mitchnick Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 only get 2 hours of sleet max on the GFS I guess I'm just a little disappointed everyone and I really don't feel the need to apologize to anyone either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Where is PDIII Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 The euro and major snowstorms. When will we Learn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Pretty big cave by the GFS to the Euro. Fun times to be had by all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Been a heck of a ride with these models. Finally, in the 9 th inning, the GFS sees what the EURO has been seeing for days. We do this every single storm. And I don't mean the euro is always right. But it's how we role. Now time to be a trole and have some fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Pretty big cave by the GFS to the Euro. Fun times to be had by all! To be fair... The GFS was pretty solid until 6z... it is just back to where it was last night. Let's see if the Euro holds with it totals from 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 The euro and major snowstorms. When will we Learn but how boring it would be if we knew for certain every time 3+ days out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 To be fair... The GFS was pretty solid until 6z... it is just back to where it was last night. Let's see if the Euro holds with it totals from 12z yup, Euro might cave to GFS next Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 To be fair... The GFS was pretty solid until 6z... it is just back to where it was last night. Let's see if the Euro holds with it totals from 12z I suspect it may be similar with a wider field of 12" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 The euro and major snowstorms. When will we Learn 7 days ago the euro said this would be a 2 foot storm. Awful. Just awful. And you're calling this a major snowstorm? who are you man? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 but how boring it would be if we knew for certain every time 3+ days out? Agree. This is the best part of tracking...the uncertainty and the late game rally. Time for a drink Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 sweet, GFS has BWI at -17.4C, or 0.68F Friday morning at 7AM...I said 0.68F, Friday MARCH 6th! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 7 days ago the euro said this would be a 2 foot storm. Awful. Just awful. And you're calling this a major snowstorm? who are you man?major for you all. A clipper for me and psuhoffman Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 I suspect it may be similar with a wider field of 12" me too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 The only reason the nam doesn't have euro/ukmet/gfs/rgem totals is because it's a warm nose outlier. If it's right we all still do well. If it's wrong we do better and also have a valuable piece of intel to put in the pocket for the next similar setup Great trend on the NAM and GFS tonight in terms of being wetter (and more snow). As you said, even if the NAM outlier warm layer is correct, we still do well. So...looks like a general 5-8" (or so?) on the 00Z NAM and 6-10" on the 00Z GFS. And the RGEM looked similar. I may or may not stay up for the Euro, but I can only hope it comes in the same as this (which would be the same as what it had at 12Z and 00Z last night). Nice to see this consensus snap into place favorably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 sweet, GFS has BWI at -17.4C, or 0.68F Friday morning at 7AM...I said 0.68F, Friday MARCH 6th!relax. You crapped on this winter more than anyone. I even requested that you take a few days break from the board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 sweet, GFS has BWI at -17.4C, or 0.68F Friday morning at 7AM...I said 0.68F, Friday MARCH 6th! Euro was similar. Could make a run at record low maxes on Friday but I haven't checked what the records are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 0c 850 line just to the N and W of DCA at 06z (1am) on 00z GFS... over top or just east at 09z This continues to be in line with my earlier statements of an 08z 0*C column. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 To be fair... The GFS was pretty solid until 6z... it is just back to where it was last night. Let's see if the Euro holds with it totals from 12z That's a good point. For an unusual storm, the models picked up on it pretty far in advance. I remember discussing how it was showing up on multiple models, including the GFS, last Friday. The GFS and 4k NAM went a little crazy today, but other than that there has been remarkable consistency among the models. Even the central / northern MD jackpot zone showing up on tonight's runs was predicted well in advance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 relax. You crapped on this winter more than anyone. I even requested that you take a few days break from the board you are officially a fool dude, go back to the first thread I started in early FEB where I boldly called for a pattern change and was VERY bullish on snow, VERY bullish anyone can read what I said before any real chances of snow were on the radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 The euro and major snowstorms. When will we Learn It has been bad much of the winter. Performing well as of late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 you are officially a fool dude, go back to the first thread I started in early FEB where I boldly called for a pattern change and was VERY bullish on snow, VERY bullish anyone can read what I said before any real chances of snow were on the radar Mitch, you were the lone voice of reason back then BUT Mitch, you did go through a blue period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 This event is redemption for the March 5th and 6th bust of 2013. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 This event is redemption for the March 5th and 6th bust of 2013. Let's wait till tomorrow night to get all giddy. I am feeling this one though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 major for you all. A clipper for me and psuhoffman we should get t-shirts made Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 This event is redemption for the March 5th and 6th bust of 2013. I still feel owed from 1/29.... Until a Miller B trends south from Boston 3.5 days out, it will stick in the craw... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Mitch, you were the lone voice of reason back then BUT Mitch, you did go through a blue period. I take offense. I never once approached the ledge or complained and pointed out every reason to not give up. Ah! you just reminded me. Time to troll the despair thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 He wasn't the only one. A substantial majority had a blue (or red) period. But with Mitch, it was so out of character. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Mitch, you were the lone voice of reason back then BUT Mitch, you did go through a blue period. the pattern sucked and I certainly had no qualms about saying that, but when I believed the pattern changed for the better, I had no qualms about saying that either as we all know, the truth sometimes hurts as a weenie, but it is what it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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