SR Airglow Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 HRRR continuing to tick south on it's last 3-4 runs, now back to almost nothing at all near BOS-ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 HRRR continuing to tick south on it's last 3-4 runs, now back to almost nothing at all near BOS-ORH. I would say 'darn' but that model is a pile of dung 9 out of 10 times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Shiver me timbers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 I dunno, whatever...it will rain, it will snow. I'm gonna hug my wife tonight a little more cuz you never know. This is what it's all about. Snuggling and big busts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Shiver me timbers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Good...I'll gladly battle that issue. By the time you get your wish, it will prob. be elevation season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 By the time you get your wish, it will prob. be elevation season Ray is building a tower as we speak... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Just saw the 18z GFS. What a turd it would be if we get less than a 1/2" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 I think Garth is on BOX HPC time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Man I must be bored to be looking, but SREFs are north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Man I must be bored to be looking, but SREFs are north I'll admit to looking... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 From Mid-Atlantic thread... damn impressive fetch... That's some stuff right there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Man I must be bored to be looking, but SREFs are north sizable jump too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 sizable jump too Yeah...just looking at the lousy NCEP graphics...but looks like 0.25" north of BOS...0.5" for most of CT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Yeah...just looking at the lousy NCEP graphics...but looks like 0.25" north of BOS...0.5" for most of CT? yeah.Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 SREF playing catch up? Wouldn't be surprised if it goes back down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Nam says Boston waits. Barely if any measurable along the pike and nothing north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Nam says Boston waits. Barely if any measurable along the pike and nothing north. HRRR wasn't on crack then, that's all I need to know. Should have stuck to my gut and not backed down over the 18z RGEM/GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Connecticut Appleman Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 At least to me, it does not look like the radar returns out west are gaining much of any latitude. Don't know if there is a mechanism to push them north, or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 By the time you get your wish, it will prob. be elevation season I'll take my chances. At least then I have a chance....and it's exciting. This just blows dead rats....just knowing you have absolutely zero chance, as the pack just rots. Time and time again. I usually do ok in late season elevation events, anyway. No matter how beautiful a winter is, they always have a zit...aka these past few weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Nam says Boston waits. Barely if any measurable along the pike and nothing north.Looks more juiced and more north than 18z to me.Sharper cutoff to the north I guess, but it's juicier just to the SE of boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 HRRR wasn't on crack then, that's all I need to know. Should have stuck to my gut and not backed down over the 18z RGEM/GFS. I think backing down based in the nam and HRR is not founded in good forecasting. Nam hasn't had the same solution in several runs. That said, I really haven't felt this one. We'll get the record and by a large margin IMHO but not this week most likely. Hopefully I'm wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Looks more juiced and more north than 18z to me. Sharper cutoff to the north I guess, but it's juicier just to the SE of boston. Maybe along the south coast but it's 30 miles south on the northern edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 I think backing down based in the nam and HRR is not founded in good forecasting. Nam hasn't had the same solution in several runs. That said, I really haven't felt this one. We'll get the record and by a large margin IMHO but not this week most likely. Hopefully I'm wrong. I'm not sure why you keep tormenting yourself trying to decipher between the .001" and .005" precip contour on these various $hitty short term models. Just walk the dog, look at RAD, upstream obs and hope for the best...that or bed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Maybe along the south coast but it's 30 miles south on the northern edge. If you take into account what Will and others said earlier, then yea you're right I'd be a bit worried along the northern periphery. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 The Rap looks like crap. Nothing much at all near the Pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 I'm not sure why you keep tormenting yourself trying to decipher between the .001" and .005" precip contour on these various $hitty short term models. Just walk the dog, look at RAD, upstream obs and hope for the best...that or bed. Here is the order: 1. Dog 2. Rgem 3. Bed 4. Hopefully well enough to work tomorrow....could not today. Something will come out of nowhere this month but until then, I'm fine with slow truncation of the piles....snow that it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 At least to me, it does not look like the radar returns out west are gaining much of any latitude. Don't know if there is a mechanism to push them north, or not. Radar will start to blossom nicely between 3z and 6z. Mid level winds backing with approaching s/w and low level jet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 I think backing down based in the nam and HRR is not founded in good forecasting. Nam hasn't had the same solution in several runs. That said, I really haven't felt this one. We'll get the record and by a large margin IMHO but not this week most likely. Hopefully I'm wrong. I just have a feelin' that you get it in April with a heavy early morning dump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 No matter how beautiful a winter is, they always have a zit...aka these past few weeks. …and November, December, the first three weeks of January. Nuclear dose of Clearasil for a few weeks there though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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