Berlin1926 Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Transition line is now past Richmond south-westward to about 50 miles north of Danville. Sleet now up here in the hinterlands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Berlin1926 Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Weatherbug's ptype radar shows the transition line right on the NC/VA boarder from due north of Raleigh east. Yes -- Here's a shocker...the WRAL-TV truck has been spotted on Madison Boulevard in Roxboro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Sleet now up here in the hinterlands. That's encouraging. Should be in the Danville VA, Eden NC, and NC side of Kerr lake vicinity soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Berlin1926 Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 That's encouraging. Should be in the Danville VA, Eden NC, and NC side of Kerr lake vicinity soon. We are on the NC side of Kerr Lake, NE of Roxboro and NW of Oxford. Snow mixing with sleet at Phenix, VA, about 20 miles due north, as the crow flies, from here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nomanslandva Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 We had good rates for a while and it was all snow but when it backed off, it was back to a mix. Warmer than modeled it seems but rates helped when it mattered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Sleet now up here in the hinterlands. Great news --- That's at least going along with RAH's idea; if not faster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 From FFC: this is the block from the mountains that I've been anticipating based on history and geography thus protecting ATL from any significant wintry wx to this point: It is the opposite of the mountains holding in shallow cold when there is a wedge. You can't have it one way and never the other way. Overall, the models did pretty well in taking this ridge into account imo. ATL wasn't screwed to this point. This was expected. "ISSUED AT 1102 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015/ REGIONAL OBS SHOW THE SHALLOW COLD AIR TO THE NW BEING BLOCKED BY A RIDGELINE THAT RUNS FROM NE ALABAMA INTO EAST CENTRAL TN... WITH TEMPS WEST OF THE RIDGELINE AT OR BELOW FREEZING... AND TEMPS EAST ABOVE FREEZING... WITH CHA...DNN... AND RMG STILL IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevDodd Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Temp outside here dropped to 45 in the past hour. That's about 1 degree every 2 minutes, and I swear half of them came in a 10 minute gust. Winds gusting at Fort Bragg up to abt 40 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 We are on the NC side of Kerr Lake, NE of Roxboro and NW of Oxford. Snow mixing with sleet at Phenix, VA, about 20 miles due north, as the crow flies, from here. OK, thanks for the correction. Even better! I thought you were north of there a bit, my apologies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 I'm in extreme NE Franklin County where Franklin, Halifax and Warren counties come together. Still all rain here but I anticipate sleet mixing in at any moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Was that thunder? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Was that thunder? It was tacos. Excuse me....Carry on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Berlin1926 Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 OK, thanks for the correction. Even better! I thought you were north of there a bit, my apologies. No worries, Jet Stream -- it's kind of ambiguous when you get up this way where the political boundaries lie, at least in peoples minds! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 It was tacos. Excuse me....Carry on. I work in SE Durham. It either was a thunder, a bomb or a huge gun. Probably the latter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncwxlvr Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 I work in SE Durham. It either was a thunder, a bomb or a huge gun. Probably the latter. Nothing on the lightning map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NRVwxfan. Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 I work in SE Durham. It either was a thunder, a bomb or a huge gun. Probably the latter. Or a truck backfired. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Still cold rain here in Raleigh. Shocking! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevDodd Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 So what does today's drop look like in Fayetteville? Sort of like my 401K. From Nate Johnson: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 I work in SE Durham. It either was a thunder, a bomb or a huge gun. Probably the latter. Haha probably! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Cold front surging South shows up really well on the visible - especially out towards the coast. (time sensitive) http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/ma/flash-vis.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Still cold rain here in Raleigh. Shocking! Go home, Jon. This thread is for sleet seekers only, not wet blanket wielders! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 NWS Raleigh: .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...AS OF 305 PM THURSDAY...THE PASSAGE OF THE 850MB TROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON-EARLY EVENINGSHOULD INITIATE THE CHANGEOVER OF RAIN TO RAIN/SLEET MIX THEN TOMOSTLY SLEET...BEFORE ENDING AS SLEET/SNOW/FREEZING RAIN OR VERYLIGHT SNOW. THIS OCCURRENCE MORE LIKELY ACROSS THE NORTHERN THIRD.FOR AREAS SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 64...EXPECT RAIN UNTIL 7-9 PM THEN ABRIEF PERIOD OF RAIN MIXED WITH SLEET BEFORE THE PRECIP ENDS.EXPECT SLEET ACCUMULATION OF LESS THAN A HALF INCH IN VICINITY OFTHE VA BORDER...MORE SO TOWARDS WARRENTON AND ROANOKE RAPIDS ANDSCOTLAND NECK...WITH LIGHTER AMOUNTS (0.20 OF AN INCH OR LESS)TOWARDS THE TRIAD AND TRIANGLE AREAS. THE DEPTH OF THE COLD NOSEABOVE THE SURFACE WILL DETERMINE WHERE ANY FREEZING RAIN OCCURS.CONSECUTIVE MODEL RUNS HAVE BEEN GRADUALLY EXPANDING THE DEPTH OFTHE COLD NOSE...SUGGESTING MORE OF A SLEET THREAT VERSUS FREEZINGRAIN. IF THE COLD NOSE DEPTH TURNS OUT TO BE LESS THANEXPECTED...THEN FREEZING RAIN MORE BE MORE OF AN ISSUE. EVENSO...ICE ACCRUAL EXPECTED TO BE NO MORE THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH.SO WILL LEAN MORE TOWARD SLEET WITH THIS FORECAST PACKAGE RATHERTHAN FREEZING RAIN. AFTER 00Z...ATMOSPHERE BEGINS TO DRY OUT ALOFTAND LIFTING MECHANISM FOR PRECIP BEGINS TO WANE AS STRONG UPPERLEVEL JET (ANALYZED OVER 200KTS OFF THE COAST OF MAINE AT 12Z) MOVESFARTHER AWAY FROM OUR REGION. THIS SHOULD LEAD TO A MIXED BAG OFWINTRY PRECIP ACROSS THE NORTH HALF THROUGH 03Z-04Z BEFORE PRECIPDIMINISHES.AFTER 04Z...ATTENTION WILL TURN TOWARD THE PLUMMETING TEMPS ANDRESIDUAL MOISTURE LEFT ON THE ROADWAYS. TEMPS BY MIDNIGHT SHOULD BEAT OR BELOW FREEZING ACROSS THE NORTH HALF...AND NEAR 20 FAR NORTHTO THE UPPER 20S/NEAR 30 FAR SOUTH BY 5 AM. THIS COLD AIR MASSSHOULD CAUSE WHAT WATER IS LEFT ON THE ROAD SURFACE TOFREEZE...LEADING TO BLACK ICE CONDITIONS. EXPECT WIDESPREAD BLACKICE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE NORTH HALF WHILE THE BLACK ICE MAY BE MORESPOTTY THE FARTHER SOUTH ONE GOES. PLAN TO ISSUE A WINTER WEATHERADVISORY...STARTING AT MIDNIGHT...TO COVER THE BLACK ICE THREAT.TEMPERATURES PROJECTED TO REMAIN BELOW FREEZING UNTIL LATEMORNING/MID DAY ACROSS MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 RWI is reporting snow. Has to be sleet, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Looking out the window of my office in downtown, I am frightful of the commute home. I don't know how in the world I will ever get home through such nightmarish traffic -- such gridlock. Ug! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Looking out the window of my office in downtown, I am frightful of the commute home. I don't know how in the world I will ever get home through such nightmarish traffic -- such gridlock. Ug! image1.JPG It's not doing anything now. I was talking about if it actually started sleeting during the day. No need to be a jerk about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Wet roads are scary. Actually, that may not be a joke in Raleigh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 It's not doing anything now. I was talking about if it actually started sleeting during the day. No need to be a jerk about it. Lighten up Sally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 It's not doing anything now. I was talking about if it actually started sleeting during the day. No need to be a jerk about it. Cold rain can cause huge traffic delays and gridlock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 My point was folks already drive like idiots when it rains. I wouldn't want to be caught on the road if it started sleeting and everyone panicked and left at the same time. It would be twice as bad, no matter if the roads were icy or not, because people panic and would be driving like lunatics to get home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 My point was folks already drive like idiots when it rains. I wouldn't want to be caught on the road if it started sleeting and everyone panicked and left at the same time. It would be twice as bad, no matter if the roads were icy or not, because people panic and would be driving like lunatics to get home. We might yet be able to test that theory. WeatherBug shows a little mix/snow over RWI, like QC posted. Maybe there's hope for the Triangle shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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