper. So the April snow fans could get some love if the storm lingers past midnight. Yeh . The GEM is further S . The Euro is .3 over 12 hours . Looks like wet snow showers . The 850s are fine the BL at 108 it is 39 .1 at 114 it is 35 .2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 27, 2015 Share Posted March 27, 2015 Away from the coast .Oh yea I agree, the coast is a long way from seeing warmth between backdoors and sea breeze fronts with all those cold ssts. Inland by day and and offshore by night may get some good light shows, storms from sea and land breeze convergence respectively Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 27, 2015 Share Posted March 27, 2015 Yeh . The GEM is further S . The Euro is .3 over 12 hours . Looks like wet snow showers . The 850s are fine the BL at 108 it is 39 .1 at 114 it is 35 .2 People won't be happy if Central Park registers a T and the airports 0.1" to 0.3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 27, 2015 Share Posted March 27, 2015 The weather looks really pleasant after the weekend. Looks seasonable with mostly 50s and even some lower 60s. I don't even see any below freezing days so the growing season should finally begin to kick off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 27, 2015 Share Posted March 27, 2015 The weather looks really pleasant after the weekend. Looks seasonable with mostly 50s and even some lower 60s. I don't even see any below freezing days so the growing season should finally begin to kick off. The next two weeks looks active, nothing excessive precip wise but plenty of storm chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 Will be nice to see snow flying tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 Will be nice to see snow flying tomorrowAlways nice to see...have to change my avatar soon though I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 Will be nice to see snow flying tomorrow Mood flakes, love it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 Oh yea I agree, the coast is a long way from seeing warmth between backdoors and sea breeze fronts with all those cold ssts. Inland by day and and offshore by night may get some good light shows, storms from sea and land breeze convergence respectively Late summer night offshore thunderstorms might be one of the most amazing/beautiful weather events to watch imo. I've watched storms that were over 120 miles offshore and its just a great sight to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 http://climate.cod.edu/flanis/satellite/reg/index.php?type=usa-wv-48WV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 Sooo anything on the 0z gfs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 Sooo anything on the 0z gfs? A southern slider on the GFS from 222 to 234 time period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted March 28, 2015 Author Share Posted March 28, 2015 6z gfs certainly looks interesting easter weekend... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 euro has a clipper for midweek Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 Its crazy how snow is literally just to our east. I wonder if it will pivot into the city. Edit: nvm just took a look at the radar loop it literally just shifted east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 Its crazy how snow is literally just to our east. I wonder if it will pivot into the city. Edit: nvm just took a look at the radar loop it literally just shifted east The seasonal trend has been your friend on Long Island. EWR....46.4" LGA.....53.8" ISP......62.2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 The seasonal trend has been your friend on Long Island. EWR....46.4" LGA.....53.8" ISP......62.2" So this will be a LI special it seems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 So this will be a LI special it seems This winter has been interesting in that the trough axis has been just far enough east to favor Long Island and especially New England when the snow machine got turned on back in late January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 This winter has been interesting in that the trough axis has been just far enough east to favor Long Island and especially New England when the snow machine got turned on back in late January. Pretty annoying honestly. Meanwhile my friend in Boston says its coming down in buckets Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 From earlier this morning (Larchmont, New York). The snow shower lasted only about 20 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 According to Joe Cioffi the snow shield is slowly moving west. I don't see that at all to be honest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 6z gfs certainly looks interesting easter weekend...The 6z GFS is in its own universe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 The 6z GFS is in its own universe GFS has been going back and forth with this solution. Should be an interesting week of tracking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 Flizzard in the bronx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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