snowman19 Posted March 14, 2015 Share Posted March 14, 2015 Looks like Euro also shows the ggem stormI'm not near my computer but met Coastalwx said in the New England forum that the euro is showing more rain for the system even up that way, I know it's going to change a bunch of times between now and the weekend tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 14, 2015 Share Posted March 14, 2015 I'm not near my computer but met Coastalwx said in the New England forum that the euro is showing more rain for the system even up that way, I know it's going to change a bunch of times between now and the weekend thoNot for the 1st system. Hours 156 162 are all snow at KNYC. The Euro supports mostly snow from 78 N . Just look for the storm and worry about the details later this week as its 6 days out. It's a great upper air pattern , we are starting to see the models spin something up next weekend. Coastal was talking about the day 10 system. This is for day 7 which they miss as per the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 14, 2015 Share Posted March 14, 2015 Not for the 1st system. Hours 156 162 are all snow at KNYC. The Euro supports mostly snow from 78 N . Just look for the storm and worry about the details later this week as its 6 days out. It's a great upper air pattern , we are starting to see the models spin something up next weekend. Coastal was talking about the day 10 system. This is for day 7 which they miss as per the Euro. Oh ok I misread him then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted March 14, 2015 Share Posted March 14, 2015 18Z GFS is better than previous runs with regards to the Equinox Storm...still not there yet. Shows a weaker storm that goes OTS off coast of NC. Gives Mid Atlantic some snow. I think this storm is worth tracking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 15, 2015 Share Posted March 15, 2015 No posts about the ggem? Snowstorm for next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted March 15, 2015 Share Posted March 15, 2015 No posts about the ggem? Snowstorm for next weekend. It won't quit on the weekend storm. Three runs in a row. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 15, 2015 Share Posted March 15, 2015 It won't quit on the weekend storm. Three runs in a row. Euro has it and the GFS is starting to show a storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 15, 2015 Share Posted March 15, 2015 GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted March 15, 2015 Share Posted March 15, 2015 GGEM This would be awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 15, 2015 Share Posted March 15, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 15, 2015 Share Posted March 15, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 15, 2015 Share Posted March 15, 2015 This would be awesome. Not even sort of. That looks like NJ and BKLYN win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted March 15, 2015 Share Posted March 15, 2015 Thru the first two weeks (3/14) NYC: -2.8 EWR: -4.0 LGA: -2.9 JFK: -3.6 PHL: -4.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted March 15, 2015 Share Posted March 15, 2015 Thru the first two weeks (3/14) NYC: -2.8 EWR: -4.0 LGA: -2.9 JFK: -3.6 PHL: -4.3 Thanks. That would be impressive, if only we aren't after this February. It should end lower though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted March 15, 2015 Share Posted March 15, 2015 NYC last 20 March's temp dep (snowfall) and subsequent April March / April 1995: +2.4 (trace) / -1.1 (trace) 1996: -3.5 (13.2) / -0.8 (0.7) 1997: -0.6 (1.7) / -1.3 (Trace) 1998: +2.9 (5.0) / +1.0 (0.0) 1999: +0.1 (4.5) / +0.5 (0.0) 2000: +4.7 (0.4) / -2.0 (1.2) 2001: -2.8 (3.8 ) / +0.9 (0.0) 2002: +1.7 (Trace) / +3.1 (Trace) 2003: +0.6 (3.5) / -3.2 (4.1) 2004: +1.1 (4.8 ) / +0.6 (0.0) 2005: -3.1 (6.9) / +2.1 (0.0) 2006: +0.6 (1.3) / +2.7 (0.1) 2007: -0.2 (6.01) / -2.7 (Trace) 2008: +0.2 (Trace) / +2.0 (0.0) 2009: +0.0 (8.3) / +1.5 (Trace) 2010: +5.7 (Trace) / +4.9 (Trace) 2011: -0.1 (1.0) / +1.3 (Trace) 2012: +8.5 (0.0) / +1.8 (0.0) 2013: -2.3 (7.3) / 0.0 (0,0) 2014: -4.8 (0.1) / -0.7 (Trace) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted March 15, 2015 Share Posted March 15, 2015 The find a snowy run then post it thread??? Incorrigible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted March 15, 2015 Share Posted March 15, 2015 The find a snowy run then post it thread??? sg.gif Incorrigible Yup...only way to make the back half of March interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 15, 2015 Share Posted March 15, 2015 Gfs now has two storms to track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 15, 2015 Share Posted March 15, 2015 Gfs now has two storms to track yup. over 12 inches of snow .lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 15, 2015 Share Posted March 15, 2015 Although 3" or greater snowstorms in NYC after 3/15 are not very common, they do occur about once very 3.5 years. Moreover, as the wavelengths are shortening, model performance in the medium-range and beyond is worse than one finds during mid-winter or mid-summer. Hence, one should not automatically write off the prospect that such a storm could occur this winter. If one looks more closely at patterns, the AO-/PNA+ pattern has featured 26% of such storms since 1950 and the AO- pattern has featured 58% of such storms. The biggest AO-/PNA+ storm was the March 18-19, 1956 storm when 11.6" snow fell in NYC. The ECMWF ensembles have had a somewhat similar trough-ridge setup as during that pattern, though the trough was located somewhat farther to the north than in 1956. Such a setup would at least suggest that the 3/20-24 timeframe bears a degree of watching should any storms develop. In short, at least for me, it's too soon to write off the idea of a possible 3" or greater snowfall before winter 2014-15 concludes, much less a lesser accumulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 15, 2015 Share Posted March 15, 2015 GGEM has several inches for the weeked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 15, 2015 Share Posted March 15, 2015 GFS 12/15 has two storms with potential accumulating snow for next weekend. One on Friday night and one on Saturday night. GFS and CMC have been hinting at a possible threat for next weekend for several runs now. Something to pique interest and watch at this time as we head into the last half of March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 15, 2015 Share Posted March 15, 2015 GFS weenie snowfall map for those who drool over bright pink colors and 12"+ fantasy amounts 174 hours out. (This includes both possible storms) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 15, 2015 Share Posted March 15, 2015 The find a snowy run then post it thread??? sg.gif Incorrigible Now seen on every model. Even Helen Keller sees this. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted March 15, 2015 Share Posted March 15, 2015 What's the 12z euro show Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 15, 2015 Share Posted March 15, 2015 Gfs now has two storms to track The 2nd system should be the stronger of the 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 15, 2015 Share Posted March 15, 2015 It has a better look than the 00Z. At 00Z Sat is has a low just east of southern NJ with 540 thicknesses just over NYC and >.25 qpf for the 6 hour period. Edit: 12Z Euro ^ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 15, 2015 Share Posted March 15, 2015 What's the 12z euro show Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted March 15, 2015 Share Posted March 15, 2015 What's the 12z euro show Lol. Typical Forky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 15, 2015 Share Posted March 15, 2015 All I'm going to agree with is an above average chance at a late March snowfall but unless the potential is under 2 days I'm not biting. No need to draw up weenie maps to scare the public. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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