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Mar 10 - Easter Weekend model/threat discussion thread


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F it let's break the march snow record. I'm freezing my balls off anyway. Might as well go out with the ultimate bang.

Ohh and the winds yesterday were legit. A women died in the village from plywood blowing off St. Vincent's. My BBQ was in the middle of the lawn blown off the deck and a telephone pole is still sideways on the corner of sunrise highway and bellmore road.

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You just can't find enough superlatives to describe what the atmosphere is doing.

 

https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/status/577840781534216192

 

The MJO continues to amplify. A new record amplitude of 4.67 set yesterday. Records go back to 6/1/1974.

 

https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/577917646924038144

 

Unfiltered VP200 anomalies today. No wonder the RMM peaked out at 4.67 sigma.

 

 

https://twitter.com/WSI_Energy/status/577834398688669696

 

Another #MJO record today... The RMM amplitude came in at **4.67** sigma today! Just a massive event over the E. Pac

 

Record Pacific blocking continuing with three consecutive monthly +PDO records....check...

Amazing AO Plunge from close to record high levels to negative..............................check....

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Looks like another late start to the growing season then. I remember when we use to see mass blooming as early as mid March.

Yep I remember cutting grass by the first week in April, this will be like the last two years and be in the last week of April

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this winter became one of few with at least four storms 4" or more...last year did it also...it's becoming the norm lately...

season............snowfalls4"+...................................Snowfall...Total 4+
1892-93.........4.0, 6.0, 5.0, 9.1, 6.0............................49.7........5......
1893-94.........6.5, 7.0, 4.0, 8.0...................................36.1........4......
1895-96.........10.0, 5.0, 12.0, 4.5...............................46.3........4......
1896-97.........5.0, 7.0, 6.0, 10.0, 8.5..........................43.6........5......
1898-99.........10.0, 6.0, 4.0, 6.5, 16.0........................55.9........5......
1902-03.........6.3, 6.5, 4.0, 9.5...................................28.7........4......
1904-05.........4.0, 6.0, 7.0, 11.0..................................48.1........4......
1906-07.........6.0, 5.0, 11.0, 6.0, 4.0, 6.0, 5.0.............53.2........7......
1915-16.........6.0, 6.0, 5.3, 7.6, 4.0, 5.0.....................50.7........6......
1916-17.........12.7, 4.3, 6.7, 6.5.................................50.7........4......
1922-23.........4.0, 9.0, 7.8, 6.3, 7.3............................60.4........5......
1933-34.........11.2, 9.8, 7.6, 9.3, 5.6..........................52.0........5......
1938-39.........8.8, 4.0, 8.8, 4.5...................................37.3........4......
1948-49.........5.3, 16.0, 4.5, 4.6, 9.4..........................46.6........5......
1957-58.........8.0, 4.5, 4.5, 7.9, 4.1, 11.8...................44.7........6......
1963-64.........6.6, 12.5, 6.8, 4.9.................................44.7........4......
1977-78.........13.6, 17.7, 4.2, 5.0...............................50.7........4......
1984-85.........4.8, 4.1, 4.3, 5.7...................................24.1........4.....
1993-94.........4.0, 4.5, 9.0, 12.8, 5.0..........................53.4........5......
1995-96.........7.7, 20.2, 7.5, 10.7, 4.5, 4.5, 4.1..........75.6........7......
2002-03.........6.0, 5.0, 5.3, 19.8, 4.0..........................49.8........5......
2003-04.........14.0, 5.8, 5.7, 10.3...............................42.6........4......
2004-05.........13.8, 5.0, 6.0, 7.7.................................41.0........4......
2009-10.........10.9, 10.0, 5.0, 20.9..............................51.4........4......
2010-11.........20.0, 9.1, 4.2, 19.0................................60.9........4......

2013-14.........5.0, 6.4, 11.5, 8.0, 4.0, 9.5....................57.4........6......

2014-15.........9.8, 4.0, 4.8, 7.5....................................42.5........4

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