David-LI Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Anything on the 0z GFS? rain and spring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Gfs looks meh, blocking is weak, cold shots look weak, looks very seasonable to mild for the most part. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Day 10 - Euro Ensembles . There is a chance that is your storm , as we all know this weekend was a Rainstorm . It is the pattern that sets after this weekends system that most of us have been keying on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 And just like that, the equinox storm is gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Bring on spring! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Bring on spring! We have a banter thread for trolling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 The hour 240 storm of the euro looks really interesting but its in weenie land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 The hour 240 storm of the euro looks really interesting but its in weenie land. The timing will be everything. If the block peaks a few days too soon it will let the low take a warmer track. It has to thread the needle and come out while the block is still strong enough to force it underneath for a colder track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 What are the actual stats? I used to be a boater and can remember several 80 degree temps in March. But yes, snow is mmore likely, that was my point. For New York City, the number of 80° days in March by year: 1921 2 days 1945 3 days 1977 1 day 1985 1 day 1989 1 day 1990 2 days 1998 5 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 00z GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 For New York City, the number of 80° days in March by year: 1921 2 days 1945 3 days 1977 1 day 1985 1 day 1989 1 day 1990 2 days 1998 5 days Ugh that 1998 warm spell, way too early...last 5 days of month exceeded 80 here, peaking at 87 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 the cold motherload stays in russia this time without cross polar flow to bring it here. the departures probably won't be as impressive as we saw in feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 The hour 240 storm of the euro looks really interesting but its in weenie land.Give it up man! Enjoy spring it's time for it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Give it up man! Enjoy spring it's time for it Give what up? The pattern still looks great for a possible winter storm at the end of this month. My cutoff date for winter is April 15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 We have a banter thread for trolling Why is that trolling? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Quite a significant uptick in rain amounts for this weekend on the 09z SREF mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Why is that trolling? Because all he ever does is troll and it's obvious that he posted that just to get a rise out of the people that are still holding onto Winter weather chances. Call a spade a spade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Because all he ever does is troll and it's obvious that he posted that just to get a rise out of the people that are still holding onto Winter weather chances. Call a spade a spade. If you are holding on to winter chances for late March, especially after the winter we've had, you need some self-examination. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 If you are holding on to winter chances for late March, especially after the winter we've had, you need some self-examination. "If you and I desire different things, you're a lunatic." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 And just like that, the equinox storm is gone. Still on the GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 AONAOPNA Chart is finally showing the NAO going negative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 AO NAO PNA Chart is finally showing the NAO going negative. Briefly. The spread on the AO plot doesn't suggest much confidence in that forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Briefly. The spread on the AO plot doesn't suggest much confidence in that forecast. It's tanking so colder weather will make a return. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 If you are holding on to winter chances for late March, especially after the winter we've had, you need some self-examination. I'm not holding onto Winter weather chances. My personal preference would be for six inches of rain this weekend, happy now? A troll is a troll is a troll, period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 MJO Plots Euro GFS GEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 If you are holding on to winter chances for late March, especially after the winter we've had, you need some self-examination. The phrase "holding on" implicates something non-scientific. Regardless of what our desires are for spring or no spring, an objective analysis of the upcoming pattern reveals a heightened likelihood for colder than normal temperatures from March 18th through the end of the month at least (probably into April). While we may very well go through the period cold / dry, the probabilities are increased relative to normal for snowfall accumulation due to the presence of an anomalous mid level ridge near Greenland / Davis Straights which is historically conducive for wintry precipitation in the Northeast. Again, nothing may occur, but the upcoming pattern will be cold relative to normal, and there may be one or more threats for wintry precip in the Northeastern US through early April. Whether or not we want something to occur should be immaterial in a scientific discussion. The truth is that it will not feel like spring in the sense of prolonged 60F+ temperatures for quite sometime, through the next 2-3 weeks at least most likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheManWithNoFace Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 One thing I notice is that the PNA peaks before the AO bottoms, and the NAO bottoms after that. I think that's why we aren't seeing the cross-polar stronger intrusion of cold, it looks like the indices that represent the pattern drivers aren't in sync for deep cold. I'd expect things to trend towards slightly below to below. rather than strong below average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.