weatherfreeeeak Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Onto the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yankeex777 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 I like the fact that the GEFS are north of the OP. Def a good sign. It's safe to say that the south east bias on the gfs is alive and well even after the upgrade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 GFS further south but yesNow, watch the euro do something weird lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 The Canadian has led the way with the last few storms. For whatever reason it has the hot hand and is reading this pattern best. GGEM/rgem failed miserably for many areas on the last Storm, I think a blend would be the best for now.. Nyc South looks good for a solid hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 GGEM/rgem failed miserably for many areas on the last Storm, I think a blend would be the best for now.. Nyc South looks good for a solid hitagreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Capt. Adam Posted March 2, 2015 Author Share Posted March 2, 2015 Model agreement is likely because this is one of the more straightforward events of the year. Cold air comes through and the system taps right into it. No phasing, no dynamic cooling, no tricky mid level warmth. Only real question is does the wave get here before the front pushes too far south, or less likely, get here too soon resulting in a loss of frozen precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cjr231 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 GGEM/rgem failed miserably for many areas on the last Storm, I think a blend would be the best for now.. Nyc South looks good for a solid hit I'm not talking local area accumulation specifics. I'm speaking more to sniffing out storm type/placement in the mid range and then watching all of the other models trend towards it as it gets closer. Has happened for each of our last few storm systems and now is happening again with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 I'm not talking local area accumulation specifics. I'm speaking more to sniffing out storm type/placement in the mid range and then watching all of the other models trend towards it as it gets closer. Has happened for each of our last few storm systems and now is happening again with this one. I respectfully disagree but this isn't the thread to have that discussion, maybe another time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 If everything goes well this could actually be the biggest storm of the entire season. There's so much moisture packed into this and it has a massive feed from the gulf. The slower and more amped up it is the better even if we have to wait a bit longer for the changeover and like someone said it reminds me of a 93-94 type of system. And we should avoid that dumb warm layer that's been screwing people over lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 The NavGEM in essence matches the GFS, that more or less tells you the GFS is likely going to end up too far SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 The NavGEM in essence matches the GFS, that more or less tells you the GFS is likely going to end up too far SE Also the GEFS being more NW would tend to back up your point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 euro out to hr 63 light rain in the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 hr 66 850's south of nyc surface in nw jersey heavy snow for the lower ohio valley and wv Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 hr 69 snow in nw jersey..surface along 78 and 850's south of phl euro is slower with the front Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 hr 72 all snow for the area hr 75 heavy snow from dca-sandy hook nj mod snow to nyc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 hr 78 heavy snow in the same areas…. nyc mod snow. north of nyc the qpf is light. Looks similar to the 12z gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 euro is 4-6 for the entire metro area. nw is less 2-4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Wow for once the euro and GFS agree on a solution this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 The trend all Winter has been to screw Northern NJ so why stop now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Seems it's more south than other models? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Seems it's more south than other models?No it looks like the gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Does sound like a southern outlier based on snowfall totals. I thought GFS had totals a bit greater than EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Will be interesting to see what the gfs does at 18z, as some of the idv members hammered eastern PA and nw jersey…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 is the euro wed into thurs or thurs during the day? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 12z euro weenie map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stlirish Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 12z euro weenie map The entire state of Kentucky gets crushed Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keith O Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 The trend all Winter has been to screw Northern NJ so why stop now? All signs currently point to a Central/South NJ to LI special, why not have the last sig snow event of this season be like 90% of the rest of this season (at least the LI part). Different set ups and reasons but generally the same results, less W/NW more E/NE/S of NYC. Broken record for last 3+ years. Thinking parts of E LI must be nearing the 80" mark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 The eps is nw of the op. Huge hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 The eps is nw of the op. Huge hit Is that for the EURO?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Is that for the EURO?? Yes. Warning hit for all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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