PB GFI Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 The SLP does tick S ( the analysis should not stop there ) .The precip shield expands N and W as LP is a little stronger and SLP in E Canada is further N Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 The SLP does tick S ( the analysis should not stop there ) .The precip shield expands N and W as LP is a little stronger and SLP in E Canada is further N I could care less if the low pressure system tracked over Bermuda, as long as the precip shield shifted NW or expanded NW that's the more important feature IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 Everyone needs to calm down, this is getting crazy! No need to be lashing out at each other's posts. If you have nothing nice to say, don't say it at all. Yes we will always disagree about a storm being north south east or west but no need to bash each other lol. This isn't high school! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 Boom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 LOL GFS DAY 7 . Pazzo would run to VA if that map was right . Check out the SV snow maps. Fantasy range , but nice to see modeled . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 Tremendous setup next week on the 12z GFS as previously mentioned. Just need the 500mb low to close off a bit further North. Plenty of time to work out the finer details. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 00z GFS had it as well as well as some of its ensembles, long shot but well see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 LOL GFS DAY 7 . Pazzo would run to VA if that map was right . Check out the SV snow maps. Fantasy range , but nice to see modeled . Haha, that's a classic VA March. 80s one week, snow the next. Probably 80s the following week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeWeatherGeek Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 Look at the GFS clown map through next week Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 Haha, that's a classic VA March. 80s one week, snow the next. Probably 80s the following week. I forget the storm on the MA where a ft of snow fell really late in the season . IMO the GFS is prob overdone and too far N at day 7 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 A HEC in the Virginia tide water in late march now that's insane!!!!!! I give it 1% chance of verifying. If it does drinks on me for the whole sub forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 Haha, that's a classic VA March. 80s one week, snow the next. Probably 80s the following week. You hit the nail on the head. March can be awesome for its insane weather variations if you're into that sort of thing. Even on a smaller scale it feels very April like today but will feel more like February tomorrow with perhaps some snow Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheManWithNoFace Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 A HEC in the Virginia tide water in late march now that's insane!!!!!! I give it 1% chance of verifying. If it does drinks on me for the whole sub forum Just quoting this to have it on record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 Just quoting this to have it on record. No problem. Just to clarify the tidewater is far SE Virginia, Norfolk and Virginia beach as well a the Chesapeake Bay Area. An a HEC would be major accumulations. It's totally possible just insanely improbable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheManWithNoFace Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 No problem. Just to clarify the tidewater is far SE Virginia, Norfolk and Virginia beach as well a the Chesapeake Bay Area. An a HEC would be major accumulations. It's totally possible just insanely improbable I agree with you buy I never pass up a chance for a free drink. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 And Euro says? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 euro has us below frz sunday and monday…teens at night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 euro has us below frz sunday and monday…teens at night But In terms of the Fri snow, still showing accumilations? continuing NW trend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 The Euro is right there for the middle of next week. Amped up southern stream wave and northern stream energy coming in through the upper plains. The main difference is that the GFS is faster with the northern stream which allows it to catch up and phase in time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 But In terms of the Fri snow, still showing accumilations? continuing NW trend? http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/46044-320-21-potential-winter-storm/page-2#entry3506382 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/46044-320-21-potential-winter-storm/page-2#entry3506382 many thx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 With all due respect WP as a person with over 700 posts on here you should be able to clearly understand the maps I posted--CLEARLY but then again I don't try and spoon feed anyone .... Possible Flurries to Very Light Rain....how thats http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/ gfsNE_prec_precacc_138.gif .3 total precip for the Metro thru 8:00pm Sunday night GFS 06Z run No insult to you was intended DM, but despite my 700 posts, most of which consist of trivial drivel ( I admit it, I own it ) I am fairly ignorant of the physics and science. Yes, I can read some maps, the obvious ones where blue is snow and there is a corresponding QPF, but any that have actual graphs or other kinds of squiggly lines are a mystery to me, and as you say, you don't spoonfeed ( with me ya gotta spoonfeed a little, brother ) so often I have to rely on someone's interpretation of your graphics. Remember my interest in weather is as a socio-cultural phenomenon, the hard science metrics are somewhat interesting but not enough for me to spend time trying to learn much about them. I have you folks for that. And I have learned a great deal, but not enough to really hang with the big boys ( and girls ). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 No problem. Just to clarify the tidewater is far SE Virginia, Norfolk and Virginia beach as well a the Chesapeake Bay Area. An a HEC would be major accumulations. It's totally possible just insanely improbable Strangely enough, we are two weeks or so away from the 100 year anniversary of the Great Snowstorm over the Delmarva of April 3, 1915...eerie symmetry. Long Island and eastern New Jersey also saw at least 10 inches. 21 inches @ Clayton NJ....19 inches @ Philadelphia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Strangely enough, we are two weeks or so away from the 100 year anniversary of the Great Snowstorm over the Delmarva of April 3, 1915...eerie symmetry. Long Island and eastern New Jersey also saw at least 10 inches. 21 inches @ Clayton NJ....19 inches @ Philadelphia. While that's incredible in my opinion it happened in a different climate. Also I am talking about an area another 100-150 miles south of southern jersey and the Delmarva. I would love to see it and I would honor the drink thing if this once in hundreds of years event occurs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 While that's incredible in my opinion it happened in a different climate. Also I am talking about an area another 100-150 miles south of southern jersey and the Delmarva. I would love to see it and I would honor the drink thing if this once in hundreds of years event occurs These April snow events not terribly common down at sea level...but over the high spots in Jersey and Upstate...and New England...April snows are pretty frequent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 These April snow events not terribly common down at sea level...but over the high spots in Jersey and Upstate...and New England...April snows are pretty frequent. Norfolk, Connecticut still averages about 8 inches of snow in April for example...and in the 1955-56 winter....which saw 177 inches overall and 73 inches in March...they finished up in grand fashion with about 27 inches in April 1956. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Strangely enough, we are two weeks or so away from the 100 year anniversary of the Great Snowstorm over the Delmarva of April 3, 1915...eerie symmetry. Long Island and eastern New Jersey also saw at least 10 inches. 21 inches @ Clayton NJ....19 inches @ Philadelphia. Don't you think urbanization that has taken place in century since would hv negative impact on such potential accumilation especially near urban centers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Norfolk, Connecticut still averages about 8 inches of snow in April for example...and in the 1955-56 winter....which saw 177 inches overall and 73 inches in March...they finished up in grand fashion with about 27 inches in April 1956. Norfolk is a beautiful town. My latitude here has helped me some over the years but my elevation at 155 near the CT river often has me on the outside looking in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Don't you think urbanization that has taken place in century since would hv negative impact on such potential accumilation especially near urban centers Yes I do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Norfolk is a beautiful town. My latitude here has helped me some over the years but my elevation at 155 near the CT river often has me on the outside looking in. I love the Litchfield Hills and the Berkshires...just a wonderful region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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