HighStakes Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Nice, trend seems to be towards the Euro. RGEM I trust a lot more than the NAM. North and west of Baltimore is starting to look real good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 North and west of Baltimore is starting to look real good. color me shocked. psu is nervous though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 0c 850 line just to the N and W of DCA at 06z (1am) on 00z GFS... over top or just east at 09z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 color me shocked. psu is nervous though He's still not convinced the Feb. 2010 blizzards came far enough north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 anyone know for certain whether all those snow maps for the different models always include sleet with the snow? I don't know for certain, but I'm pretty sure that the tropicaltidbits maps do and the meteocentre maps don't. meteocentre has separate maps for rain, snow, sleet, and freezing rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 0c 850 line just to the N and W of DCA at 06z (1am) on 00z GFS GFS is starting out a little colder than what the 18z had it at 6 hrs fwiw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 GFS is starting out a little colder than what the 18z had it at 6 hrs fwiw And a good bit drier with the leading (rain) wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 DC is a snow sounding at 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 North and west of Baltimore is starting to look real good. Yeah. Actually north and west of I95 through Maryland is starting to look good. In the NAM map I posted above, DC gets more snow than Baltimore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Nice... 18z rippage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Another shocker. GFS is solid now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 GFS is a crush job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Expat Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 WE JUST GOT GFS'D Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Gfs looks good to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Time to switch to the obs thread. We seem pretty set. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 I'm not sure there is anything left to discuss. I might not even stay up for the euro. Complete consensus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Another shocker. GFS is solid now. I think it is more than solid. It is 8" for me and you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 ~7"-9" inside the Beltway for 0Z GFS http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2015030500&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=024 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVsnowlover Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Euro ftw... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 I think it is more than solid. It is 8" for me and you. Rockville is the new Mt. Airy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 12Z at BWI EV PRES HGHT TEMP DEWP RH DD WETB DIR SPD THETA THE-V THE-W THE-E W mb m C C % C C deg knt K K K K g/kg-------------------------------------------------------------------------------SFC 1012 72 -1.3 -3.0 88 1.7 -1.9 353 16 270.9 271.4 270.6 279.1 3.02 1 1000 164 -2.1 -3.8 88 1.7 -2.7 355 23 271.1 271.5 270.5 278.9 2.89 2 950 569 -5.6 -5.9 98 0.2 -5.7 355 30 271.5 271.9 270.2 278.5 2.59 3 900 991 -6.4 -7.3 94 0.8 -6.7 338 30 274.9 275.3 272.1 281.7 2.46 4 850 1442 -2.7 -3.5 94 0.8 -3.0 291 28 283.3 283.9 278.2 293.2 3.47 5 800 1924 -0.9 -1.1 98 0.2 -1.0 259 37 290.2 291.0 282.5 302.9 4.40 6 750 2441 -0.6 -0.7 99 0.1 -0.7 246 50 295.9 296.7 285.4 310.1 4.83 7 700 2991 -1.9 -1.9 100 0.0 -1.9 241 60 300.4 301.3 287.0 314.7 4.75 8 650 3581 -2.4 -2.5 99 0.1 -2.5 240 77 306.2 307.1 289.1 321.2 4.89 9 600 4214 -5.4 -6.0 95 0.6 -5.7 238 87 309.8 310.6 289.5 322.6 4.06 10 550 4891 -9.7 -11.0 91 1.2 -10.2 241 91 312.5 313.1 289.4 322.2 3.01 11 500 5622 -13.6 -15.9 83 2.3 -14.3 248 97 316.5 316.9 289.9 323.8 2.21 12Z at DCA LEV PRES HGHT TEMP DEWP RH DD WETB DIR SPD THETA THE-V THE-W THE-E W mb m C C % C C deg knt K K K K g/kg-------------------------------------------------------------------------------SFC 1014 56 -0.5 -2.1 88 1.7 -1.1 358 12 271.6 272.2 271.4 280.3 3.22 1 1000 164 -1.3 -3.2 87 1.9 -2.0 358 20 271.8 272.3 271.1 280.0 3.02 2 950 570 -5.0 -5.2 98 0.3 -5.1 359 27 272.1 272.6 270.9 279.6 2.72 3 900 993 -6.0 -6.9 93 0.9 -6.3 341 28 275.3 275.7 272.5 282.3 2.52 4 850 1444 -2.2 -2.9 95 0.7 -2.5 289 25 283.8 284.4 278.7 294.1 3.62 5 800 1929 0.2 0.1 99 0.2 0.1 252 35 291.4 292.3 283.5 305.3 4.81 6 750 2447 0.1 0.0 99 0.1 0.1 241 46 296.7 297.6 285.9 311.8 5.11 7 700 2999 -1.3 -1.3 100 0.0 -1.3 237 56 301.1 302.0 287.4 316.0 4.97 8 650 3591 -1.7 -1.8 99 0.1 -1.7 239 76 307.1 308.1 289.6 323.0 5.17 9 600 4225 -5.1 -6.1 92 1.1 -5.5 239 85 310.3 311.0 289.6 322.9 4.03 10 550 4904 -9.4 -11.5 85 2.1 -10.2 243 88 313.0 313.5 289.5 322.2 2.88 11 500 5635 -13.3 -17.3 72 4.0 -14.6 249 96 316.8 317.2 289.8 323.4 1.97 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 GFS widespread 8+ in central md Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 I'm not sure there is anything left to discuss. I might not even stay up for the euro. Complete consensus. I want to see if the GGEM is still the wettest or if it cut back some But yeah, nice consensus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 ~7"-9" inside the Beltway for 0Z GFS http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2015030500&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=024 more than NE deserves lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 The only reason the nam doesn't have euro/ukmet/gfs/rgem totals is because it's a warm nose outlier. If it's right we all still do well. If it's wrong we do better and also have a valuable piece of intel to put in the pocket for the next similar setup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 I want to see if the GGEM is still the wettest or if it cut back some But yeah, nice consensus We're locked and loaded. But I'm staying up for the GGEM, UKMET, and EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 DCA gets .67" after 12Z and BWI gets .65" (from GFS) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 6+ I95 Washington to 20 miles south of Boston. Sorry Boston, better luck next year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 The only reason the nam doesn't have euro/ukmet/gfs/rgem totals is because it's a warm nose outlier. If it's right we all still do well. If it's wrong we do better and also have a valuable piece of intel to put in the pocket for the next similar setup Been a heck of a ride with these models. Finally, in the 9 th inning, the GFS sees what the EURO has been seeing for days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Looks like 15 hours of snow with this thang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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