Quincy Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 How much snow will fall Tuesday night before changing to a messy mix?Will temperatures torch on Wednesday or stay socked in the 30s before tumbling at night?Here's how the contest will run...Predict the total snowfall from Tuesday, March 3rd, through Wednesday*, March 4th: BDR Stratford/Bridgeport, Sikorsky Airport BDL Windsor Locks, Bradley Int'l Airport PVD Providence, TF Green Airport ORH Worcester, Regional Airport BOS Boston, Logan Airport You are encouraged to report snowfall to the nearest tenth of an inch. ANDPredict the high temperature on Wednesday, March 4th for the same stations.Please report temperatures to the nearest whole degree, otherwise the number will be rounded.The temperature scoring is the same as the last, similar contest. Each degree error per station results in one error point. For snowfall, each half inch of snow error per station results in one error point. This means that being one inch off for a station results in two error points. Being off by 0.1 inches results in 0.2 error points. All total error points for temperature and snowfall will be added to determine the winner. In the event of a tie, the contestant who has the closest to zero overall bias score (will factor positive and negative error points for an overall "contest bias" score) will win. See previous contest for more details on the bias score, if it becomes a factor in determining the winner.*For the ease of processing data, the CF6 NWS form will be used. Keep in mind that although this contest is focusing on the "front-end thump" of snow, if any additional snow happens to fall Wednesday night, prior to the end of the climo day, that may factor into the scoring.The deadline for submitting a forecast is 2:00 p.m. on Tuesday, March 3rd. This will give the board time to consider the contest, forecast models and to assess some of the Tuesday 12z data. You can edit a post at any point up until that time, as forecasts will not be tallied until the deadline.Good luck! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Nobody yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 BDR Stratford/Bridgeport, Sikorsky Airport .6 36 BDL Windsor Locks, Bradley Int'l Airport 2.1 38 PVD Providence, TF Green Airport 1.6 41 ORH Worcester, Regional Airport 4.3 36 BOS Boston, Logan Airport 1.3 37 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 BDR 1.0 43 BDL 2.0 42 PVD 1.8 44 ORH 2.6 37 BOS 1.6. 41 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 BDR 2.7", 39FBDL 3.5", 42FPVD 2.7", 40FORH 2", 38FBOS 3.3", 40F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 BDR 2.0 40 BDL 2.7 42 PVD 2.2 40 BOS 2.2. 40 ORH 2.8 38 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 3, 2015 Author Share Posted March 3, 2015 BDR: 2.0", 38F BDL: 2.8", 41F PVD: 2.1", 42F ORH: 3.0", 37F BOS: 2.0", 38F Contest remains open. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 BDR: 2.0", 38F BDL: 2.8", 41F PVD: 2.1", 42F ORH: 3.0", 37F BOS: 2.0", 38F Contest is closed with a whopping five entries. Was hoping for more! Let me know if you'd be interested in future contests. Yea no Kevin either. Shockingly actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 BDR: 2.0", 38F BDL: 2.8", 41F PVD: 2.1", 42F ORH: 3.0", 37F BOS: 2.0", 38F Contest is closed with a whopping five entries. Was hoping for more! Let me know if you'd be interested in future contests. Whoops, didn't even see this thread until after the deadline. I personally love these contests, I just think everyone has been focusing more on Thursday and hasn't really paid much attention to tomorrow's event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 wish these went on longer! oh well to late for this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 3, 2015 Author Share Posted March 3, 2015 wish these went on longer! oh well to late for this oneI'll try to come up with and post the next one earlier. Maybe that's why we didn't get as many entries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 I didn't do it because the deadline closed too soon. it should be open until 18z or 00z runs the day before..so adjustments can be made if needed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 I'll try to come up with and post the next one earlier. Maybe that's why we didn't get as many entries. I missed it, as I didn't notice it until now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 reopen it Quincy until 3 pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 3, 2015 Author Share Posted March 3, 2015 Reopened until 19z/2 p.m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 BDR 3.0 36 BDL 3.9 37 PVD 2.9 41 ORH 4.6 36 BOS 3.1 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowciopath Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 BDR: 1.9 39 BDL: 1.4 43 PVD: 1.7 41 ORH: 1.9 38 BOS: 1.9 39 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 3, 2015 Author Share Posted March 3, 2015 Contest closed again. Next time I'll run the contest longer, since that's the feedback. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 5, 2015 Author Share Posted March 5, 2015 Congratulations to Snowciopath for winning the contest with a total of just 13.0 error points. Snowciopath predicted the exact high temperature for three of the five locations. A close second with 13.2 error points was N. OF PIKE. Most contestants had a cold bias for the highs, with N. OF PIKE being the exception. Snowfall was more evenly split, although there was a slight high bias with the average snowfall forecast. I would like to run more of these contests in the future and based off of the feedback, I will make the open period longer and wait until closer to the date and/or event to close the submission period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowciopath Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Ha, not bad for doing it literally at the last minute! Thanks for the doing these contests, they're real fun. Hopefully many more to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 I feel like more lead time before the closing time will get more people in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted March 6, 2015 Share Posted March 6, 2015 I managed a respectable bronze on this one, congratulations to the winners.the Reverend had a tough day but he will bounce back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted March 6, 2015 Share Posted March 6, 2015 Ha, not bad for doing it literally at the last minute! Thanks for the doing these contests, they're real fun. Hopefully many more to come. Well done Sir. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowciopath Posted March 6, 2015 Share Posted March 6, 2015 Well done Sir. Thanks bro, you too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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