MJO812 Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 8-12 inches on the GEFS for NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUMG11 Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 8-10 inches on the GEFS for NYC Any maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Just looking at the radar loops, its clear that R/S line is pushing furiously SE. 2-3 AM is a good change over time for NYC. Everything's going according to plan. It won't be that fast, closer to 5am looks good right now based on the RGEM which 06Z projection of the R/S line looks good right now as FWN is still rain and it has them going over right around 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Any maps? 0z GEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUMG11 Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 0z GEFS Lock it in. imo 6-8 is a safe bet for NYC. More south. I think theres gonna be a spot in Central NJ that gets hammered. Depending on those mesobands setting up.Down in atlantic city, gonna be a fun one to watch tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bobby Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 http://www.goes.noaa.gov/dml/comp/goes/nhem/wv.html So much moisture to work with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 It won't be that fast, closer to 5am looks good right now based on the RGEM which 06Z projection of the R/S line looks good right now as FWN is still rain and it has them going over right around 06z. You can run circles around me meteorologically, but if those weathertap radars are to be believed, they show the R/S line dropping about 25 miles SE, from the NW border of Sussex to past the SE border of Sussex County over the past 2 hours. That's about 25 miles and if that rate were sustained - and I'm not saying it will be, but if it were - the R/S line would be from about White Plains to Edison (just about into NYC) in 2 more hours, i.e., by about 2:30 am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 You can run circles around me meteorologically, but if those weathertap radars are to be believed, they show the R/S line dropping about 25 miles SE, from the NW border of Sussex to past the SE border of Sussex County over the past 2 hours. That's about 25 miles and if that rate were sustained - and I'm not saying it will be, but if it were - the R/S line would be from about White Plains to Edison (just about into NYC) in 2 more hours, i.e., by about 2:30 am. The rain snow line is slowly crashing south ward. I think NYC changes over by 2-3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 The rain snow line is slowly crashing south ward. I think NYC changes over by 2-3.I'm 35 miles northwest of nyc, and I'm showing no signs of changing over at all, all rain and 37 degrees as of almost 1am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 http://www.goes.noaa.gov/dml/comp/goes/nhem/wv.html So much moisture to work with. The extension well into the central Pacific is incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 http://www.goes.noaa.gov/dml/comp/goes/nhem/wv.html So much moisture to work with. My concern is how much the Appalachian "toll" will cost. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marsplex Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 39.9f here in stony brook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 getimg (18).jpgThe euro has been very consistent throughout this whole storm..while the GFS has wobbled run for run. Let's see who wins. Euro is 6+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 getimg (18).jpgThanks, basically 6+ area wide if it's correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 I'm 35 miles northwest of nyc, and I'm showing no signs of changing over at all, all rain and 37 degrees as of almost 1am Sorry, but nobody in Rockland is NW of Manhattan (I assume Manhattan when people say NYC). NNW at best and due north for some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Sorry, but nobody in Rockland is NW of Manhattan (I assume Manhattan when people say NYC). NNW at best and due north for some.Are we really going to argue this moot point at 1am? Please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poleshiftnow Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Rockaway NJ big fat flakes mixing in woot woot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 0z Euro snowmap at 15:1 ratio shows near 10 inches for Philly and NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Sorry, but nobody in Rockland is NW of Manhattan (I assume Manhattan when people say NYC). NNW at best and due north for some. PLEASE. If anything it's right between NNW and NW, maybe NWNW or NNNW. Read a map sometime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 0z Euro snowmap at 15:1 ratio shows near 10 inches for Philly and NYCThat is assuming 15:1 ratios start to finish correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Rockaway NJ big fat flakes mixing in woot wootguessing that's NW Nj? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 guessing that's NW Nj? Google says along I-80 just west of I-287. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 guessing that's NW Nj? Near Dover/Kinnelon. The bus I took back and forth from PSU used to stop at Rockaway Mall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Google says along I-80 just west of I-287.Which one? There's Rockaway Borough and Rockaway Township. The boro is right along I-80 whereas the township largely extends up towards the Sussex county border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Which one? There's Rockaway Boro and Rockaway Township. The boro is right along I-80 whereas the township largely extends all the way up to the Sussex county border.I just checked it out. Near Dover. That's not very far North from Manhattan. I'm thinking we r looking at 90 minutes till change over. Sorry to see n say we lost .28 QPF to rain. By time we switch we r looking at .35. sure hope ratios on back end n 2nd wave catch up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 You're most likely looking at the borough. If you Google Rockaway Township it extends much further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rcad1 Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Temperature still 39 in Western Nassau. I don't see us changing anytime soon temp is only very slowly falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoeInNJ Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Also in Rockaway Twp, just maybe a mile or two north of 80. Mostly rain with maybe a couple of big flakes mixed it. If someone asked me, I'd say "it's raining" before I said "it's snowing" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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