stormtracker Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Its never easy I'm gonna gtf off of here now. It's bad already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 It's the nam+gfs now. Still not worried. As long as the Ukie and Euro show what they are showing i am confident. Plus we have the GGEM and even though it sucks it is light years better than the Nam. Euro/Ukie/GGEM vs Gfs/Nam i will go with the first bunch any day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 NAM still gives me 6" of snow according to IWM clown maps. Anything above that would be a bonus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 1.5 hrs til cocktails. Book it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 It's the nam+gfs now. Chips fall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 It's the nam+gfs now. Plus the Nam still shows 6" on the snow maps for me. If i get 5"+ i am fine with it. I am already above climo and 3.5 more inches gives me back to back 30" seasons. Nothing to complain about there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 It's the nam+gfs now. The CRAS+JMA will save us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Remember the 18z NAM rule to multiply QPF by 2 only if it sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bodhi Cove Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 I'm gonna gtf off of here now. It's bad already Damn, must be pretty bad if the bus driver is bailing out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Damn, must be pretty bad if the bus driver is bailing out... His tires are bald anyway, let him bail on us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 From some of the reactions you'd think the NAM was showing 1-3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Remember that the NAM is still outside its range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 I like the 3-5" calls. That would be a big event given this setup. It's warm today and this is a rain to snow situation. There is a chance we lose some qpf in the transition period. 5" would be a huge win in the setup, imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 we have a mighty mass of cold air, a pocket of energy to act as a catalyst, and a water vapor trail that extends to the Pacific and GOM, the storm is underway, and people are freaking out about a ****ing computer model.Dont Forget the moisture package. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 At the least we have the range now roughly 5-10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacChump Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 i'd be feeling better if i hadn't heard about the 12z euro initialization probs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 As soon as cantore annonced his arrival, the nam knocks 40% off the snowfall totals. Oops NAM just followed the GFS and dried out. Stop dreaming of 6-10 and get used to 3-6. Pity WWA coming at some point. See, the NAM is a better model than people give it credit for. LOL, yep. Cantore influences the models haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Like I said earlier today, all hail King Euro unless it is showing us getting a lot of snow then totally write it off and hug crappier models that show us getting less snow. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bodhi Cove Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 His tires are bald anyway, let him bail on us. I'll spare everyone the annoying earworm song that came to mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 His tires are bald anyway, let him bail on us. He isn't bailing over the NAM, he's expressing frustration with the weenie whining over it when the Euro has been an Effin' rock with this system. I'll ride the euro off a cliff on this storm given how consistent the euro has been. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 He isn't bailing over the NAM, he's expressing frustration with the weenie whining over it when the Euro has been an Effin' rock with this system. I'll ride the euro off a cliff on this storm given how consistent the euro has been. Sent from my iPhone I know i was just teasing. I cannot understand all this hand wringing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alcoholhelps Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 WOW....I leave for nasty McDonalds and I come back to the storm being cancelled....that was quick! I really could care less...I am a woman...we usually are promised 8-10 and end up with 4-6, so I am used to this stuff! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 we have a mighty mass of cold air, a pocket of energy to act as a catalyst, and a water vapor trail that extends to the Pacific and GOM, the storm is underway, and people are freaking out about a ****ing computer model. Reality is never the issue around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 I know this thread is about analyzing models, but there's too much analyzing going on here...most of the time no 2 model runs are going to be equally the same. The bottom line is, most of the area will see a 6" snow..maybe DCA checks in a little less cuz their DCA but otherwise enjoy your 6". You're unlikely to get less and unlikely to get much more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 All models are locked onto their solutions now. Game time...chips fall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bodhi Cove Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 He isn't bailing over the NAM, he's expressing frustration with the weenie whining over it when the Euro has been an Effin' rock with this system. I'll ride the euro off a cliff on this storm given how consistent the euro has been. Sent from my iPhone Yeah I knew that as well. Thus the reason for the repetitive wheels on the bus song playing in my head. Same show, different actors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 You guys are on drugs, this is pristine for early March. Sit back and settle your mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 WOW....I leave for nasty McDonalds and I come back to the storm being cancelled....that was quick! I really could care less...I am a woman...we usually are promised 8-10 and end up with 4-6, so I am used to this stuff! I usually promise 2" so they are not that upset when they get 1" . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 I wonder if some can whine this thing down to no snow at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Cantore is on his way to DC. We're f*&^'d LOL...........remember the last time! Oh brother at this board if that happened. But this storm is a completely different animal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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