ravensrule Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 I know it is too close to use but the GEFS mean is sick. ETA: Ninja'd by Yoda but the mean snowfall is 8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 That is alot of frozen QPF. I made an error, its supposed to be 23... i forgot that I wasnt supposed to count the precip at 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 I made an error, its supposed to be 23... i forgot that I wasnt supposed to count the precip at 12z Still very good, probably around 8" in DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 There is 3" in northern Kentucky. A lot of nice winter stuff comes to us from there. That would be crippling. After it get snowing it's not a 31* squeaker. Looks like mid 20's around DC most of prime sun time Thursday; not even really wet snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVsnowlover Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Just took a quick glance at the GEFS (yes, I know that we are 24 hrs or so from the start)... but it is wet... 72 hr precip max total is 2.23" right over DCA They have higher precip totals out this way than 18z did, though the northern extent of the heavy precip in PA has shifted significantly south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 GEFS is not helpful in this range probably. Euro was always lower QPF and other stuff has more or less moved that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 NMM and ARW flip DC to sleet around 4 AM and to snow around 7 AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 when is Euro running? Now, about 6 minutes until it is in range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 For yoda fans Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Expat Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 For yoda fans what model is that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 For yoda fans someone get rid of this nonsense Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Euro is a big hit for everyone. The northern folk can calm down a bit too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Euro is a big hit for everyone. The northern folk can calm down a bit too. Whew i was popping the Prozac. Similar to 12Z?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Expat Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Euro is a big hit for everyone. The northern folk can calm down a bit too. I'll believe it when I see the maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 850s cross Balt ~7z and closer to 9z for DC (no 3 hour panels so going off 6z and 12z panels). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Whew i was popping the Prozac. Similar to 12Z?. Not substantially different. But further north. It really clobbers everyone good. The NW burbs of DC probably do a little better than you but you do fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 850s cross Balt ~7z and closer to 9z for DC (no 3 hour panels so going off 6z and 12z panels). That should help with closing decisions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 ~0.7" falls after 12z in DC. Looks like 6-10" areawide. Jackpot NW of the cities. It's a great run as Matt said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 At 48 hours, Eurowx has 10 inches of snow in DC area, and1.4 inches of precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Not substantially different. But further north. It really clobbers everyone good. The NW burbs of DC probably do a little better than you but you do fine. Thanks for the info Matt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Trying to figure out sleet/flip but looks like 6-10 everywhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 850s cross Balt ~7z and closer to 9z for DC (no 3 hour panels so going off 6z and 12z panels). 850 bisects DC at 9z. My guess is there is a 2 hour lag until full flippage. So DC probably flips around 11-12z. About 0.7" falls after that for DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Not substantially different. But further north. It really clobbers everyone good. The NW burbs of DC probably do a little better than you but you do fine.So, the "south trend" has ended?...lolMDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Euro looks great... good night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Expat Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 anyone care to post a eurowx map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 I think i can deal with this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 I think i can deal with this Mitch got his wish! The dark shades have crept east of the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 850 bisects DC at 9z. My guess is there is a 2 hour lag until full flippage. So DC probably flips around 11-12z. About 0.7" falls after that for DC. After seeing the Euro flip time pretty much hold steady, I think GFS is too cold and too early to flip DC. ~12z (give or take a few hours either way) seems to be the flip time on most models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Great run. Over .8 all snow after 6z for northern md. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Surface right at freezing at 7am for I95 burbs and cities. Low to mid 20's by 1pm and ripping the whole time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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