eurojosh Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Hr 30... still snowing very well. More to come. SLP in SC... Probably would be even nicer if it was in NC, but this is fine. NAM no longer showing 1-3, it's safe to say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Expat Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Hours 30 through the end of the storm looks INTENSE in regards to snowfall rates on IWM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 30 hr. sim/rad http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?image=data%2Fnam%2F12%2Fnam_namer_030_sim_radar.gif&model=nam&area=namer&storm=&cycle=12¶m=sim_radar&fhr=030&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M&ps=model&use_mins=no&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20150304+12+UTC&scrollx=0&scrolly=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 The northern guys are not gonna be real happy with that brutal cutoff. But its a DCA crush job.Yep. Barely 0.1" here from 12Z to 18Z tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 The northern guys are not gonna be real happy with that brutal cutoff. But its a DCA crush job. Huh? There's like 3-5" all the way up to Harrisburg and York and the Carroll County folks are in the bullseye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 thru 4pm...fwiw...map-wise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 30 hr. sim/rad http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?image=data%2Fnam%2F12%2Fnam_namer_030_sim_radar.gif&model=nam&area=namer&storm=&cycle=12¶m=sim_radar&fhr=030&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M&ps=model&use_mins=no&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20150304+12+UTC&scrollx=0&scrolly=0 Look at the MoCo/HoCo connection. We won't be denied this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Looks great. Better than previous runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 4, 2015 Author Share Posted March 4, 2015 4pm, we're getting pummeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Huh? There's like 3-5" all the way up to Harrisburg and York and the Carroll County folks are in the bullseye. Yeah, I thought it looked fine for everyone from the M/D south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 and thru 6pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Expat Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 JACKPOT IS FAIRFAX COUNTY THROUGH DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 moist Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Holy smokes at the afternoon band on the 12z..big UVVs w/ that impulse riding the boundary. I'd call this a NAM'ing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Looks colder through the column but slower to cool at the surface It's snow by DCA by 12Z so all precip after 12Z is snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Huh? There's like 3-5" all the way up to Harrisburg and York and the Carroll County folks are in the bullseye. Compare the precip field on the 6Z and 12Z. Its 100 miles SE on the NW side of the precip field. And Carroll County is no where near the bullseye? Its more like a Woodbridge/Springfield Bullseye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 It's snow by DCA by 12Z so all precip after 12Z is snow. Yup, that was through 9z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 JACKPOT IS FAIRFAX COUNTY THROUGH DC AHEM, MoCo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 probably the best run ive seen. We got Nam'd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 and thru 6pm At least a couple more hours to come, it seems. Great way to end the season. ETA: Make that a couple more minutes. Still...! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdude Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Holy wet NAM! Perhaps its bias but it has been trending more in line with other models and colder and snowier for at least the eastern shore of Maryland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 NAM keeps us going into the evening rush, assuming there will be one. To the earlier posts..who cares who jackpots? This is an incredible storm in an incredible synoptic scenario..enjoy it. I consider myself lucky to even be seeing snow in an anafrontal situation... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 NAM'd 110% ! Wow, we knew it was coming. Beautiful run 8 to 12 inches verbatim Nova and DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Expat Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 AHEM, MoCo That general area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 NAM is a hit! Phew! I was getting worried. Shows 6-9" for the DC area looking at AWX and IWM maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Incredible run for our entire area. We all get absolutely demolished. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Large run...not sure when the flip happens out here but it's gonna be an inch plus of frozen juice according to this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 JACKPOT IS FAIRFAX COUNTY THROUGH DC PW is in there too...makes Jeb happy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 4, 2015 Author Share Posted March 4, 2015 NAM is a hit! Phew! I was getting worried. Shows 6-9" for the DC area looking at AWX and IWM maps. Yeah, thank God the NAM came aboard. No way I would have felt confident with only the combination of GFS, EURO, UKMET, GGEM, SREFS, RGEM et all showing this. Storm uncancel! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Best part about a bigger storm coming is the model analysis. (Crush job! Smoked! We get demolished!) It's why I do this. Few things get me more amped. Big shoutout to the NAM for getting its head out of its rump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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