SR Airglow Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 It's got a pretty tight gradient right at the Pike. I thought that is what the Ukie had at 12z? I don't really see that here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 I don't really see that here. Those maps look way different than the ones on the MAG site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 This ones coming and that should bring BOS over the top. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Eduggs could be right and it's not far fetched for a warning event. But, you really need that s/w out over the southwest to not bury itself. if eduggs posted more he could be the ENY version of messenger or messenger lite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Those maps look way different than the ones on the MAG site. Are you looking at the wrong run perhaps? 0z MAG graphics look just like the WxBell one above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 00z NAM was definitely more robust N of the pike than the 12z Ukie...but we are talking fine points...like 25-30 miles. My guess is even the Ukie would produce pretty well north of the pike when you look at the forcing/MLs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Ray, if you could would you push this 50 miles north even if it brought nearly all Rain to Bos, and gave you 10" , lolI think this may have weenie mid level love n of pike. Someone correct me if I'm wrong... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Are you looking at the wrong run perhaps? 0z MAG graphics look just like the WxBell one above. I'm looking at the .75" line and it did cut back qpf north of the pike from 18z. 0.5" does extend pretty far, but I was focusing on the .75" line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 I think this may have weenie mid level love n of pike. Someone correct me if I'm wrong...Yes. You and Will are on the same wavelength. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 This ones coming and that should bring BOS over the top. Oh, how we pray. Would love to drop that millstone to top off an amazing comeback. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Meh it's the NAM. Double A spring training but Wxniss is glued to the set Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Lol...Max fighting with people all day over qpf from model output... 57 to 63 hours dumps 0.5+ from abt 10 miles north of the pike southward in the 6 hour preceding period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 0z NAM brings tbe juice right over our hiney Again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Lol...Max fighting with people all day over qpf from model output... 57 to 63 hours dumps 0.5+ from abt 10 miles north of the pike southward in the 6 hour preceding period. Semantics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Will, verbatim on the Nam/UKIE/GEFS Do we have any BL issues in BOS on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Max, I'm with you re 18z Nam. Clearly more robust than 12z. It will be interesting to see what the RGEM shows. Nam not giving in at 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Max, I'm with you re 18z Nam. Clearly more robust than 12z. It will be interesting to see what the RGEM shows. Nam not giving in at 0z Wish I could see the 0z frontogenesis plot on that NAM run. Probably banding around us if I had to guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Will, verbatim on the Nam/UKIE/GEFS Do we have any BL issues in BOS on this one. Lol...it's 20 at the height of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Wish I could see the 0z frontogenesis plot on that NAM run. Probably banding around us if I had to guess.give it a half hour http://moe.met.fsu.edu/banding/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Meh it's the NAM. Double A spring training but Wxniss is glued to the set Aren't we all lol I want this record to be destroyed in style. And I love it when attention shifts to the unexpected. This anafrontal event was once an afterthought to the preceding SWFE. The NAM in 1 run isolation would be totally dismissible, but consistent big hits + support of some ensemble members... this is the most viable moderate potential we've had since the 2/15 blizzard, imo. Want to see more operational big models come aboard. And we need to be careful this doesn't surge significantly further north. 0z NAM was actually cooler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 My eyes may be deceiving and its beyond its range, but RGEM looks a tad south and weak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 My eyes may be deceiving and its beyond its range, but RGEM looks a tad south and weak. It is, definitely not as far NW as the NAM at 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Banned terms re: this event: comingThank you! --Middlebrooks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Wish I could see the 0z frontogenesis plot on that NAM run. Probably banding around us if I had to guess.this is 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 My eyes may be deceiving and its beyond its range, but RGEM looks a tad south and weak. 48 hours it looks similar to nam at the same time frame to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 This will probsbly hit a certain point, then sink se. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Wish I could see the 0z frontogenesis plot on that NAM run. Probably banding around us if I had to guess. Just extrapolating from 850 winds, would guess a stripe northern CT into southeastern MA between hours 57-60... great signal Thursday AM commute ftl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Banned terms re: this event: comingThank you!--Middlebrooks is this the modeled model thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Nam: RGEM: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 48 hours it looks similar to nam at the same time frame to me.we have the same weenie goggles according to Max,hey mine are Oakley Airbrakes and they saw 6 inches last night and see 6-8 Thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.