clueless Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Last thing i wanted to read about this morning is shrinkage You will take your shrinkage and like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Little known secret - Hoffman also posts as PDIII. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vastateofmind Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Sun Angle® Ava a local TV met? Don't know that name... Ava was pretty level headed on the news this morning -- said 4-6 was the likely amount, but some areas could see 6-8 or 6-10. She was quick to mention sun angle and when the cold would filter in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 I'm going to be disappointed by anything under 8" in March after already reaching more or less climo. and after getting ice on ice on snow on snow on snow on snow on snow in a 3 week period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 It's over, guys. one run. Weather just stopped. The problem is that we only have one real run left. Even the 6z RGEM is drier. Don't get me wrong, I will be happy with 4 inches of snow, but when the models showed double that last night. It is kinda of a buzz kill. I am not saying the 12z suite will not bounce back either. We have no idea if the euro is drier since it does not have off runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 I'm going to be disappointed by anything under 8" in March after already reaching more or less climo. and after getting ice on ice on snow on snow on snow on snow on snow in a 3 week period. +1 Classic sig material Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Sun Angle® Ava a local TV met? Don't know that name... She is, does the morning weather for WBAL in Baltimore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Last thing i wanted to read about this morning is shrinkage I'm reminded of that every morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 I see I am not the only one whos seen Edge of Tomorrow. Excellent movie It was the movie Aliens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 It's over, guys. one run. Weather just stopped. The problem is that we only have one real run left. Even the 6z RGEM is drier. Don't get me wrong, I will be happy with 4 inches of snow, but when the models showed double that last night. It is kinda of a buzz kill. I am not saying the 12z suite will not bounce back either. We have no idea if the euro is drier since it does not have off runs. But its 0z run was fine. Maybe the reason it doesn't run off hours is for the very reason it can have some odd results. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 I'm going to be disappointed by anything under 8" in March after already reaching more or less climo. and after getting ice on ice on snow on snow on snow on snow on snow in a 3 week period. Word. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 I'm going to be disappointed by anything under 8" in March after already reaching more or less climo. and after getting ice on ice on snow on snow on snow on snow on snow in a 3 week period. i was told backloaded winters suck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 I'm just glad I don't live in Manchester. They put worry in the water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 I think its a matter of realistic expectations. Anyone who believes they are getting 10-12" is silly. 4-6/6-8 is much more realistic, and even then i would expect the lower amounts. But I *NEED* 10.5" to hit 40" on the season so I have to get double-digits. Just have to. Otherwise, your map will suck. And this winter will be a disaster. And I'll cry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 But I *NEED* 10.5" to hit 40" on the season so I have to get double-digits. Just have to. Otherwise, your map will suck. And this winter will be a disaster. And I'll cry. thank you for thinking about my map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Yeesh! The "model discussion only" thread has practically turned into cliff-jumping banter. It's practically a disaster in there. I mean, there's some concern to be sure...we always have that...but the excessive hand-wringing is a bit much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 But I *NEED* 10.5" to hit 40" on the season so I have to get double-digits. Just have to. Otherwise, your map will suck. And this winter will be a disaster. And I'll cry. Das, you have so much snow that your front yard looks like weathafella's yard up in Mass in a normal SNE winter lol. And, your high temp today will be 30 degrees. No melting at all. Then tomorrow you get destroyed by torrential snow. You'll get banded - and probably will end up with 10.5 inches lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Yeesh! The "model discussion only" thread has practically turned into cliff-jumping banter. It's practically a disaster in there. I mean, there's some concern to be sure...we always have that...but the excessive hand-wringing is a bit much. What is the concern if 3-6 looks good? And that may be on top of some sleet and ice. Did they check the calendar? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Weenie logic would tell you we're on a roll and this will deliver. The 2/21 storm that was originally supposed to switch over much sooner than it did. Last Tuesday that was originally going to slide underneath us, but eventually dropped 2-4" across the area south of Baltimore. Sunday's system that just kept getting worse with each passing hour in the afternoon/evening. And even yesterday. Heck, even the early January clipper that surprised some with 4"+. When we get events this year they find a way to deliver for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Weenie logic would tell you we're on a roll and this will deliver. The 2/21 storm that was originally supposed to switch over much sooner than it did. Last Tuesday that was originally going to slide underneath us, but eventually dropped 2-4" across the area south of Baltimore. Sunday's system that just kept getting worse with each passing hour in the afternoon/evening. And even yesterday. Heck, even the early January clipper that surprised some with 4"+. When we get events this year they find a way to deliver for us. shhh the naysayers may hear you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Das, you have so much snow that your front yard looks like weathafella's yard up in Mass in a normal SNE winter lol. And, your high temp today will be 30 degrees. No melting at all. Then tomorrow you get destroyed by torrential snow. Yup. 6" still. Incessant temp rise continues tho. Up to 36.9°F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 If it fails I blame Ian for wishing the qpf would get lower as we got closer so his call would verify.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 This thread is so damn HILARIOUS that i almost choked on my coffee lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Man the model thread is a trainwreck, So angsty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 This thread is so damn HILARIOUS that i almost choked on my coffee lmao Oh god...you drink coffee Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 lol -- i haven't moved from my desk since i got in at 720 and the motion sensored lights just turned off on me hahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vastateofmind Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Some nice snow cover, still, right there. ATTM, I'm satisfied to just whiten the leftover piles of brown (and yellow) snow scattered on either side of the small creek that's formed IMBY. Yup. 6" still. Incessant temp rise continues tho. Up to 36.9°F.image.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Oh god...you drink coffee just one cup tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vastateofmind Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Okay, this is where I lost my coffee... Oh god...you drink coffee Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 What is the concern if 3-6 looks good? And that may be on top of some sleet and ice. Did they check the calendar? Well, I hear what you're saying and you're right. But regardless there are always concerns that we get screwed at the last minute, etc. The other day, the NAM was way too warm and north, and though it was an outlier, it was something to be aware of. Likewise, the drier solutions at 06Z. That said, it doesn't mean they keep going that way from here on out and doesn't mean it's a bad event. I think some people were expecting a foot out of this because there were a couple of more extreme solutions. Most were thinking on the order of a solid 4-8" storm to close out the season with a bang, which is more reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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