N. OF PIKE Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 I did after last GTG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 For CT I'm thinking 2-4" along the shoreline, with an inch or two for the northern 3/4 of the state. The Canadian guidance still being a bit north is encouraging...but it would still be comforting to see the American guidance shift a little further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Euro coming in a bit more amped than 12z through 36. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Definitely better than 12z... QPF from 00z tomorrow night through the end of the event (I picked 00z because even the south coast should be going over to snow by then...the bit of QPF for them in the afternoon is likely rain): 0.10" line goes right along the northern MA border with NH/VT than back S of ALB. 0.25" line is directly through BOS-ORH-CEF 0.50" line is PYM-WST and follows the Merritt once it reaches I-91 longitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HarveyLeonardFan Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Definitely better than 12z... QPF from 00z tomorrow night through the end of the event (I picked 00z because even the south coast should be going over to snow by then...the bit of QPF for them in the afternoon is likely rain): 0.10" line goes right along the northern MA border with NH/VT than back S of ALB. 0.25" line is directly through BOS-ORH-CEF 0.50" line is PYM-WST and follows the Merritt once it reaches I-91 longitude. Thanks for staying up Will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeonPeon Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Euro improved, and the southward trend stopped with most models. Still, what we end up with is a pretty significant model spread, quite close to the event. Not that novel a conundrum with this winter really. We get into the good stuff on that Euro run, so does NYC actually. I'm not sure who in NYC is going to be so trusting of the Euro though, after their massive bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Euro improved, and the southward trend stopped with most models. Still, what we end up with is a pretty significant model spread, quite close to the event. Not that novel a conundrum with this winter really. We get into the good stuff on that Euro run, so does NYC actually. I'm not sure who in NYC is going to be so trusting of the Euro though, after their massive bust. The euro is not the outlier here, its the GFS, that's the difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 SREFs went well south, .25" BDL to south shore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 6z NAM is pretty much the same as 0z, total shutout for everyone except the immediate south coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Looks like foreign models vs American models at this juncture. Fortunately, the RGEM and the Euro are the two models I'd most like to have on my side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 6z NAM gonna raise a scare down in Philly-NYC... This system is so complex: At least 3 pulses of energy riding the front. Right now looks like the first 2 pulses miss us. I'm intrigued by the potential of the 3rd and last pulse to have some interaction with northern stream energy that will be pretty close by the time this 3rd pulse moves south of us 21zThurs-0zFri. The 3 pulses have trended more separate, and I think the more delayed the 3rd pulse is, the more potential it could have to interact with the northern stream energy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted March 4, 2015 Author Share Posted March 4, 2015 So models continue South, but the NWS puts up 4-8 JUST south of me! Crazy. MMMMmmmmmmm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 RGEM/EURO combo would be 3-6 pike south with 4-8 far south areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Box's first take: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Well...BOS needs 1.9 to tie and 2 to break the record. Close but doable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Euro/RGEM, the new dynamic duo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Euro/RGEM, the new dynamic duo.Since when? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Since when? since I just posted it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Eh not sold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Having trouble buying euro and rgem. RGEM is almost a toaster bath for the pike anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Eh not sold. Tough bet to go against RGEM and Euro/Euro ens. But it is a tough one. You gotta figure at least a few inches to the pike Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Tough bet to go against RGEM and Euro/Euro ens. But it is a tough one. You gotta figure at least a few inches to the pike I hope I'm wrong, but I don't buy it totally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 I just don't buy RGEM and Euro 100%. However even a compromise is kind of paltry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 I just don't buy RGEM and Euro 100%. However even a compromise is kind of paltry. If you had to make one..what would you forecast for amounts north of 90 and south of 90? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Fwiw RGEM cut back totals a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 I hope I'm wrong, but I don't buy it totally.Agree...blend. 6z gfs came north though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 If you had to make one..what would you forecast for amounts north of 90 and south of 90?More like north and south of 84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Euro is a big hit,RGEM would fit, GFS gives us a bit, NAM ain't sh it. GGEM gets it done now I am going hide and run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 If you had to make one..what would you forecast for amounts north of 90 and south of 90? I'm busy looking at other stuff, but the pike might be the dividing line between flurries and an inch or two. If I had to, maybe blend 6z GFS and euro/rgem..but the flags are out. 6z GFS makes sense to me, but am aware it did tick north. I suppose Euro and RGEM have to be taken into consideration given how reliable they can be....but like I said...I think I may take those with heavy heavy caution flags. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Having trouble buying euro and rgem. RGEM is almost a toaster bath for the pike anyways. Would be funny, if this is just wet flakes falling and not accumulating. I asked about BL temps before but if this is light , we may have trouble in BOS until 430 or so to stack some light snow and chip away at record Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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