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March 5th Storm Banter Thread


nj2va

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  On 3/4/2015 at 3:02 PM, Warrior Bigfoot said:

PSUHoffman was right. The south trend is alive and well. Not what I wanted to see this morning.

 

MoCo through southern HoCo up into AA County will be the jackpot... again lol.

 

the NAM just gave you 6 or more? what kind of expectations do you weenies have? 

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Good. I will post 1000 pictures of my 6.5" compared to your lowly 5.9". 

  On 3/4/2015 at 3:02 PM, Warrior Bigfoot said:

PSUHoffman was right. The south trend is alive and well. Not what I wanted to see this morning.

 

MoCo through southern HoCo up into AA County will be the jackpot... again lol.

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  On 3/4/2015 at 3:03 PM, mapgirl said:

the NAM just gave you 6 or more? what kind of expectations do you weenies have? 

It's the trend (and yes I'd call this a trend) that worries me. The GFS went from 10" at 12z yesterday, to 8" at 18z, to 6" at 00z, to 3" at 06z.

 

Same thing with the NAM.

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  On 3/4/2015 at 3:05 PM, Warrior Bigfoot said:

It's the trend (and yes I'd call this a trend) that worries me. The GFS went from 10" at 12z yesterday, to 8" at 18z, to 6" at 00z, to 3" at 06z.

 

Same thing with the NAM.

 

THE HORROR!

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  On 3/4/2015 at 3:12 PM, Warrior Bigfoot said:

Eh, whatever. We have different views on this storm. Personally, I wouldn't be satisfied if this turns into a 4-5" storm while places south (but nearby) get 6"+.

 

But that's just me.

 

Youre right, we have different views. So, you go on and worry yourself to death and then cry when you don't get 6". 

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  On 3/4/2015 at 3:12 PM, Warrior Bigfoot said:

Eh, whatever. We have different views on this storm. Personally, I wouldn't be satisfied if this turns into a 4-5" storm while places south (but nearby) get 6"+.

 

But that's just me.

 

my view of March snow is to either go big or go home.

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You make an interesting point. I've tried to learn the subtleties and biases of each of the models by listening/reading here over the past several years, but -- has anyone found (or published research on) a more comprehensive write-up/comparison of the global and supplemental models? I've polled The Google on this several times in recent months, but haven't found anything particularly "meaty." Just curious.

 

  On 3/4/2015 at 3:33 PM, NE Balti Zen said:

I like how the Euro is king until it shows a good solution then some people rush to ignore it for crappier models that show less good solutions.

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  On 3/4/2015 at 3:20 PM, WxUSAF said:

Doesn't DCA need about 3" to get to climo?  

2" I think.. maybe 1.9" after the 0.1" in the ice storm.. I think that's what they measured.  I'm  shooting for March climo first. ;)

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