UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 On 3/3/2015 at 8:48 PM, NYC Weather Lover said: Upton just issued watches They re-issued advisories that say the same thing up here lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 On 3/3/2015 at 8:48 PM, NYC Weather Lover said: Upton just issued watchesyup 4-8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rcad1 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Looks like the watch only goes as far north as Westchester! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 4-8" for southern CT but left all the northern parts of the counties out, including Orange Putnam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 On 3/3/2015 at 8:39 PM, EastonSN+ said: Amazing how Boston gets almost nothing From the POV of a weather enthusiast, it would be pretty disappointing to see Boston miss the holy grail of snow records by mere inches. Hopefully they can pull it off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 If ever there was a storm that needed to overperform for all of us this would be the one... Best chance in doing so imo, could very we'll be last snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 someone earlier asked can you have a winter weather advisory at the same time you have a winter storm watch.. apparenlty the answer is yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 On 3/3/2015 at 8:56 PM, tdp146 said: someone earlier asked can you have a winter weather advisory at the same time you have a winter storm watch.. apparenlty the answer is yes. It's happened before many times, last year I believe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 On 3/3/2015 at 8:54 PM, Juliancolton said: From the POV of a weather enthusiast, it would be pretty disappointing to see Boston miss the holy grail of snow records by mere inches. Hopefully they can pull it off.They won't get shut out here, and they have weeks left to get the few more inches they need. Their second biggest snowstorm happened on April 1, 1997. They should break the record, maybe comfortably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 On 3/3/2015 at 8:56 PM, tdp146 said: someone earlier asked can you have a winter weather advisory at the same time you have a winter storm watch.. apparenlty the answer is yes.The advisory is for today's slop, the watch is for late tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seth.P Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 How are the winds looking for this event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 There is going to be more precip falling as plain rain tomorrow than some people think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 On 3/3/2015 at 8:58 PM, jm1220 said: They won't get shut out here, and they have weeks left to get the few more inches they need. Their second biggest snowstorm happened on April 1, 1997. They should break the record, maybe comfortably. And what a very interesting Nor Easter around here that was, March 31st raining with sleet ( unexpectdly as it was supposed to be rain) crossed the GW into suddenly HVY sn. stayed 2 hours & saw 3 inches , weather channel changed forcast and said 3-6 inches into NY & NWS I think upped us to 6-10, it would only be snow when rates heavy and would switch to a mix at other times, NW burbs wound up at over 12-14 inches if I remember correctly and BOS got smoked with 27 inches plus! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saturn510 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 yes but hr 35 or 36 should be the start of the snow. And if you believe the sim radars it would be till around 54 hours. Hopefully. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 On 3/3/2015 at 9:05 PM, IsentropicLift said: There is going to be more precip falling as plain rain tomorrow than some people think. Meh, NAM has only about 0.1-0.3" LE over the whole day tomorrow as rain...occasional light rain/drizzle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 On 3/3/2015 at 8:59 PM, jm1220 said: The advisory is for today's slop, the watch is for late tomorrow night. Roller Coaster: * TIMING...SNOW DEVELOPS LATE THIS AFTERNOON...THEN MIXES WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN EARLY THIS EVENING BEFORE CHANGING TO RAIN. THE RAIN...MIXES WITH OR CHANGES TO SNOW AND SLEET WEDNESDAY EVENING...BEFORE CHANGING TO ALL SNOW AROUND OR SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW SHOULD TAPER OFF THURSDAY AFTERNOON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 On 3/3/2015 at 9:09 PM, nyblizz44 said: And what a very interesting Nor Easter around here that was, March 31st raining with sleet ( unexpectdly as it was supposed to be rain) crossed the GW into suddenly HVY sn. stayed 2 hours & saw 3 inches , weather channel changed forcast and said 3-6 inches into NY & NWS I think upped us to 6-10, it would only be snow when rates heavy and would switch to a mix at other times, NW burbs wound up at over 12-14 inches if I remember correctly and BOS got smoked with 27 inches plus!I don't remember that storm, it wasn't very memorable outside of the hills on the North Shore. NYC was very close to sharing in the big snow totals, but the strongest banding and lift set up west and north of the area. There was a semi dry-slot overhead which ruined hopes for more than slush over the low elevations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 This 18z NAM run is actually awesome.....check it out.....(the snow today and tonight gives the NYC area about 2" to 3" in some areas to give you an idea what it gives us after that) : Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Good 1st call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeysed Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 On 3/3/2015 at 9:27 PM, WintersGrasp said: This 18z NAM run is actually awesome.....check it out.....(the snow today and tonight gives the NYC area about 2" to 3" in some areas to give you an idea what it gives us after that) : Southern Morris County has over 2 inches right now... they said 2 inches and there is A LOT left that will be snow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 The 18Z RGEM does not look quite as miserable as the 12Z did, it does continue to show the idea though that many in the BWI-ILG-PHL corridor who think they are going to jackpot that sleet may ruin the party. This reminds me a big of 1/20/01, nobody really discussed the sleet possibilities and it crapped on the show for many....up here I think we are good but down there they need to be ready for issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikemost Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 On 3/3/2015 at 9:29 PM, mikeysed said: Southern Morris County has over 2 inches right now... they said 2 inches and there is A LOT left that will be snow... Should be in obs thread, but hmmm. In Whippany and we've only got 1/2" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/winter_wx.shtml#lows Big gun run.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 On 3/3/2015 at 9:29 PM, SnowGoose69 said: The 18Z RGEM does not look quite as miserable as the 12Z did, it does continue to show the idea though that many in the BWI-ILG-PHL corridor who think they are going to jackpot that sleet may ruin the party. This reminds me a big of 1/20/01, nobody really discussed the sleet possibilities and it crapped on the show for many....up here I think we are good but down there they need to be ready for issues.I said last night that if the big precip area gets crushed south that very few people would see heavy snow amounts, maybe a small swath. There will be lots of warm air with this in association with the overrunning moist flow, and too much of a squeeze play between that and the confluence means a smaller heavy snow area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Gfs bumps south again. Little snow north of nyc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 On 3/3/2015 at 9:48 PM, Allsnow said: Gfs bumps south again. Little snow north of nyc So did RGEM, trend is no Bueno, especially North of nyc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 FWIW the euro ens mean is further north than the op Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 On 3/3/2015 at 9:50 PM, forkyfork said: FWIW the euro ens mean is further north than the op 6-8 blob over nyc to north central nj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikemost Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 On 3/3/2015 at 9:50 PM, forkyfork said: FWIW the euro ens mean is further north than the op perhaps i'm grasping at straws here... but with the gefs & eps being north of their respective op runs, do you think that bears watching at all since the trends have been south for a while now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 On 3/3/2015 at 9:49 PM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: So did RGEM, trend is no Bueno, especially North of nyc I don't like the south trend. Needs to stop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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